Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23 Prediction

Uzbekistan U23
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-0AET 0-0PEN 8-9
Japan U23
Osaka Nagai Stadium, Osaka·Abdulhadi Alasmar Al-Ruaile 30/09/2026
Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U23
1-1
After Penalties
Japan U23Japan U23

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.08
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-15.5%
Uzbekistan U23 Rest
5 days
Japan U23 Rest
4 days

Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23: result, form and history

Japan U23 beat Uzbekistan U23 on penalties (9-8) after a 1-1 draw in the Asian Games on 30 Sep 2026.

Japan U23 tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.1 for Uzbekistan U23.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%6.42
X
24%3.60
2
56%1.50
Double Chance
1X
44%2.42
X2
80%1.08
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Sardorbek BakhromovAssist: Saidkhon Khamidov
14'Saidumarkhon Saidnurullaev INFirdavs Abdurakhmonov out
46'Shusuke Furuya INYumeki Yokoyama out
52'Keita Kosugi
62'Kenshin Yasuda INYuto Ozeki out
62'Hisatsugu Ishii INYudai Shimamoto out
62'Yutaka Michiwaki INBrian Nwadik out
66'Mukhammadali Urinboev INRavshan Khayrullaev out
76'Soichiro Mori INRei Umeki out
85'Asilbek Jumaev INShodiyor Shodiboyev out
85'Ollobergan Karimov INDiyorbek Abdunazarov out
88'Sena IshibashiAssist: Keita Kosugi
90+2'Shuto Nagano

Extra Time0 - 0

105+1'Sena Ishibashi INYotaro Nakajima out
106'Diyorbek Abdunazarov INKuvonchbek Khushvaktov out
117'Ravshan Khayrullaev INMukhammedali Reimov out

Penalty Shootout8 - 9

1Yotaro Nakajima(Penalty)
1Sardorbek Bakhromov(Penalty)
2Yuto Ozeki(Penalty)
2Azizbek Tulkinbekov(Penalty missed)
3Nelson Ishiwatari(Penalty)
3Dilshod Murtozoev(Penalty)
4Brian Nwadik(Penalty missed)
4Mukhammedali Reimov(Penalty)
5Kaito Tsuchiya(Penalty)
5Shodiyor Shodiboyev(Penalty)
6Yudai Shimamoto(Penalty)
6Giyosdzhon Rizakulov(Penalty)
7Yumeki Yokoyama(Penalty)
7Ruziboy Fayzullaev(Penalty)
8Rei Umeki(Penalty)
8Saidkhon Khamidov(Penalty)
9Shuto Nagano(Penalty)
9Nurlan Ibraimov(Penalty)
10Keita Kosugi(Penalty)
10Kuvonchbek Khushvaktov(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Uzbekistan U23
4-3-1-2Coach: R. Khaydarov
Japan U23
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Oiwa
Samandar Muratbaev21S. Muratbaev
1414R. Fayzullaev
G. Rizakulov4G. Rizakulov
D. Murtazoyev3D. Murtazoyev
Saidkhon Khamidov2S. Khamidov
A. Tulkunbekov13A. Tulkunbekov
Ollobergan Karimov19O. Karimov
A. Jumayev11A. Jumayev
M. O'rinboyev10M. O'rinboyev
Sardorbek Bakhromov7S. Bakhromov
S. Saidnurullayev9S. Saidnurullayev
A. Pisano1A. Pisano
S. Mori15S. Mori
S. Nagano6S. Nagano
K. Tsuchiya4K. Tsuchiya
K. Kosugi3K. Kosugi
N. Ishiwatari7N. Ishiwatari
K. Yasuda8K. Yasuda
1313S. Furuya
H. Ishii10H. Ishii
S. Ishibashi20S. Ishibashi
Y. Michiwaki9Y. Michiwaki

Uzbekistan U23 Substitutes

1M. Murkaev
5Kuvonchbek Khushvaktov106'replaced by Diyorbek Abdunazarov
6R. Hayrullayev66'for Mukhammadali Urinboev117'for Mukhammedali Reimov
8Mukhammadali Reimov117'replaced by Ravshan Khayrullaev
8A. Saidov
12Umar Rustamov
15D. Abdunazarov85'for Ollobergan Karimov106'for Kuvonchbek Khushvaktov
17F. Abdurahmonov14'for Saidumarkhon Saidnurullaev
18O. Urmonjonov
20D. Abdullayev
22N. Ibragimov
23S. Shodiboev85'for Asilbek Jumaev

Japan U23 Substitutes

2R. Umeki76'for Soichiro Mori
5R. Ichihara
11Y. Yokoyama46'replaced by Shusuke Furuya
12M. Kobayashi
14Y. Ozeki62'for Kenshin Yasuda
16Yuya Fukunaga
17Y. Nakajima105+1'for Sena Ishibashi
18Y. Shimamoto62'for Hisatsugu Ishii
19Brian Nwadik62'for Yutaka Michiwaki
21M. Sato
22Tariqkani Hayato Okabe
23R. Araki

Match Stats

Uzbekistan U23Japan U23
31%Ball Possession69%
2Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal8
0Blocked Shots0
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U23
Japan U23Japan U23
1627Elo Rating 1585
1.97Attack 1.33
2.23Defense 2.42
50%Hit Rate 42%
10.9Shots per Game 11.8
6.2Shots on Target 4.4
3.1Corners per Game 6.4
0.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U23
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
Japan U23Japan U23
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U23
5W0D0L
25/09/2026
Uzbekistan U23Saudi Arabia U23
30
W
22/09/2026
Vietnam U23Uzbekistan U23
02
W
18/09/2026
Kuwait U23Uzbekistan U23
02
W
15/09/2026
Uzbekistan U23Philippines U23
51
W
08/06/2026
USA U21Uzbekistan U23
01
W
Japan U23Japan U23
4W0D0L
26/09/2026
Japan U23Korea DPR U23
10
W
23/09/2026
Japan U23Thailand U23
30
W
20/09/2026
Kyrgyz Republic U23Japan U23
07
W
16/09/2026
Japan U23Hong Kong U23
20
W

League Table

Asian Games 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Japan U23Japan U23330012:0+129WWW
2Thailand U23Thailand U2332018:6+26LWW
3Kyrgyz Republic U23Kyrgyz Republic U2331026:10-43WLL
4Hong Kong U23Hong Kong U2330031:11-100LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Japan U23Japan U23312:09
2Thailand U23Thailand U2338:66
3Kyrgyz Republic U23Kyrgyz Republic U2336:103
4Hong Kong U23Hong Kong U2331:110

Group C

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U2333009:1+89WWW
2Vietnam U23Vietnam U2331113:304LWD
3Philippines U23Philippines U2331023:8-53WLL
4Kuwait U23Kuwait U2330122:5-31LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Uzbekistan U23Uzbekistan U2339:19
2Vietnam U23Vietnam U2333:34
3Philippines U23Philippines U2333:83
4Kuwait U23Kuwait U2332:51

About the Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Asian Games

More Asian Games fixtures and forecasts are on the Asian Games Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Uzbekistan U23 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Japan U23 have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Uzbekistan U23 and Japan U23 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.