Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm Prediction
Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 7
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 11/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseHighGap+3.6%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
3 days
Al-Hazm Rest
3 days
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm: the result in context
Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al-Hazm 3-1 in the Pro League on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
176%1.23
X14%5.90
210%9.99
Double Chance
1X90%1.04
X223%3.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.95
No46%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 0.91 = 3.16
Over 1.582%1.14
Over 2.560%1.50
Over 3.538%2.28
Under 1.518%5.00
Under 2.540%2.45
Under 3.562%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.2 = 9.5
Over 8.554%1.90
Over 9.543%2.43
Over 10.535%3.28
Under 8.546%1.83
Under 9.557%1.45
Under 10.565%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.533%1.51
Over 4.517%2.04
Under 3.567%2.27
Under 4.583%1.72
Match Events
2'Ahmed Al-NakhliAssist: Elton Acolatse
21'Francisco TrincãoAssist: Ivan Toney
32'Ivan Toney(Penalty)
45'Ivan Toney
45'Abdullah Al Shanqiti INMory Konate out
45'Ahmed Al-Shamrani INAmir Saâyoud out
46'Sultan TankerFoul
49'Ivan Toney(Penalty missed)
63'Saud Al-Rashid INMohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami out
69'Francisco Trincão INFiras Al-Buraikan out
70'Wenderson Galeno INMeshal Al Materai out
75'Saeed Baattia INMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef out
81'Penalty cancelledIvan Toney
83'Elton Acolatse INMohammed Al Hamdani out
83'Aboubacar·Diakite INWaleed Al-Shanqiti out
90'Eduard Spertsyan INRayan Hamed Hamidou out
90'Zakaria Hawsawi INSaad Yaslam Balobaid out
Lineups
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm
4-2-3-1Coach: J. KadriAvg ratingAvg rating
16É. Mendy
15S. Baattia
28M. Demiral
3Ibañez
2Z. Al Hawsawi
6V. Atangana Edoa
8E. Spertsyan
7Trincão
47W. Saleh
13Galeno
17I. Toney
23I. Zaid
2S. Al Rashed
13A. Al Shanqiti
4S. Tanker
27A. Al Nakhli
24A. Bah
17B. Mugisha
70A. Al Shamrani
28S. Bendebka
7E. Acolatse
29A. DiakiteAl-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes
11Meshal Al Mutairi70'for Wenderson Galeno
9Feras Al Brikan69'for Francisco Trincão
29Mohammed Yousef75'for Saeed Baattia
5Mohammed Bakor
31Saad Yaslam90'for Zakaria Hawsawi
1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
25Faisal Ibrahim Ahmed Fallatah
46Rayane Hamidou90'for Eduard Spertsyan
21Abdullah Radif
Al-Hazm Substitutes
36J. Staněk
77M. Al Hamdani83'for Elton Acolatse
82Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
98A. Al Hujaili
11Waleed Al Shanqiti83'for Aboubacar·Diakite
5Mohammed Issa63'for Saud Al-Rashid
95Jaser Ateeq
8M. Konaté45'for Abdullah Al Shanqiti
10A. Sayoud45'for Ahmed Al-Shamrani
Match Stats
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm 51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
23Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal10
20Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots5
19Fouls14
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes397
345Passes Accurate329
85%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm1776Elo Rating 1492
2.43Attack 1.47
0.49Defense 0.63
73%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game 10.6
5.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.1Corners per Game 2.9
1.1Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+285 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
Game State Tendencies
Al-Ahli Jeddah- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-Hazm- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Al-Ahli Jeddah6Wins · 75%Draws225%
Al-Hazm0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
05/02/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm20
26/09/2025Al-HazmAl-Ahli Jeddah02
22/12/2023Al-HazmAl-Ahli Jeddah04
11/08/2023Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm31
29/05/2023Al-HazmAl-Ahli Jeddah00
18/01/2023Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm10
15/01/2022Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Hazm10
19/08/2021Al-HazmAl-Ahli Jeddah22
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah5W1D4L
08/09/2026
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al KholoodAl-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
AucklandAl-Ahli Jeddah
Abha
Al DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Ahli Jeddah32
L04/09/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh50
W01/09/2026Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli Jeddah30
L29/08/2026Al KholoodAl-Ahli Jeddah31
L26/08/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAuckland10
W22/08/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAbha40
W17/08/2026
Al AnwarAl-Ahli Jeddah
13/08/2026Al AnwarAl-Ahli Jeddah12
WAl DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah01
W28/07/2026Al-Ahli Jeddah
Fulham
Al-Ahli JeddahFulham11
D28/07/2026
PortimonenseAl-Ahli Jeddah
PortimonenseAl-Ahli Jeddah20
LAl-Hazm4W3D3L
08/09/2026Al-Hazm
Al TaawonAl-Hazm
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hazm
Al-HazmAl Taawon10
W05/09/2026
Al-Faisaly FCAl-Hazm
30/08/2026Al-Faisaly FCAl-Hazm00
DAl-HazmAl Shabab11
D24/08/2026Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hazm32
L21/08/2026Al-HazmAl Diriyah
Al-HazmAl Diriyah01
L16/08/2026
Al BukayriyahAl-Hazm
Al BukayriyahAl-Hazm23
W13/08/2026AbhaAl-Hazm
AbhaAl-Hazm12
W21/05/2026Al-HazmAl Taawon
Al-HazmAl Taawon20
W14/05/2026Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hazm
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hazm20
L09/05/2026
Al NajmaAl-Hazm
Al NajmaAl-Hazm22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32:9 | +23 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32:12 | +20 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:11 | +17 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 24 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28:19 | +9 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | +1 | 19 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 9 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:26 | -9 | 12 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:25 | -14 | 12 | LWLDW |
| 13 |  Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LWLDW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 32:9 | 30 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 32:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 28:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 10:25 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 7:19 | 3 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
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About the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm forecast
The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm in the Pro League table
In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th and Al-Hazm 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ahli Jeddah 28-19, Al-Hazm 14-20. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.