Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction

Bournemouth
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Brentford
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap+1.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Bournemouth Rest
3 days
Brentford Rest
7 days

Bournemouth vs Brentford: the result in context

Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. Brentford had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Bournemouth.

Brentford have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Bournemouth tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.3 for Brentford.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.45
X
27%3.60
2
30%2.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.42
X2
57%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.50
No
32%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.31 = 3.10
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.62
Over 3.5
38%2.50
Under 1.5
17%4.47
Under 2.5
39%2.31
Under 3.5
62%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.7 = 11.1
Over 8.5
89%1.27
Over 9.5
82%1.50
Over 10.5
82%1.85
Under 8.5
11%3.29
Under 9.5
18%2.42
Under 10.5
18%1.91
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.65
Over 4.5
37%2.29
Under 3.5
43%2.16
Under 4.5
63%1.59

Match Events

34'Kevin SchadeAssist: Yehor Yarmoliuk
38'Justin Kluivert
45+3'Igor ThiagoFoul
45+4'Marcus TavernierDissent
52'Marcus TavernierAssist: Francisco Evanilson
56'Kevin Schade
60'Yehor Yarmoliuk INMikkel Damsgaard out
60'Keane Lewis-Potter INEl Hadji Malick Diouf out
60'Jaidon Anthony INDango Ouattara out
63'James HillFoul
66'Justin Kluivert INRyan Christie out
71'Aaron Hickey INMichael Kayode out
82'Tyler Adams INLewis Cook out
82'Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha INBen Gannon-Doak out
83'Marcus Tavernier INDavid Brooks out
85'Lewis CookFoul
87'Adam SmithFoul
89'David BrooksFoul
90+1'Francisco Evanilson INÁlvaro Rodríguez out

Lineups

Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rose
Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.35
Đ. Petrović6.11Đ. Petrović
A. Smith6.115A. Smith
J. Hill6.25J. Hill
António Silva6.314A. Silva
A. Truffert7.33A. Truffert
T. Adams6.512T. Adams
A. Scott6.48A. Scott
Rayan6.137Rayan
J. Kluivert7.719J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier8.216M. Tavernier
Evanilson7.19Evanilson
C. Kelleher7.11C. Kelleher
A. Hickey6.82A. Hickey
Jannik Schuster5.944J. Schuster
K. Ajer6.620K. Ajer
K. Lewis-Potter5.623K. Lewis-Potter
M. Sangaré6.318M. Sangaré
V. Janelt6.327V. Janelt
J. Anthony6.119J. Anthony
Y. Yarmolyuk6.16Y. Yarmolyuk
K. Schade7.87K. Schade
Thiago6.29Thiago

Bournemouth Substitutes

30Á. Rodríguez90+1'for Francisco Evanilson
7D. Brooks83'for Marcus Tavernier89'5.7
27A. Tóth
11B. Doak82'for Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha6.7
10R. Christie66'for Justin Kluivert6.0
4L. Cook82'for Tyler Adams85'5.8
18B. Diakité
6J. Soler
20M. Di Gregorio

Brentford Substitutes

39Gustavo Gomes
14Fábio Carvalho
13C. Wilson
24M. Damsgaard60'for Yehor Yarmoliuk5.7
11D. Ouattara60'for Jaidon Anthony6.5
33M. Kayode71'for Aaron Hickey5.8
25E. Diouf60'for Keane Lewis-Potter6.4
3R. Henry
12H. Valdimarsson

Match Stats

BournemouthBrentford
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks1
5Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls13
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves8
497Total Passes375
408Passes Accurate263
82%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

BournemouthBournemouth
BrentfordBrentford
1891Elo Rating 1870
2.02Attack 1.93
2.03Defense 1.56
69%Hit Rate 36%
19.3Shots per Game 13.5
5.6Shots on Target 4.2
5.7Corners per Game 3.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BournemouthBournemouth
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BrentfordBrentford
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BournemouthBournemouth0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
BrentfordBrentford7Wins · 70%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League03/03/2026
BournemouthBrentford
00
Premier League27/12/2025
BrentfordBournemouth
41
League Cup26/08/2025
BournemouthBrentford
02
Premier League15/03/2025
BournemouthBrentford
12
Premier League09/11/2024
BrentfordBournemouth
32
Premier League11/05/2024
BournemouthBrentford
12
Premier League02/09/2023
BrentfordBournemouth
22
Premier League14/01/2023
BrentfordBournemouth
20
Premier League01/10/2022
BournemouthBrentford
00
Championship22/05/2021
BrentfordBournemouth
31

Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
4W4D2L
08/09/2026
BournemouthLincoln
40
W
05/09/2026
NewcastleBournemouth
22
D
29/08/2026
BournemouthEverton
11
D
23/08/2026
Manchester CityBournemouth
21
L
15/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05Bournemouth
21
L
08/08/2026
Real BetisBournemouth
22
D
04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
101
W
30/07/2026
FC AugsburgBournemouth
25
W
24/07/2026
BournemouthFC St. Pauli
41
W
24/05/2026
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
11
D
BrentfordBrentford
5W4D1L
05/09/2026
BrentfordSunderland
11
D
30/08/2026
LeedsBrentford
11
D
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
W
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
09/05/2026
Manchester CityBrentford
30
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7LeedsLeeds82519:6+311DDLDW
8NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
9Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland81256:14-85DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7LeedsLeeds89:611
8NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
9Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland86:145
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bournemouth vs Brentford forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bournemouth and Brentford in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Brentford are 6th and Bournemouth 13th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Bournemouth 12-13, Brentford 14-9. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bournemouth have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.