Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
England · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arsenal vs Chelsea: result, form and history
Arsenal beat Chelsea 2-1 in the Premier League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Arsenal have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Arsenal
Avg ratingAvg rating
1D. Raya
4B. White
15E. Konsa
6G. Magalhães
33R. Calafiori
41D. Rice
49M. Lewis-Skelly
7B. Saka
8M. Ødegaard
17C. Tzolis
29K. Havertz
1E. Martínez
34J. Kofi Acheampong
5M. Lacroix
3W. Fofana
7P. Neto
45R. Lavia
24R. James
21J. Hato
10C. Palmer
17M. Rogers
9J. PedroArsenal Substitutes
Chelsea Substitutes
Match Stats
ArsenalChelsea Team Comparison
ArsenalChelseaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Arsenal- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Chelsea- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Arsenal7Wins · 70%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
01/03/2026ArsenalChelsea
03/02/2026ArsenalChelsea14/01/2026ChelseaArsenal30/11/2025ChelseaArsenal16/03/2025ArsenalChelsea10/11/2024ChelseaArsenal23/04/2024ArsenalChelsea21/10/2023ChelseaArsenal02/05/2023ArsenalChelsea06/11/2022ChelseaArsenalRecent Form
Arsenal
Aston VillaArsenalArsenal
CoventryArsenal
Manchester CityArsenal
ComoArsenal
Borussia DortmundArsenal
Real Betis
GironaArsenal
Paris Saint GermainArsenal
Crystal PalaceArsenalArsenal
BurnleyChelseaChelsea
BrightonChelsea
Luton
FulhamChelseaChelsea
Real Sociedad
Johor Darul Takzim FCChelseaChelsea
AC MilanChelsea
JuventusChelsea
TottenhamChelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
SunderlandChelseaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).
Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LWWLD |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DLDWD |
| 7 |  Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | DDLDW |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 6:14 | 5 |
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About the Arsenal vs Chelsea forecast
As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arsenal and Chelsea in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 2nd and Chelsea 5th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Arsenal 13-5, Chelsea 17-15. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.