Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Prediction

Yelimay Semey
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Ordabasy
Stadion Spartak, Semey·A. Ismuratov 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel11%SurpriseHighGap-0.9%
Yelimay Semey Rest
17 days
Ordabasy Rest
16 days

Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy: the result in context

Ordabasy beat Yelimay Semey 3-1 in the Premier League on 14 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ordabasy had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Yelimay Semey.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.62
X
30%3.25
2
32%2.43
Double Chance
1X
68%1.46
X2
62%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.65
No
56%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.85
Over 3.5
18%3.00
Under 1.5
37%3.41
Under 2.5
62%1.86
Under 3.5
82%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'E. Astanov
36'Leo Natel
52'Everton
56'Leo Natel INZ. Amir out
60'S. Maliy
64'Everton INB. Johnsen out
65'E. Astanov INY. Vakulko out
68'D. AbagnaAssist: S. Astanov
70'F. Placca INA. Zhaksylykov out
70'A. Ashirbek INZ. Payruz out
70'A. Adambaev INH. Ilic out
71'R. Murtazaev INI. Sviridov out
78'A. Bakhtiyarov
79'D. Abagna INA. Nurymbet out
84'E. BerezkinAssist: A. Zhaksylykov
85'H. Ilic
85'Z. Amir
88'Y. Vakulko
90+1'A. Bakhtiyarov INA. Baygaliev out
90+7'Z. Payruz

Team Comparison

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
OrdabasyOrdabasy
1562Elo Rating 1726
1.83Attack 2.37
1.54Defense 2.31
56%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OrdabasyOrdabasy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
OrdabasyOrdabasy1Wins · 25%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League28/09/2025
Yelimay SemeyOrdabasy
21
Premier League15/06/2025
OrdabasyYelimay Semey
11
Premier League10/11/2024
OrdabasyYelimay Semey
21
Premier League28/04/2024
Yelimay SemeyOrdabasy
11

Recent Form

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
4W3D3L
28/05/2026
KaisarYelimay Semey
23
W
23/05/2026
Yelimay SemeyZhenys
21
W
16/05/2026
IrtyshYelimay Semey
22
D
09/05/2026
Yelimay SemeyKaspiy
01
L
03/05/2026
UlytauYelimay Semey
10
L
30/04/2026
AktobeYelimay Semey
21
L
26/04/2026
Kairat AlmatyYelimay Semey
22
D
18/04/2026
Yelimay SemeyFC Astana
22
D
11/04/2026
ZhetysuYelimay Semey
01
W
08/04/2026
Turan TurkistanYelimay Semey
14
W
OrdabasyOrdabasy
8W2D0L
28/05/2026
OrdabasyKairat Almaty
21
W
23/05/2026
FK Tobol KostanayOrdabasy
03
W
17/05/2026
OrdabasyZhetysu
21
W
13/05/2026
OrdabasyZhetysu
10
W
10/05/2026
AltayOrdabasy
00
D
03/05/2026
OrdabasyAktobe
20
W
30/04/2026
OrdabasyKaspiy
30
W
25/04/2026
Kyzyl-ZharOrdabasy
12
W
18/04/2026
OrdabasyOkzhetpes
21
W
11/04/2026
FC AstanaOrdabasy
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Yelimay Semey and Ordabasy in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Ordabasy are 1st and Yelimay Semey 6th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Yelimay Semey 43-44, Ordabasy 59-23. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Yelimay Semey have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.