Universitario vs Cusco Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Universitario Rest
6 days
Cusco Rest
6 days
Universitario vs Cusco: result, form and history
Universitario beat Cusco 2-1 in the Primera División on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Edwin Ordonez averages 4.75 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.44
X23%4.35
216%6.60
Double Chance
1X84%1.09
X239%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.85
No46%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.85 = 2.53
Over 1.575%1.20
Over 2.557%1.73
Over 3.533%2.74
Under 1.525%3.90
Under 2.543%2.05
Under 3.567%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.6 = 10.1
Over 8.564%1.66
Over 9.555%2.02
Over 10.539%2.60
Under 8.536%2.08
Under 9.545%1.71
Under 10.561%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.571%-
Over 4.554%1.75
Under 3.529%-
Under 4.546%1.98
Match Events
20'A. ValeraAssist: L. Alzugaray
28'J. RiveraFoul
38'A. FuentesFoul
55'R. LagosFoul
59'J. Manzaneda INMiguel Silveira out
59'C. Diez INC. Montano out
66'H. Fertoli INA. Quiroz out
70'F. CallejoAssist: L. Colitto
76'J. Castillo ING. Lapadula out
76'J. Rivera INJ. Requena out
77'I. Colman INN. Silva out
83'R. Lagos INJ. Bolivar out
83'D. Soto INO. Valenzuela out
86'Miguel SilveiraFoul
87'L. Alzugaray INJ. Guivin Tanta out
90+3'G. Lapadula
Lineups
UniversitarioCusco
4-3-3Coach: Alejandro OrfilaAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Romero
C24A. Polo
2C. Fara
5M. Di Benedetto
33C. Inga
6J. Castillo
30L. Alzugaray
17J. Concha
8H. Fértoli
20A. Valera
11J. Rivera
28P. Diaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
6A. Ampuero
3R. Lagos
14C. Diez
88D. Soto
C10I. Colman
22L. Colitto
9F. Callejo
7J. Miguel ManzanedaUniversitario Substitutes
28Adrián Quiroz66'for H. Fertoli
15Juan Manuel Requena76'for J. Rivera
18Gianluca Lapadula76'for J. Castillo90+3'
21Jordan Guivin87'for L. Alzugaray
25Miguel Vargas
3Williams Riveros
60Junior Diaz
23Jorge Murrugarra
19Edison Flores
Cusco Substitutes
55Jean Carlos Montaño59'for C. Diez
99Miguel Silveira59'for J. Manzaneda86'
26Nicolás Silva77'for I. Colman
15Jose Bolivar83'for R. Lagos
16Oswaldo Valenzuela83'for D. Soto
13Andy Vidal
2Carlos Gamarra
11Juan Tévez
77Joel Herrera
Match Stats
UniversitarioCusco 48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
7Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
439Total Passes463
366Passes Accurate385
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
UniversitarioCusco1714Elo Rating 1628
2.40Attack 1.60
1.58Defense 1.91
64%Hit Rate 64%
15.9Shots per Game 13.5
6.1Shots on Target 4.3
6.4Corners per Game 3.4
1.6Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Cusco- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Universitario4Wins · 50%Draws338%
Cusco1Wins · 12%
1Wins · 12%2.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
08/02/2026CuscoUniversitario11
28/09/2025UniversitarioCusco32
04/05/2025CuscoUniversitario20
21/08/2024CuscoUniversitario11
13/03/2024UniversitarioCusco10
22/10/2023CuscoUniversitario11
03/06/2023UniversitarioCusco10
23/10/2021UniversitarioCusco21
Recent Form
Universitario3W5D2L
18/07/2026
ADTUniversitario
ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026Universitario
Atletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
D13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
Molinos El PirataUniversitario20
L31/05/2026Universitario
Sport Huancayo
UniversitarioSport Huancayo21
W27/05/2026Universitario
Deportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D23/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
D21/05/2026
Club NacionalUniversitario
Club NacionalUniversitario00
D16/05/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau01
L12/05/2026
Sport BoysUniversitario
Sport BoysUniversitario00
DCusco3W2D5L
19/07/2026Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
CuscoAlianza Atletico41
W29/06/2026Cusco
Cienciano
CuscoCienciano12
L22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
15/06/2026Deportivo BinacionalCusco43
LDeportivo GarcilasoCusco00
D30/05/2026ADTCusco
ADTCusco12
W27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
FlamengoCusco30
L24/05/2026CuscoAtletico Grau
CuscoAtletico Grau10
W21/05/2026Cusco
Independiente Medellin
CuscoIndependiente Medellin23
L17/05/2026Sport BoysCusco
Sport BoysCusco10
L11/05/2026Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoClub Deportivo Los Chankas11
DReferee Profile
4.75Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.75 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.46).
Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cusco vs Alianza Atletico 19/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys 19/07/26
- Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo 20/07/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24/07/26
- Sport Boys vs ADT 25/07/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau 25/07/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano 25/07/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal 26/07/26
About the Universitario vs Cusco forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Universitario and Cusco in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Universitario are 2nd and Cusco 5th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Universitario 52-34, Cusco 46-44. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cusco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.