APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney FC U23 Prediction

Lambert Park, Sydney 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalHIGHModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Rest
7 days
Sydney FC U23 Rest
7 days

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney FC U23: result, form and history

APIA Leichhardt Tigers beat Sydney FC U23 2-1 in the New South Wales NPL on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.46
X
15%4.25
2
9%5.40
Double Chance
1X
91%1.08
X2
24%2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.65
No
49%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.56 + 0.8 = 3.36
Over 1.5
85%1.13
Over 2.5
69%1.52
Over 3.5
50%2.34
Under 1.5
15%4.60
Under 2.5
31%2.30
Under 3.5
50%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'J. Stewart
77'M. S. Konestabo
85'J. Brazete

Team Comparison

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23
1644Elo Rating 1458
1.74Attack 1.18
1.80Defense 1.38
42%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+186 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233Wins · 30%
4.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

New South Wales NPL27/03/2026
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
02
New South Wales NPL20/06/2025
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
26
New South Wales NPL09/03/2025
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney FC U23
20
New South Wales NPL11/08/2024
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney FC U23
15
New South Wales NPL05/05/2024
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
17
New South Wales NPL13/08/2023
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney FC U23
30
New South Wales NPL28/04/2023
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
40
New South Wales NPL25/06/2022
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney FC U23
11
New South Wales NPL10/04/2022
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
43
New South Wales NPL18/04/2021
Sydney FC U23APIA Leichhardt Tigers
23

Recent Form

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
6W1D3L
04/07/2026
Sutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
32
L
28/06/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersRockdale City Suns
02
L
21/06/2026
Blacktown CityAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
13
W
13/06/2026
Wollongong WolvesAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
02
W
06/06/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersManly United
20
W
30/05/2026
NWS SpiritAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
12
W
24/05/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersMarconi Stallions
11
D
16/05/2026
St George City FAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
21
L
09/05/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney United
21
W
02/05/2026
SD RaidersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
23
W
Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23
6W1D3L
04/07/2026
UNSWSydney FC U23
32
L
30/06/2026
SD RaidersSydney FC U23
01
W
26/06/2026
Sydney FC U23Sydney United
10
W
21/06/2026
Wollongong WolvesSydney FC U23
23
W
12/06/2026
Marconi StallionsSydney FC U23
00
D
05/06/2026
Sydney FC U23NWS Spirit
10
W
29/05/2026
Sydney FC U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23
06
L
15/05/2026
Sydney FC U23Sydney Olympic
20
W
10/05/2026
Rockdale City SunsSydney FC U23
30
L
02/05/2026
St George City FASydney FC U23
05
W

League Table

New South Wales NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers30215466:35+3168WDWDW
2Sydney UnitedSydney United30204647:20+2764WDWWW
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions30195650:22+2862DWWLL
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks301441246:38+846LWLDW
5Manly UnitedManly United301281039:35+444WWLWD
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns301341348:42+643WLLLD
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit301251337:38-141DWWWL
8SD RaidersSD Raiders301251344:49-541WLLWW
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23301181138:43-541DWLDL
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23301151455:49+638WLLLW
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves301151435:43-838LWWLL
12St George City FASt George City FA301071330:46-1637LLWWW
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City30881441:48-732LLDLW
14UNSWUNSW30951638:49-1132LLDLL
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints30831928:55-2727LWWDL
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic30651932:62-3023DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3066:3568
2Sydney UnitedSydney United3047:2064
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions3050:2262
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks3046:3846
5Manly UnitedManly United3039:3544
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns3048:4243
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit3037:3841
8SD RaidersSD Raiders3044:4941
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233038:4341
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U233055:4938
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves3035:4338
12St George City FASt George City FA3030:4637
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City3041:4832
14UNSWUNSW3038:4932
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints3028:5527
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic3032:6223

About the APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney FC U23 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Sydney FC U23 in the New South Wales NPL table

In the New South Wales NPL table, APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 1st and Sydney FC U23 9th, 27 points apart. League goal record so far: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 66-35, Sydney FC U23 38-43. The full standings are on the New South Wales NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.