Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

Žilina
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
HNK Hajduk Split
Štadión pod Dubňom, Zilina·Horatiu Fesnic, Romania 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
Žilina Rest
7 days
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
7 days

Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split: the result in context

Žilina beat HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 16 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: HNK Hajduk Split had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Žilina.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.00
X
17%3.42
2
54%2.18
Double Chance
1X
46%1.65
X2
71%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.68
No
53%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.48 = 2.44
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
45%1.86
Over 3.5
21%3.00
Under 1.5
29%3.50
Under 2.5
55%1.90
Under 3.5
79%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'S. HrgovicTripping
30'A. Van HoorenbeeckTripping
45+2'A. Van HoorenbeeckAssist: S. Hrgovic
46'T. Paliscak INM. Okal out
51'M. RoginicAssist: F. Kosa
64'N. Skoko IND. de Almeida out
66'M. Kacer INF. Bzdyl out
66'F. Kosa INM. Fasko out
67'X. AdangRoughing
72'P. Ilko INS. Datko out
75'S. Hrgovic INA. Sanyang out
75'R. Brajkovic INA. Guram out
82'X. Adang INA. Florea out
86'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
90+1'D. MelnjakOG
90+2'A. FloreaTripping

Lineups

Žilina
3-4-3Coach: Pavol Stano
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
Jakub Badžgoń1J. Badžgoń
Tobias Pališčák33T. Pališčák
Ján Minárik17J. Minárik
Aleksandre Narimanidze28A. Narimanidze
Timotej Hranica21T. Hranica
Xavier Adang6X. Adang
Miroslav Káčer66M. Káčer
Krisztián Bari20K. Bari
František Kóša7F. Kóša
Marko Roginić95M. Roginić
Patrik Iľko16P. Iľko
Toni Silić33T. Silić
Mathieu Acapandié22M. Acapandié
Marino Skelin36M. Skelin
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Šimun Hrgović32Š. Hrgović
Rokas Pukštas21R. Pukštas
Adrion Pajaziti4A. Pajaziti
Roko Brajković28R. Brajković
Noa Skoko37N. Skoko
Dario Melnjak17D. Melnjak
Michele Šego11M. Šego

Žilina Substitutes

1Dávid Sípoš
26Tamás Tarcsi
2Marek Okal46'for T. Paliscak
14Michal Svoboda
25Filip Kaša
10Andrei Florea
11Fabian Bzdyl66'for M. Kacer
24Samuel Ďatko72'for P. Ilko
77Robert Petruska
9Patrik Baleja
23Michal Faško66'replaced by F. Kosa
34Lukas Prokop

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

1Ivica Ivušić
44Dante Stipica
14Ron Raçi
38Luka Hodak
15Dario Marešić
3Roko Gabrić
9Dalisson de Almeida64'for N. Skoko
19Etnik Brruti
20Alberto del Moral
7Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba75'for S. Hrgovic
26Adam Huram75'for R. Brajkovic
10Marko Livaja86'for M. Sego

Match Stats

ŽilinaHNK Hajduk Split
2Yellow Cards2

Team Comparison

ŽilinaŽilina
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
1686Elo Rating 1763
2.83Attack 1.22
1.21Defense 2.22
39%Hit Rate 86%
-Shots per Game 13.3
-Shots on Target 5.5
-Corners per Game 3.6
-Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ŽilinaŽilina
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ŽilinaŽilina0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

ŽilinaŽilina
2W3D5L
09/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
20
L
01/07/2026
PardubiceŽilina
22
D
28/06/2026
Odra OpoleŽilina
00
D
24/06/2026
Dynamo KyivŽilina
20
L
20/06/2026
ŽilinaOpava
11
D
16/05/2026
ŽilinaPodbrezová
02
L
10/05/2026
Spartak TrnavaŽilina
10
L
05/05/2026
ŽilinaZemplín Michalovce
32
W
01/05/2026
ŽilinaFK Košice
31
W
25/04/2026
Dunajska StredaŽilina
31
L
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
6W2D2L
09/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
20
W
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
27/06/2026
LNZ CherkasyHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
23/06/2026
ShkendijaHNK Hajduk Split
04
W
22/05/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitVukovar
63
W
16/05/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
11
D
09/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
20
L
03/05/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
31
W
26/04/2026
HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split
00
D
21/04/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
01
L

Referee Profile

Horatiu Fesnic195 matches

4.87Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
29.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Horatiu Fesnic4.87
Other referees4.58

4.87 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

About the Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Žilina have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Žilina and HNK Hajduk Split have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.