Ventura County vs Real Monarchs Prediction

MLS Next ProUSA USA · Group Stage
Ventura County
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Real Monarchs
Dignity Health Sports Park 28/06/2026
Ventura CountyVentura County
3-1
Finished
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+1.3%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.54
SignalGOODModel23%SurpriseHighGap+7.6%
Ventura County Rest
14 days
Real Monarchs Rest
6 days

Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: the result in context

Ventura County beat Real Monarchs 3-1 in the MLS Next Pro on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.63
X
16%3.60
2
34%2.25
Double Chance
1X
66%1.54
X2
50%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.44
No
49%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.6 = 3.47
Over 1.5
85%1.13
Over 2.5
67%1.51
Over 3.5
48%2.21
Under 1.5
15%5.00
Under 2.5
33%2.38
Under 3.5
52%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'E. Martinez
34'L. Rivera
40'Pepe
42'O. Anderson
45'J. BareaAssist: R. Alphin
46'J. Barea INO. Marquez out
51'V. GarciaAssist: J. Placias
71'J. PlaciasAssist: S. Hernandez
74'I. Amparo INC. Cowell out
74'R. Alphin INM. Kerkvliet out
74'L. Ream INF. Ewald out
82'L. O'Gara
82'L. Moisa INJ. Ottley out
83'E. MartinezAssist: G. Arnold
88'V. Garcia INA. Medina out
88'J. Placias INO. Aina out

Team Comparison

Ventura CountyVentura County
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
1564Elo Rating 1382
1.84Attack 1.13
2.01Defense 1.29
58%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.47 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Ventura CountyVentura County
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Ventura CountyVentura County5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro13/04/2026
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
20
MLS Next Pro15/09/2025
Real MonarchsVentura County
21
MLS Next Pro02/06/2025
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
4333
MLS Next Pro07/04/2025
Real MonarchsVentura County
12
MLS Next Pro06/10/2024
Real MonarchsVentura County
4121
MLS Next Pro26/08/2024
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
31
MLS Next Pro20/05/2024
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
20
MLS Next Pro20/08/2023
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
10090
MLS Next Pro10/06/2023
Real MonarchsVentura County
5343
USL Championship15/05/2021
Real MonarchsVentura County
02

Recent Form

Ventura CountyVentura County
4W0D6L
14/06/2026
Ventura CountyColorado Rapids II
4151
L07/06/2026
Ventura CountyHouston Dynamo FC II
31
W
31/05/2026
Ventura CountyVancouver Whitecaps II
21
W
23/05/2026
Tacoma DefianceVentura County
10
L
17/05/2026
Los Angeles FC IIVentura County
32
L
10/05/2026
Portland Timbers IIVentura County
6373
W
07/05/2026
Sporting KC IIVentura County
02
W
02/05/2026
Ventura CountyThe Town
13
L
26/04/2026
St. Louis City IIVentura County
21
L
19/04/2026
Ventura CountyAustin II
1131
L
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
4W0D6L
22/06/2026
Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs
10
L
13/06/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
W08/06/2026
The TownReal Monarchs
30
L
30/05/2026
Real MonarchsSporting KC II
13
L
25/05/2026
Vancouver Whitecaps IIReal Monarchs
13
W
21/05/2026
Real MonarchsColorado Rapids II
20
W
14/05/2026
Real MonarchsThe Town
4131
W
10/05/2026
Los Angeles FC IIReal Monarchs
31
L
03/05/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
03
L
19/04/2026
Real MonarchsHouston Dynamo FC II
01
L

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Pacific Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
2Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
4The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
2Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
4The TownThe Town2851:3642
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
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About the Ventura County vs Real Monarchs forecast

The forecasts for this MLS Next Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ventura County and Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Ventura County are 2nd and Real Monarchs 6th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Ventura County 58-36, Real Monarchs 38-55. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.