Ararat-Armenia vs Riga Prediction

Ararat-Armenia
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Riga
Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan·Klim Zabroda, Ukraine 07/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.98
SignalNEUTRALModel34%SurpriseHighGap+6.6%
Ararat-Armenia Rest
10 days
Riga Rest
4 days

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga: result, form and history

Ararat-Armenia beat Riga 2-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 7 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.70
X
22%3.22
2
39%2.48
Double Chance
1X
61%1.50
X2
61%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.75
No
53%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.12 = 2.14
Over 1.5
53%1.30
Over 2.5
45%1.95
Over 3.5
5%3.33
Under 1.5
47%3.18
Under 2.5
55%1.78
Under 3.5
95%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'A. Malis INB. R. Wilson Valdez out
54'M. BadamosiHolding
63'H. OliveiraAssist: K. Muradyan
68'S. Oulad M'HandTripping
72'F. OrolsHandling
72'Sandro Lima INA. Ndour out
72'A. Tera INA. Ambartsumyan out
73'Z. Shaghoyan INFranca Carlos out
76'R. Aouani INK. Zviedris out
86'Franca CarlosAssist: E. Grigoryan
86'M. Badamosi INReginaldo Ramires out
86'S. Oulad M'Hand INM. Diop out
88'A. Serobyan INZ. Banjaqui out
90+5'O. Galo INIago Siqueira out

Lineups

Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Coach: Tulipa
Riga
4-3-2-1Coach: Adrian Gula
João Bravim98J. Bravim
Kamo Hovhannisyan13K. Hovhannisyan
Junior Julio3J. Julio
Alexandros Malis47A. Malis
Edgar Grigoryan16E. Grigoryan
Hugo Oliveira2H. Oliveira
Alwyn Tera20A. Tera
Karen Muradyan19K. Muradyan
Artur Serobyan77A. Serobyan
Sandro Lima91S. Lima
Zhirayr Shaghoyan7Z. Shaghoyan
Frenks Orols91F. Orols
Paulo33Paulo
Karl Gameni Wassom5K. Gameni Wassom
Baba Musah21B. Musah
Andrés Salazar17A. Salazar
Raivis Jurkovskis13R. Jurkovskis
Ahmed Ankrah40A. Ankrah
Orlando Galo4O. Galo
Salah Oulad M'Hand18S. Oulad M'Hand
Raki Aouani7R. Aouani
Muhammed Badamosi19M. Badamosi

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

43Bruno Wilson44'for A. Malis
10Armen Ambartsumyan72'for A. Tera
25Alioune Ndour72'for Sandro Lima
95Carlos França73'for Z. Shaghoyan86'
11Zidane Banjaqui88'for A. Serobyan
1Arman Nersesyan
5Luís Felipe
14Bruno Pereira
6Michel Ayvazyan
17Maxence Carlier
9Arayik Eloyan
90Paul Ayongo

Riga Substitutes

1Krišjānis Zviedris76'for R. Aouani
22Meïssa Diop
10Reginaldo Ramires86'for M. Badamosi
8Iago Siqueira Augusto90+5'for O. Galo
44Marcis Kazainis
3Abner
23Maksims Tonisevs
25Abdulrahman Taiwo
70Juan Christian
99Caio Ferreira

Team Comparison

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
RigaRiga
1614Elo Rating 1760
1.01Attack 1.39
1.03Defense 2.31
37%Hit Rate 54%
11.5Shots per Game 16.9
4.0Shots on Target 6.1
4.2Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)
RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Recent Form

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
7W2D1L
27/06/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaVojvodina
11
D
27/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaGandzasar
10
W
17/05/2026
BKMAArarat-Armenia
23
W
10/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Noah
04
L
06/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaPyunik Yerevan
10
W
03/05/2026
FC UrartuArarat-Armenia
02
W
25/04/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat
40
W
20/04/2026
ShirakArarat-Armenia
04
W
11/04/2026
Pyunik YerevanArarat-Armenia
02
W
06/04/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaAlashkert
11
D
RigaRiga
8W2D0L
03/07/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
30
W
29/06/2026
AudaRiga
02
W
25/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
00
D
21/06/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
40
W
17/06/2026
RigaRīgas FS
21
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
W
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
W
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
W
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
W
16/05/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
22
D

Referee Profile

Klim Zabroda64 matches

3.67Cards per match
3.50Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Klim Zabroda3.67
Other referees3.98

3.67 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded

About the Ararat-Armenia vs Riga forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ararat-Armenia and Riga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.