Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso Prediction

Primera B

Colombia · Clausura - 2

Union Magdalena

0-0

Finished

HT 0-0

Orsomarso

Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 01/08/2026

Union Magdalena

0-0

Finished

Orsomarso

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Partial

Match Importance

3.2 / 10

Value Analysis

62%Trust

Goals O/U

Under 2.5 Goals

1.73

SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%

Union Magdalena Rest

6 days

Orsomarso Rest

5 days

Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso: the result in context

Union Magdalena and Orsomarso drew 0-0 in the Primera B on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Union Magdalena have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

57%1.50

25%3.75

18%6.30

Double Chance

82%1.09

43%2.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%2.10

56%1.62

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20

Over 1.5

64%1.32

Over 2.5

38%2.00

Over 3.5

18%3.50

Under 1.5

36%3.08

Under 2.5

62%1.73

Under 3.5

82%1.24

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'D. Mera

29'

59'C. Iguaran INJ. Giraldo out

59'J. Congo INF. Mosquera out

67'

72'J. Farias INJ. Pimienta out

72'K. Salazar INJ. Romero out

75'

80'J. Lerma INJ. Mercado out

Union Magdalena

Orsomarso

1497Elo Rating 1368

1.14Attack 0.90

2.28Defense 2.17

42%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+130 Elo

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Union Magdalena

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Orsomarso

Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Union Magdalena4Wins · 80%

Draws120%

Orsomarso

0Wins · 0%

2.6Avg Goals

60%Both teams scored3 of 5

60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

01/02/2026

Orsomarso

Union Magdalena

07/08/2024

Union Magdalena

Orsomarso

16/02/2024

Orsomarso

Union Magdalena

18/10/2021

Orsomarso

Union Magdalena

06/02/2021

Union Magdalena

Orsomarso

Recent Form

25/07/2026

Bogota FC

Union Magdalena

21/05/2026

Union Magdalena

Bogota FC

18/05/2026

Barranquilla

Union Magdalena

12/05/2026

Union Magdalena

Real Cartagena

09/05/2026

Real Cartagena

Union Magdalena

04/05/2026

Union Magdalena

Barranquilla

28/04/2026

Bogota FC

Union Magdalena

18/04/2026

Depor FC

Union Magdalena

13/04/2026

Union Magdalena

Internacional Palmira

09/04/2026

Union Magdalena

Envigado

27/07/2026

Orsomarso

Barranquilla

20/05/2026

Fortaleza FC

Orsomarso

16/05/2026

Orsomarso

Independiente Medellin

12/05/2026

Leones FC

Orsomarso

10/05/2026

Orsomarso

Cucuta

18/04/2026

Orsomarso

Leones FC

13/04/2026

Bogota FC

Orsomarso

31/03/2026

Orsomarso

Internacional Palmira

27/03/2026

Quindio

Orsomarso

21/03/2026

Orsomarso

Ind. Yumbo

League Table

Primera B 2026

Primera B: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Envigado	39	18	13	8	53:33	+20	67	W
2	Quindio	37	19	10	8	40:26	+14	67	W
3	Real Cartagena	39	16	14	9	60:43	+17	62	W
4	Union Magdalena	37	17	11	9	51:35	+16	62	D
5	Internacional Palmira	36	17	10	9	43:33	+10	61	WWWWW
6	Tigres FC	37	12	13	12	35:31	+4	49	D
7	Ind. Yumbo	31	12	11	8	33:25	+8	47	D
8	Bogota FC	36	10	14	12	30:36	-6	44	WWDWL
9	Real Cundinamarca	31	10	11	10	34:32	+2	41	L
10	Barranquilla	36	10	10	16	44:48	-4	40	WLWLW
11	Popayan	31	8	11	12	36:41	-5	35	L
12	Patriotas	30	9	8	13	30:40	-10	35	LWWLD
13	Orsomarso	30	8	10	12	24:31	-7	34	DLLDW
14	Depor FC	30	6	9	15	28:44	-16	27	LLLDW
15	Real Santander	30	5	12	13	26:43	-17	27	LLLLL
16	Leones FC	30	5	9	16	20:46	-26	24	DWLLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Envigado	39	53:33	67
2	Quindio	37	40:26	67
3	Real Cartagena	39	60:43	62
4	Union Magdalena	37	51:35	62
5	Internacional Palmira	36	43:33	61
6	Tigres FC	37	35:31	49
7	Ind. Yumbo	31	33:25	47
8	Bogota FC	36	30:36	44
9	Real Cundinamarca	31	34:32	41
10	Barranquilla	36	44:48	40
11	Popayan	31	36:41	35
12	Patriotas	30	30:40	35
13	Orsomarso	30	24:31	34
14	Depor FC	30	28:44	27
15	Real Santander	30	26:43	27
16	Leones FC	30	20:46	24

Primera B: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Internacional Palmira	15	12	2	1	29:13	+16	38	WWWWW
2	Union Magdalena	15	10	2	3	27:15	+12	32	D
3	Quindio	15	9	4	2	20:10	+10	31	W
4	Envigado	15	9	2	4	24:14	+10	29	W
5	Real Cartagena	15	7	5	3	23:15	+8	26	W
6	Bogota FC	15	6	5	4	16:14	+2	23	WWDWL
7	Barranquilla	15	6	2	7	21:20	+1	20	WLWLW
8	Tigres FC	15	5	5	5	15:14	+1	20	D
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	4	7	4	13:14	-1	19	D
10	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	13:17	-4	17	DLLDW
11	Patriotas	15	4	5	6	13:17	-4	17	LWWLD
12	Popayan	15	2	7	6	15:20	-5	13	L
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	2	7	6	14:19	-5	13	L
14	Leones FC	15	2	4	9	8:24	-16	10	DWLLL
15	Depor FC	15	1	6	8	12:23	-11	9	LLLDW
16	Real Santander	15	1	4	10	9:23	-14	7	LLLLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	15	29:13	38
2	Union Magdalena	15	27:15	32
3	Quindio	15	20:10	31
4	Envigado	15	24:14	29
5	Real Cartagena	15	23:15	26
6	Bogota FC	15	16:14	23
7	Barranquilla	15	21:20	20
8	Tigres FC	15	15:14	20
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	13:14	19
10	Orsomarso	15	13:17	17
11	Patriotas	15	13:17	17
12	Popayan	15	15:20	13
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	14:19	13
14	Leones FC	15	8:24	10
15	Depor FC	15	12:23	9
16	Real Santander	15	9:23	7

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Cartagena	6	4	1	1	8:6	+2	13	W
2	Union Magdalena	6	2	3	1	8:4	+4	9	D
3	Barranquilla	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6	WLWLW
4	Bogota FC	6	0	3	3	3:8	-5	3	WWDWL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	6	8:6	13
2	Union Magdalena	6	8:4	9
3	Barranquilla	6	5:6	6
4	Bogota FC	6	3:8	3

Primera B: Clausura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Ind. Yumbo	15	8	4	3	20:9	+11	28	D
2	Real Cundinamarca	15	8	4	3	20:11	+9	28	L
3	Tigres FC	15	6	6	3	16:9	+7	24	D
4	Quindio	15	6	5	4	14:13	+1	23	W
5	Real Cartagena	15	5	6	4	26:18	+8	21	W
6	Popayan	15	6	3	6	20:20	0	21	L
7	Envigado	15	4	8	3	17:13	+4	20	W
8	Union Magdalena	15	5	5	5	15:15	0	20	D
9	Real Santander	15	4	8	3	17:20	-3	20	LLLLL
10	Bogota FC	15	4	6	5	11:14	-3	18	WWDWL
11	Depor FC	15	5	3	7	16:21	-5	18	LLLDW
12	Patriotas	15	5	3	7	17:23	-6	18	LWWLD
13	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	11:14	-3	17	DLLDW
14	Internacional Palmira	15	4	4	7	11:17	-6	16	WWWWW
15	Barranquilla	15	3	5	7	18:22	-4	14	WLWLW
16	Leones FC	15	3	5	7	12:22	-10	14	DWLLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Ind. Yumbo	15	20:9	28
2	Real Cundinamarca	15	20:11	28
3	Tigres FC	15	16:9	24
4	Quindio	15	14:13	23
5	Real Cartagena	15	26:18	21
6	Popayan	15	20:20	21
7	Envigado	15	17:13	20
8	Union Magdalena	15	15:15	20
9	Real Santander	15	17:20	20
10	Bogota FC	15	11:14	18
11	Depor FC	15	16:21	18
12	Patriotas	15	17:23	18
13	Orsomarso	15	11:14	17
14	Internacional Palmira	15	11:17	16
15	Barranquilla	15	18:22	14
16	Leones FC	15	12:22	14

Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Envigado	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3	W
2	Union Magdalena	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1	D
3	Popayan	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1	L
4	Ind. Yumbo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0	D

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Envigado	1	2:0	3
2	Union Magdalena	1	1:1	1
3	Popayan	1	1:1	1
4	Ind. Yumbo	1	0:2	0

Promotion

About the Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Magdalena and Orsomarso in the Primera B table

The table shows a wide gap: Union Magdalena are 4th in the Primera B, while Orsomarso sit 13th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: Union Magdalena 51-35, Orsomarso 24-31. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso: the result in context

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies