Riga vs FK Liepaja Prediction

Riga
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
FK Liepaja
Skonto stadions, Riga 21/06/2026
RigaRiga
4-0
Finished
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Riga Rest
3 days
FK Liepaja Rest
4 days

Riga vs FK Liepaja: result, form and history

Riga beat FK Liepaja 4-0 in the Virsliga on 21 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Riga had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FK Liepaja.

Riga have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 4.8 for Riga.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
85%1.29
X
8%5.00
2
7%8.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.06
X2
15%3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.79
No
56%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.50
Over 3.5
19%2.28
Under 1.5
36%4.80
Under 2.5
61%2.39
Under 3.5
81%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'A. SalazarAssist: S. Oulad M'Hand
27'M. Badamosi(Penalty)
34'S. Oulad M'Hand
46'A. Korobenko INV. Sorokins out
57'D. Gueye INC. Amatkarijo out
57'I. Patrikejevs INA. Ogunniyi out
59'Caio Ferreira INM. Diop out
59'A. Ankrah INK. Wassom out
59'M. Badamosi INReginaldo Ramires out
67'I. Pulis INA. Traore out
70'S. Oulad M'Hand INIago Siqueira out
77'O. GaloAssist: K. Wassom
78'R. Aouani INJuan Christian out
78'E. Rodolphe INL. Lakutis out

Team Comparison

RigaRiga
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1760Elo Rating 1499
1.39Attack 1.36
2.31Defense 2.13
54%Hit Rate 23%
16.9Shots per Game 18.0
6.1Shots on Target 5.0
4.8Corners per Game 9.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+261 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RigaRiga8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja1Wins · 10%
3.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga07/03/2026
FK LiepajaRiga
21
Virsliga03/10/2025
RigaFK Liepaja
30
Cup18/09/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
04
Virsliga19/07/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
23
Virsliga19/05/2025
RigaFK Liepaja
20
Virsliga03/04/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
25
Virsliga29/09/2024
RigaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga07/07/2024
FK LiepajaRiga
03
Virsliga14/05/2024
FK LiepajaRiga
11

Recent Form

RigaRiga
8W2D0L
17/06/2026
RigaRīgas FS
21
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
W
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
W
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
W
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
W
16/05/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
22
D
12/05/2026
RigaAuda
41
W
08/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
13
W
03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
W
28/04/2026
Rīgas FSRiga
33
D
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
4W2D4L
16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
L
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
W
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
W
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
L
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
W
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
W
08/05/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
50
L
03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
L
28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Riga vs FK Liepaja forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Riga and FK Liepaja in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, Riga are 2nd and FK Liepaja 5th, 35 points apart. League goal record so far: Riga 95-33, FK Liepaja 46-46. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.