Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United Prediction

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan·Min-Seok Song, South Korea 21/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseHighGap+1.5%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseHighGap+6.3%
Ulsan Hyundai FC Rest
3 days
Incheon United Rest
3 days

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United: the result in context

Incheon United beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 in the K League 1 on 21 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Min-Seok Song averages 4.69 cards a game, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.20
X
31%3.24
2
21%3.25
Double Chance
1X
78%1.30
X2
52%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.80
No
53%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 0.99 = 2.34
Over 1.5
65%1.33
Over 2.5
40%2.05
Over 3.5
22%3.55
Under 1.5
35%3.10
Under 2.5
60%1.74
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'M. FerrierAssist: Kim Seong-Min
42'Lee Dong-GyeongAssist: Erick Farias
46'M. Trojak INLee Gyu-Seong out
46'Lee Jin-Hyun INH. Lee out
60'Erick Farias INYago Cariello out
64'Lee Myoung-Joo
66'Kim Seong-Min INLee Dong-Ryul out
68'Goal Disallowed - offsideGerso
71'D. Bojanic INLee Min-Hyuk out
77'Lee Min-Hyuk
77'Jang Si-Young INKim Young-Gwon out
78'Lee Chung-Yong INChoi Seung-gu out
78'Lee Myoung-Joo INKim Young-whan out
78'Kim Myung-soon INJeong Chi-In out
81'Choi Seung-gu
88'M. Ferrier INS. Mugosa out
90+3'S. Mugosa(Penalty)
90+4'S. Mugosa
90+12'Jeong Chi-In

Lineups

Ulsan Hyundai FC
3-5-2Coach: Hyun-seok Kim
Incheon United
4-4-2Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon
Avg rating6.23
Avg rating6.36
Hyeon-woo Jo5.921H. Jo
Myeong-kwan Seo6.14M. Seo
Jung Seung-hyeon6.515J. Seung-hyeon
Jae-ik Lee6.528J. Lee
Choi Seok-Hyun6.496C. Seok-Hyun
Lee Jin-hyun6.214L. Jin-hyun
Miłosz Trojak6.066M. Trojak
Darijan Bojanić6.46D. Bojanić
Jang Si-young5.733J. Si-young
Dong-gyeong Lee7.110D. Lee
Erick Farias6.711E. Farias
Dong-heon Kim6.11D. Kim
Kim Myung-Sun6.339K. Myung-Sun
Gun-hee Kim4G. Kim
Juan Ibiza5.92J. Ibiza
Ju-yong Lee6.332J. Lee
Seong-min Kim6.717S. Kim
Jae-min Seo6.315J. Seo
Myung Joo Lee5.75M. Joo Lee
Gerso Fernandes5.911G. Fernandes
Chung-yong Lee6.572C. Lee
Morgan Ferrier7.099M. Ferrier

Ulsan Hyundai FC Substitutes

24Kyu-seong Lee46'for M. Trojak5.6
8Hui-gyun Lee46'for Lee Jin-Hyun6.0
99Yago Cariello60'for Erick Farias6.3
22Lee Min-Hyeok71'for D. Bojanic77'
19Kim Young-gwon77'for Jang Si-Young6.1
13Ryu Seong-Min
2Jong-gyu Yoon
91Benji Michel
20Jung Jae-Sang

Incheon United Substitutes

10Dong-ryul Lee6.5
30Young-whan Kim78'for Lee Myoung-Joo
23Chi-in Jeong78'for Kim Myung-soon90+12'
13Choi Seung-Gu78'for Lee Chung-Yong81'
9Stefan Mugoša88'for M. Ferrier90+3'90+4'7.8
21Lee Tae Hui
20Park Kyung-sub
3Sang-ki Lee
8Iker Undabarrena

Match Stats

Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots22
4Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
8Fouls8
2Offsides5
5Goalkeeper Saves3
382Total Passes467
302Passes Accurate402
79%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
1572Elo Rating 1611
2.03Attack 1.76
0.98Defense 2.36
37%Hit Rate 46%
15.0Shots per Game 9.1
5.6Shots on Target 4.9
8.7Corners per Game 3.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Incheon UnitedIncheon United2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 111/04/2026
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
12
FA Cup14/05/2025
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
30
K League 122/09/2024
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
00
FA Cup17/07/2024
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
10
K League 129/05/2024
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
11
K League 117/03/2024
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
33
K League 124/11/2023
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
31
K League 108/10/2023
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
00
K League 112/07/2023
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
12
K League 125/04/2023
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
01

Recent Form

Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
3W3D4L
18/07/2026
Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FC
22
D
11/07/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCJeonbuk Motors
13
L
05/07/2026
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
11
D
17/05/2026
Gangwon FCUlsan Hyundai FC
20
L
13/05/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCJeju United FC
21
W
10/05/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCBucheon FC 1995
10
W
05/05/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCUlsan Hyundai FC
12
W
02/05/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCPohang Steelers
01
L
26/04/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCDaejeon Citizen
14
L
22/04/2026
FC AnyangUlsan Hyundai FC
11
D
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
5W1D4L
18/07/2026
Incheon UnitedJeonbuk Motors
10
W
12/07/2026
Incheon UnitedFC Anyang
01
L
05/07/2026
FC SeoulIncheon United
10
L
16/05/2026
Incheon UnitedGwangju FC
40
W
12/05/2026
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
01
L
09/05/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCIncheon United
03
W
05/05/2026
Daejeon CitizenIncheon United
00
D
02/05/2026
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
01
L
25/04/2026
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
10
W
21/04/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsIncheon United
12
W

Referee Profile

Min-Seok Song36 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Min-Seok Song4.69
Other referees3.90

4.69 cards a match, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026

K-League: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267LDDWL
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551WDWLL
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249DWWWD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DDWLD
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048LDDWD
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WWDWD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246DLLLW
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843WDDWW
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDDLW
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834DLDLW
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLL
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921DWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921

K-League: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul34207761:30+3167LDDWL
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC341661254:48+654WDWLL
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3413111053:41+1250DWWWD
4Incheon UnitedIncheon United3413101144:35+949WWDWD
5Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors341213943:33+1049DDWLD
6Gangwon FCGangwon FC341115841:32+948LDDWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3461:3067
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3454:4854
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3453:4150
4Incheon UnitedIncheon United3444:3549
5Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3443:3349
6Gangwon FCGangwon FC3441:3248
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United forecast

The forecasts for this K League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ulsan Hyundai FC and Incheon United in the K League 1 table

In the K League 1 table, Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd and Incheon United 6th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Ulsan Hyundai FC 52-47, Incheon United 43-35. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.