Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik Prediction

Valur Reykjavik
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Keflavik
P. Gudmundsson 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseHighGap+11.0%
Valur Reykjavik Rest
4 days
Keflavik Rest
7 days

Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik: the result in context

Valur Reykjavik and Keflavik drew 1-1 in the Úrvalsdeild on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%2.13
X
23%4.00
2
23%2.71
Double Chance
1X
77%1.41
X2
47%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.30
No
56%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.07
Over 2.5
40%1.29
Over 3.5
20%1.75
Under 1.5
37%7.00
Under 2.5
60%3.32
Under 3.5
80%2.00
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'T. HaraldssonAssist: J. Palsson
64'E. Bjarnason INS. Magnusson out
65'M. Al Ghoul INF. Elvarsson out
71'M. MudrazijaAssist: A. Conteh
75'K. Haagensen INK. Arnarsson out
75'J. Palsson INH. Gunnarsson out
85'F. ElvarssonFoul
88'A. Conteh INA. Kralj out
90+1'M. BrigicFoul
90+2'E. Ragnarsson INH. Al Ghoul out

Team Comparison

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
KeflavikKeflavik
1476Elo Rating 1487
2.23Attack 2.20
0.00Defense 0.00
37%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KeflavikKeflavik
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik3Wins · 43%
Draws343%
KeflavikKeflavik1Wins · 14%
2.3Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Cup09/06/2024
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
3232
Úrvalsdeild13/08/2023
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
11
Úrvalsdeild21/05/2023
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
00
Úrvalsdeild11/07/2022
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
03
Úrvalsdeild24/04/2022
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
01
Úrvalsdeild15/08/2021
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
21
Úrvalsdeild24/05/2021
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
12

Recent Form

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
5W0D5L
16/06/2026
IA AkranesValur Reykjavik
10
L
31/05/2026
Valur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
15
L
26/05/2026
KR ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
31
L
22/05/2026
KA AkureyriValur Reykjavik
01
W
17/05/2026
Valur ReykjavikBreidablik
32
W
08/05/2026
Fram ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
32
L
02/05/2026
Valur ReykjavikKR Reykjavik
14
L
27/04/2026
StjarnanValur Reykjavik
24
W
23/04/2026
Valur ReykjavikFH hafnarfjordur
30
W
17/04/2026
Valur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
21
W
KeflavikKeflavik
3W2D5L
14/06/2026
KeflavikFH hafnarfjordur
12
L
31/05/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarKeflavik
61
L
22/05/2026
KeflavikThor Akureyri
10
W
17/05/2026
KeflavikStjarnan
11
D
08/05/2026
IA AkranesKeflavik
13
W
03/05/2026
KeflavikVikingur Reykjavik
13
L
26/04/2026
KA AkureyriKeflavik
12
W
22/04/2026
KeflavikBreidablik
00
D
17/04/2026
Fram ReykjavikKeflavik
31
L
12/04/2026
KR ReykjavikKeflavik
32
L

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653DDWWD
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445DDWWL
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544LDWDW
4BreidablikBreidablik2286843:41+230LLLDL
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2286839:41-230WDDWW
6KeflavikKeflavik22841033:38-528LLWWL
7StjarnanStjarnan22841042:50-828DWWLW
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik22831139:45-627WDLDW
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221LWDLW
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri22631322:50-2821WWLLL
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri22551235:48-1320WDLDL
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2267:2153
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2256:4245
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2274:4944
4BreidablikBreidablik2243:4130
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2239:4130
6KeflavikKeflavik2233:3828
7StjarnanStjarnan2242:5028
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2239:4527
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2227:3921
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2222:5021
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2235:4820
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2232:4518
Relegation

About the Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik forecast

The forecasts for this Úrvalsdeild match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valur Reykjavik and Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild table

Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik are close in the Úrvalsdeild table, 6th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Valur Reykjavik 39-45, Keflavik 33-38. The full standings are on the Úrvalsdeild Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.