Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town Prediction

Airbus UK
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
The Airfield, Broughton·B. Williams 30/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
Airbus UK Rest
7 days
Caernarfon Town Rest
7 days

Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: the result in context

Airbus UK beat Caernarfon Town 3-2 in the Premier League on 30 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Caernarfon Town have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.55
X
24%3.70
2
50%1.79
Double Chance
1X
50%1.86
X2
74%1.22
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'O. Lancely
29'H. Charsley
36'S. Bradley(Penalty)
48'G. Peers
49'J. Canavan
52'G. Peers
53'J. Canavan INA. Cieslewicz out
58'B. Nash
60'Z. Clarke
62'J. Piggott INO. Evans out
68'O. Lancely INJ. Roberts out
68'O. Calland INJ. Palmer out
75'G. Peers INJ. Parry out
75'J. Evans INM. Blackwell-Jones out
81'H. Charsley INO. Zanzala out
81'N. Williams
85'K. Cooke INJ. Hughes out
90'
90+4'Z. Clarke

Team Comparison

Airbus UKAirbus UK
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
1662Elo Rating 1639
2.78Attack 2.14
1.45Defense 1.46
81%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Airbus UKAirbus UK
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Airbus UKAirbus UK0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town6Wins · 100%
3.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Premier League31/03/2023
Caernarfon TownAirbus UK
40
Premier League17/02/2023
Airbus UKCaernarfon Town
02
Premier League10/01/2023
Airbus UKCaernarfon Town
03
Premier League02/09/2022
Caernarfon TownAirbus UK
31
Premier League13/12/2019
Caernarfon TownAirbus UK
50
Premier League30/08/2019
Airbus UKCaernarfon Town
23

Recent Form

Airbus UKAirbus UK
6W0D4L
23/10/2026
Cambrian & ClydachAirbus UK
23
W
16/10/2026
Airbus UKThe New Saints
12
L
09/10/2026
LlandudnoAirbus UK
14
W
03/10/2026
Airbus UKTrefelin
30
W
26/09/2026
PenybontAirbus UK
21
L
18/09/2026
Airbus UKFlint Town United
41
W
15/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCAirbus UK
30
L
11/09/2026
Airbus UKThe New Saints
02
L
04/09/2026
Briton FerryAirbus UK
02
W
31/08/2026
Airbus UKHolywell
62
W
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
6W2D2L
23/10/2026
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31
W
17/10/2026
Flint Town UnitedCaernarfon Town
13
W
09/10/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
12
W
03/10/2026
Caernarfon TownBarry Town
01
L
26/09/2026
Cardiff METCaernarfon Town
22
D
18/09/2026
Caernarfon TownCambrian & Clydach
91
W
15/09/2026
LlandudnoCaernarfon Town
11
D
11/09/2026
Ammanford AFCCaernarfon Town
05
W
04/09/2026
Caernarfon TownFlint Town United
30
W
31/08/2026
Caernarfon TownThe New Saints
23
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1The New SaintsThe New Saints14131053:6+4740WWWWW
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334WWWWW
3PenybontPenybont1393125:11+1430WLWWW
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1492340:16+2429WWLDW
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1482424:17+726DWLWW
6Barry TownBarry Town1481529:26+325LLWLL
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1480628:20+824WWWLW
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1464426:18+822DLWWD
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318LLLWL
10LlandudnoLlandudno1451822:25-316LLLLL
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913WLLLL
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1433813:25-1212LLWDD
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1432914:25-1111WLWWL
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1423910:41-319LWWLL
15TrefelinTrefelin1413108:33-256LWLLD
16HolywellHolywell13021114:44-302LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1The New SaintsThe New Saints1453:640
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC1432:934
3PenybontPenybont1325:1130
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1440:1629
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1424:1726
6Barry TownBarry Town1429:2625
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1428:2024
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1426:1822
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1423:3618
10LlandudnoLlandudno1422:2516
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1411:2013
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1413:2512
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1414:2511
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1410:419
15TrefelinTrefelin148:336
16HolywellHolywell1314:442
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town are 4th and Airbus UK 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Airbus UK 28-20, Caernarfon Town 40-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.