Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha Prediction

Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Abha
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah·Sami Al Jires, Saudi Arabia 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseHighGap+4.4%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseHighGap+10.7%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
5 days
Abha Rest
6 days

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha: the result in context

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Abha 4-0 in the Pro League on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Abha.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.19
X
19%6.20
2
9%11.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
28%4.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.91
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.64 + 0.84 = 3.48
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
76%1.40
Over 3.5
55%2.06
Under 1.5
16%5.78
Under 2.5
24%2.75
Under 3.5
45%1.72
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'I. ToneyAssist: E. Spertsyan
13'I. Toney(Penalty)
41'E. SpertsyanFoul
46'B. Al Sayyali INK. Boumedmed out
46'Z. Al Hawsawi INS. Balobaid out
51'Trincao
57'I. ToneyAssist: Trincao
66'E. Spertsyan INS. Abu Al Shamat out
66'I. Toney INF. Al Buraikan out
66'Galeno INM. Al Mutairi out
66'L. Rosier INM. Al-Zaid out
67'F. Al Ghamdi INK. Al Shamrani out
67'A. Hindi INN. Fekir out
76'N. Al Daajani INF. Al Subiani out
81'Z. Al JohaniFoul
84'V. Atangana INN. Masoud out
86'N. FekirFoul
90+3'F. Al SubianiFoul

Lineups

Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Coach: Marino Pusic
Abha
4-1-4-1Coach: Damir Buric
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.30
Edouard MendyC8.216E. Mendy
Rayan Hamed6.946R. Hamed
Merih Demiral7.228M. Demiral
Roger Ibañez7.33R. Ibañez
Zakaria Hawsawi6.72Z. Hawsawi
Ziyad Aljohani7.230Z. Aljohani
Valentin Atangana Edoa6.96V. Atangana Edoa
Francisco Trincão8.57F. Trincão
Eduard Spertsyan7.28E. Spertsyan
Wenderson Galeno7.713W. Galeno
Ivan Toney9.717I. Toney
Donovan Léon6.516D. Léon
Mohammed Al-Dosari7.223M. Al-Dosari
Jurien GaariC5.23J. Gaari
Abdou Diallo6.222A. Diallo
Abdulbaset Hindi5.637A. Hindi
Loreintz Rosier5.932L. Rosier
Keshim Al-Qahtani5.920K. Al-Qahtani
Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali6.54B. Yousef Al-Sayyali
Nasser Al-Daajani6.68N. Al-Daajani
Firas Al-Ghamdi6.27F. Al-Ghamdi
Michy Batshuayi6.244M. Batshuayi

Al-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes

31Saad Yaslam Balobaid46'for Z. Al Hawsawi6.6
11Meshal Al Mutairi6.2
47Saleh Abu Al-Shamat66'for E. Spertsyan7.0
9Firas Al-Buraikan66'for I. Toney6.6
1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
5Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor
29Mohammed Abdulrahman
66Naif Masoud
21Abdullah Radif

Abha Substitutes

9Kamil Boumedmed46'for B. Al Sayyali6.7
39Mohammed Al-Zaid66'for L. Rosier6.3
10Nabil Fekir67'for A. Hindi86'6.9
12Khaled Al Shamrani67'for F. Al Ghamdi6.6
21Abdulrahman Al Bouq
80Safwan Aljohani
19Abdullah Al-Fahad
6Faisal Al-Sibyani76'replaced by N. Al Daajani90+3'6.3
29Majed Dawran

Match Stats

Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
50%Ball Possession50%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots4
18Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
428Total Passes412
370Passes Accurate360
86%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
AbhaAbha
1776Elo Rating 1483
2.43Attack 0.44
0.49Defense 1.78
73%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game 8.9
5.6Shots on Target 3.2
3.1Corners per Game 5.0
1.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+294 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.48 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AbhaAbha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
AbhaAbha2Wins · 28%
3.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Pro League18/05/2024
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
51
Pro League30/11/2023
AbhaAl-Ahli Jeddah
06
King's Cup31/10/2023
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
12
Pro League22/05/2022
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
11
Pro League21/11/2021
AbhaAl-Ahli Jeddah
20
Pro League25/05/2021
AbhaAl-Ahli Jeddah
11
Pro League19/01/2021
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
30

Recent Form

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
5W2D3L
17/08/2026
Al AnwarAl-Ahli Jeddah
12
W
13/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah
01
W
28/07/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahFulham
11
D
28/07/2026
PortimonenseAl-Ahli Jeddah
20
L
24/07/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahGuimaraes
13
L
19/07/2026
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah
22
D
15/07/2026
Holstein KielAl-Ahli Jeddah
41
L
20/05/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
14
W
16/05/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Kholood
30
W
11/05/2026
Al TaawonAl-Ahli Jeddah
12
W
AbhaAbha
4W1D5L
16/08/2026
Al OrubahAbha
3020
L
13/08/2026
AbhaAl-Hazm
12
L
31/07/2026
RizesporAbha
00
D
13/05/2026
Al-RaedAbha
51
L
09/05/2026
AbhaAl-Adalah
01
L
01/05/2026
Al DiriyahAbha
20
L
26/04/2026
AbhaAl Baten
31
W
21/04/2026
Al TaeeAbha
12
W
15/04/2026
AbhaJeddah Club
10
W
09/04/2026
Al UlaAbha
12
W

Referee Profile

Sami Al Jires69 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sami Al Jires4.34
Other referees4.27

4.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th and Abha 18th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ahli Jeddah 28-19, Abha 7-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.