Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction

Al-Fateh
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Al-Ettifaq
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Ahsa·Ali Al-Qahtani, Saudi Arabia 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseHighGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.92
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
Al-Fateh Rest
2 days
Al-Ettifaq Rest
3 days

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq: the result in context

Al-Ettifaq beat Al-Fateh 1-0 in the Pro League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Al-Fateh have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Ali Al-Qahtani averages 3.50 cards a game, 0.70 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.23
X
31%3.58
2
36%2.87
Double Chance
1X
64%1.40
X2
67%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.44
No
34%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.61 = 3.12
Over 1.5
82%1.16
Over 2.5
55%1.54
Over 3.5
35%2.35
Under 1.5
18%4.89
Under 2.5
45%2.40
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.44
Over 9.5
49%1.80
Over 10.5
36%2.26
Under 8.5
40%2.43
Under 9.5
51%1.92
Under 10.5
64%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

60'A. Al Fawaz INSorriso out
71'R. Messi INM. Gluscevic out
78'J. HendryAssist: A. Medran
79'A. Al Suwailem INA. I. Al Khaibari out
79'L. Haraslin INF. Al Zubaidi out
86'M. Lixandru INS. Al Sharfa out
86'A. A. Khateeb INA. Madu out
86'S. Baattia INA. R. Al Khaibre out
86'M. Al Olayan INM. Al Alaeli out
86'K. Al Ghannam INB. Celina out
90'A. Medran INM. Al Sibyani out

Lineups

Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1Coach: Khaled Al Atwi
Al-Ettifaq
4-3-3Coach: Arthur Papas
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating7.00
Waled Al Enazi6.094W. Al Enazi
Saeed Baattia6.615S. Baattia
Kennedy Boateng6.73K. Boateng
Marwane SaadaneC7.017M. Saadane
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem7.078A. Al Suwailem
Mihai Lixandru6.98M. Lixandru
Zaydou Youssouf6.228Z. Youssouf
Mourad Batna6.311M. Batna
Abdulaziz Al Fawaz6.718A. Al Fawaz
Lukáš Haraslín6.710L. Haraslín
Wilfried Kanga6.99W. Kanga
Turki Ba Al-Jawsh7.292T. Ba Al-Jawsh
Radhi Al-Oteibi6.761R. Al-Oteibi
Jack Hendry7.64J. Hendry
Abdullah KhateebC6.970A. Khateeb
Madallah Al-Olayan7.333M. Al-Olayan
Álvaro Medrán7.910Á. Medrán
Ondrej Duda7.311O. Duda
Yasir Shammari6.658Y. Shammari
Rayane Messi6.580R. Messi
Moussa Dembélé6.79M. Dembélé
Khalid Al-Ghannam6.37K. Al-Ghannam

Al-Fateh Substitutes

23Sorriso60'for A. Al Fawaz6.5
38Ibrahim Al Abood
16Abdulelah Al Khaibari79'for A. Al Suwailem
4Ziyad Aljari
22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
19Robin Kelder
7Fahad Zubaidi
80Faisal Al Abdulwahed
49Saad Al-Shurafa86'for M. Lixandru

Al-Ettifaq Substitutes

71Matija Glušćević71'for R. Messi
22Abdulbasit Hawsawi
13Meshal Alaeli86'for M. Al Olayan
87Meshal Ali Khayrallah
3Abdullah Madu86'for A. A. Khateeb
6Faris Al Ghamdi
29Abdullah Al Ghamdi
43Bersant Celina86'for K. Al Ghannam
88Ali Al-Essa

Match Stats

Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
45%Ball Possession55%
6Corner Kicks11
11Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls9
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
333Total Passes398
271Passes Accurate333
81%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq
1424Elo Rating 1600
1.59Attack 1.70
0.00Defense 1.94
19%Hit Rate 63%
12.6Shots per Game 10.5
4.0Shots on Target 5.4
6.6Corners per Game 3.5
2.1Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-FatehAl-Fateh7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Pro League19/02/2026
Al-EttifaqAl-Fateh
43
Pro League24/10/2025
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
21
Pro League14/02/2025
Al-EttifaqAl-Fateh
12
Pro League14/09/2024
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
12
Pro League03/04/2024
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
10
Pro League05/10/2023
Al-EttifaqAl-Fateh
12
Pro League22/05/2023
Al-EttifaqAl-Fateh
04
Pro League12/01/2023
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
20
Pro League27/02/2022
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
40
Pro League30/09/2021
Al-EttifaqAl-Fateh
00

Recent Form

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
2W3D5L
19/08/2026
Al UlaAl-Fateh
30
L
15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
30
L
25/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Fateh
30
L
21/05/2026
Al KholoodAl-Fateh
00
D
14/05/2026
Al-FatehAl Najma
20
W
10/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh
10
L
06/05/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
31
L
02/05/2026
Al-FatehNEOM
22
D
28/04/2026
Al ShababAl-Fateh
11
D
24/04/2026
Al-FatehAl Khaleej Saihat
10
W
Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq
3W3D4L
18/08/2026
Al JabalainAl-Ettifaq
10
L
14/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
42
W
25/07/2026
EldenseAl-Ettifaq
31
L
24/07/2026
YorkAl-Ettifaq
22
D
21/05/2026
NEOMAl-Ettifaq
11
D
14/05/2026
Al-EttifaqAl-Ittihad FC
13
L
09/05/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ettifaq
05
W
04/05/2026
Al-EttifaqAl Najma
00
D
30/04/2026
Al OkhdoodAl-Ettifaq
13
W
15/04/2026
Al-NassrAl-Ettifaq
10
L

Referee Profile

Ali Al-Qahtani15 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.36Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
20.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ali Al-Qahtani3.50
Other referees4.20

3.50 cards a match, 0.70 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Fateh and Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ettifaq are 7th and Al-Fateh 16th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Fateh 10-23, Al-Ettifaq 17-16. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.