Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha Prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Abha
Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman·Abdullah Al-Kharbosh 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Rest
3 days
Abha Rest
32 days

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha: the result in context

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Abha 2-1 in the Pro League on 16 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Qadisiyah FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Abha.

Al-Qadisiyah FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 2.3 for Abha.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.10
X
12%8.85
2
5%17.38
Double Chance
1X
95%1.02
X2
17%6.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.85
No
47%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.63 + 0.99 = 3.62
Over 1.5
90%1.05
Over 2.5
77%1.22
Over 3.5
57%1.63
Under 1.5
10%8.50
Under 2.5
23%3.72
Under 3.5
43%2.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 8.3 + 2.5 = 10.7
Over 8.5
72%1.47
Over 9.5
61%1.80
Over 10.5
50%2.26
Under 8.5
28%2.52
Under 9.5
39%1.91
Under 10.5
50%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.5 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.72
Over 4.5
36%2.42
Under 3.5
44%2.05
Under 4.5
64%1.52

Match Events

5'Mateo Retegui(Penalty missed)
7'Julian WeiglFoul
28'Ali Badra Diabaté INYasir Al-Shahrani out
30'Mateo ReteguiAssist: Tijjani Reijnders
54'Nabil FekirDissent
59'Khaled Al Shamrani INSafwan Al Johani out
59'Nabil Fekir INNasser Al Daajani out
69'Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatAssist: Mateo Retegui
70'Musab Al-Juwayr INAbdullah Al-Salem out
70'Christopher Bonsu Baah INTurki Al-Ammar out
76'Georges-Kévin N'Koudou INAlimani Gory out
77'Mohammed Al-Dosari INAmar Al-Yuhaybi out
82'Firas Al-Ghamdi INBader Al Mutairi out
84'Mateo Retegui INMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani out
85'Nahitan Nández INEyad Housa out
86'Turki Al-AmmarFoul
90+5'Alimani GoryAssist: Safwan Al Johani

Lineups

Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Abha
5-4-1Coach: D. Burić
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.30
K. Casteels6.61K. Casteels
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm7.14J. Abdullatif Ahm
G. Álvarez7.217G. Álvarez
Badra Diabbate Ali6.826B. Diabbate Ali
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat7.72M. Abu Al Shamat
N. Nández6.78N. Nández
J. Weigl6.95J. Weigl
T. Reijnders7.214T. Reijnders
C. Bonsu Baah6.322C. Bonsu Baah
M. Retegui8.432M. Retegui
Musab Al Juwayr6.110M. Al Juwayr
A. Al Bouq6.021A. Al Bouq
Mohammed Al Dossary6.623M. Al Dossary
J. Gaari6.33J. Gaari
Abdullah Al Fahad6.319A. Al Fahad
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi6.537A. Al-Hindi
K. Al Shamrani5.712K. Al Shamrani
Abdulkarim Darisi5.817A. Darisi
N. Fekir6.810N. Fekir
Firas Al-Ghamdi6.27F. Al-Ghamdi
G. Nkoudou5.914G. Nkoudou
M. Batshuayi6.244M. Batshuayi

Al-Qadisiyah FC Substitutes

27E. Houssa85'for Nahitan Nández6.7
42Abdulaziz Al Elewai
7Turki Al Ammar70'for Christopher Bonsu Baah86'6.2
18Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
28Ahmed Al Kassar
15Mohammed Al Qahtani84'for Mateo Retegui6.5
9Abdullah Al Salem70'for Musab Al-Juwayr6.5
12Yasir Al Shahrani28'for Ali Badra Diabaté7.0
35A. Al Siyahi

Abha Substitutes

28Bader Al Mutairi82'for Firas Al-Ghamdi6.0
20K. Al Qahtani
6Faisal Al Subiani
90Amar Al Yuhaybi77'for Mohammed Al-Dosari6.1
9Kamil Boumedmed
11A. Gory76'for Georges-Kévin N'Koudou90+5'7.3
26Mustafa Malayekah
8Nasser Al Daajani59'for Nabil Fekir6.5
80Safwan Saud59'for Khaled Al Shamrani6.4

Match Stats

Al-Qadisiyah FCAbha
66%Ball Possession34%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots2
12Fouls8
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
669Total Passes330
598Passes Accurate272
5Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
AbhaAbha
1851Elo Rating 1491
2.03Attack 0.39
1.83Defense 1.53
56%Hit Rate 0%
15.9Shots per Game 7.0
6.2Shots on Target 1.7
7.8Corners per Game 2.3
0.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+360 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.62 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AbhaAbha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
AbhaAbha0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Pro League30/05/2021
Al-Qadisiyah FCAbha
11
Pro League24/01/2021
AbhaAl-Qadisiyah FC
22

Recent Form

AbhaAbha
0W3D7L
13/09/2026
Al DiriyahAbha
00
D
09/09/2026
Al-NassrAbha
21
L
04/09/2026
AbhaAl-Ettifaq
01
L
28/08/2026
Al-FayhaAbha
32
L
25/08/2026
AbhaAl Khaleej Saihat
11
D
22/08/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
40
L
16/08/2026
Al OrubahAbha
3020
L
13/08/2026
AbhaAl-Hazm
12
L
31/07/2026
RizesporAbha
00
D
13/05/2026
Al-RaedAbha
51
L

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al-Kharbosh50 matches

3.88Cards per match
3.75Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdullah Al-Kharbosh3.88
Other referees4.21

3.88 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha in the Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Al-Qadisiyah FC are 3rd in the Pro League, while Abha sit 18th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Al-Qadisiyah FC 26-12, Abha 6-18. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Qadisiyah FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.