Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Tukums
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
12/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel17%SurpriseHighGap+9.7%
Tukums Rest
13 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
12 days

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: the result in context

Tukums and BFC Daugavpils drew 1-1 in the Virsliga on 12 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.40
X
25%3.42
2
33%2.50
Double Chance
1X
67%1.42
X2
58%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.69
Over 3.5
19%2.72
Under 1.5
37%3.96
Under 2.5
61%2.05
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'K. VolkovsFoul
46'K. VolkovsFoul
46'K. VolkovsFoul
49'Leoni INM. Susts out
61'A. Garzha INM. Sylla out
65'R. Reingolcs INR. Melkis out
65'B. Samoilovs INJ. Toba out
68'Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand INR. Skrebels out
75'R. MelkisAssist: M. Derkach
80'A. Traore IND. Kivinda out
82'Anmanis Kaspars INR. Baumanis out
83'M. Derkach IND. Valmiers out
88'R. NdjikiAssist: J. Yakubu

Team Comparison

TukumsTukums
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1324Elo Rating 1510
0.17Attack 1.30
1.85Defense 2.03
0%Hit Rate 50%
6.2Shots per Game 7.0
2.1Shots on Target 5.0
1.6Corners per Game 3.0
1.6Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TukumsTukums2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga21/04/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
Virsliga30/08/2025
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
01
Virsliga21/06/2025
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
12
Virsliga30/04/2025
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
00
Virsliga07/03/2025
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
30
Virsliga21/09/2024
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
00
Virsliga03/07/2024
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
12
Virsliga12/05/2024
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
41
Virsliga30/03/2024
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
31
Virsliga01/09/2023
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
30

Recent Form

TukumsTukums
2W4D4L
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
W
26/04/2026
AudaTukums
21
L
21/04/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
17/04/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
22
D
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
2W3D5L
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
01
L
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
L
13/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
01
L
08/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
13
L
02/05/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
27/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
01
L
21/04/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
16/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
10
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tukums and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while Tukums sit 9th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Tukums 44-65, BFC Daugavpils 40-37. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.