FK Liepaja vs Super Nova Prediction

VirsligaLatvia Latvia · Regular Season - 17
FK Liepaja
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Super Nova
Daugavas stadions 12/06/2026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
2-1
Finished
Super NovaSuper Nova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
FK Liepaja Rest
13 days
Super Nova Rest
13 days

FK Liepaja vs Super Nova: result, form and history

FK Liepaja beat Super Nova 2-1 in the Virsliga on 12 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FK Liepaja have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 1.0 for Super Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.53
X
21%3.85
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.11
X2
43%2.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.73
Over 3.5
19%2.88
Under 1.5
37%3.83
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'V. LizunovsAssist: N. Pathe
37'D. Gueye(Penalty)
42'K. LeidsmanFoul
45'D. PatijcuksAssist: K. Leidsman
46'R. Sitjakovs INE. Emsis out
58'D. Patijcuks INI. Patrikejevs out
58'A. Ogunniyi INFellipe Vieira out
60'I. KorotkovsFoul
66'R. Iida INI. Ndiaye out
66'N. Pathe INA. Grikovs out
69'D. Gueye INC. Amatkarijo out
72'J. CirulisFoul
76'K. Skadmanis INA. Baghdasaryan out
80'E. EmsisFoul
83'J. Cirulis INN. Barkovskis out
87'FacuFoul
88'M. OssFoul
89'K. Leidsman INI. Pulis out
89'A. Haidara INA. Traore out
90+1'M. MartinsFoul
90+3'D. OssDelay of game

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Super NovaSuper Nova
1499Elo Rating 1421
1.36Attack 0.66
2.13Defense 1.04
23%Hit Rate 19%
18.0Shots per Game 10.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.0
9.0Corners per Game 1.0
1.0Cards per Game 6.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Super NovaSuper Nova2Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga23/04/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
Virsliga09/11/2025
Super NovaFK Liepaja
30
Virsliga25/08/2025
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
03
Virsliga17/06/2025
Super NovaFK Liepaja
13
Virsliga25/04/2025
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
22
Virsliga11/11/2023
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
20
Virsliga28/08/2023
Super NovaFK Liepaja
02
Virsliga09/06/2023
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
Virsliga28/04/2023
Super NovaFK Liepaja
26
Virsliga11/09/2022
Super NovaFK Liepaja
22

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
4W3D3L
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
W
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
L
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
W
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
W
08/05/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
50
L
03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
L
28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
D
23/04/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
W
17/04/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
22
D
Super NovaSuper Nova
3W1D6L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
W
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
06/05/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
L
01/05/2026
Super NovaAuda
12
L
27/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
01
W
23/04/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
L
18/04/2026
Rīgas FSSuper Nova
20
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

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About the FK Liepaja vs Super Nova forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Super Nova in the Virsliga table

FK Liepaja and Super Nova are close in the Virsliga table, 5th and 6th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 46-46, Super Nova 32-50. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.