Brentford vs Sunderland Prediction

Brentford
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sunderland
Brentford Community Stadium, London·Thomas Bramall, England 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
Brentford Rest
6 days
Sunderland Rest
6 days

Brentford vs Sunderland: the result in context

Brentford and Sunderland drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
24%3.90
2
23%5.35
Double Chance
1X
77%1.17
X2
47%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.79
No
36%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.14 = 2.96
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.83
Over 3.5
36%3.02
Under 1.5
18%3.73
Under 2.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
64%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Goal cancelledDaniel Ballard
14'Noah SadikiFoul
17'N. Collins INJ. Schuster out
30'Mamadou SangareFoul
46'M. Kayode INA. Hickey out
46'M. Sangare INY. Yarmolyuk out
46'D. Ouattara INJ. Anthony out
57'V. Janelt
62'Vitaly JaneltFoul
64'N. Angulo INW. Isidor out
64'T. Meunier INT. Hume out
69'Yehor YarmoliukFoul
74'N. Sadiki INM. Fofana out
82'E. Le Fee(Penalty)
86'M. Damsgaard INC. Wilson out
88'Granit XhakaArgument

Lineups

Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: Regis Le Bris
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.92
C. Kelleher6.91C. Kelleher
M. Kayode7.033M. Kayode
K. Ajer6.720K. Ajer
N. CollinsC6.622N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter5.923K. Lewis-Potter
M. Sangare6.718M. Sangare
V. Janelt8.027V. Janelt
D. Ouattara6.711D. Ouattara
M. Damsgaard7.524M. Damsgaard
K. Schade6.67K. Schade
I. Thiago7.39I. Thiago
R. Roefs7.522R. Roefs
N. Mukiele6.920N. Mukiele
K. Danso7.24K. Danso
D. Ballard7.55D. Ballard
R. Mandava6.917R. Mandava
G. XhakaC7.234G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki6.627N. Sadiki
T. Meunier6.012T. Meunier
E. Le Fee7.328E. Le Fee
N. Angulo6.910N. Angulo
B. Brobbey6.29B. Brobbey

Brentford Substitutes

12H. R. Valdimarsson
3R. Henry
2A. Hickey46'for M. Kayode6.5
25M. Diouf
14F. Carvalho
6Y. Yarmolyuk46'for M. Sangare69'6.5
44J. Schuster17'for N. Collins7.2
19J. Anthony46'for D. Ouattara6.3
13C. Wilson86'for M. Damsgaard6.3

Sunderland Substitutes

31M. Ellborg
15O. Alderete
13L. O'Nien
32T. Hume64'for T. Meunier7.2
6D. Methalie
11C. Rigg
29J. Ahoka
39M. Fofana74'for N. Sadiki6.6
18W. Isidor64'for N. Angulo6.9

Match Stats

BrentfordSunderland
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
19Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
371Total Passes384
287Passes Accurate290
77%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

BrentfordBrentford
SunderlandSunderland
1850Elo Rating 1779
1.72Attack 1.29
1.24Defense 1.79
14%Hit Rate 41%
13.6Shots per Game 13.8
5.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 3.8
2.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

BrentfordBrentford
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SunderlandSunderland
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BrentfordBrentford1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SunderlandSunderland1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League07/01/2026
BrentfordSunderland
30
Premier League30/08/2025
SunderlandBrentford
21

Recent Form

BrentfordBrentford
5W3D2L
30/08/2026
LeedsBrentford
11
D
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
W
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
09/05/2026
Manchester CityBrentford
30
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
W
27/04/2026
Manchester UnitedBrentford
21
L
SunderlandSunderland
7W0D3L
30/08/2026
SunderlandFulham
10
W
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
W
31/07/2026
SunderlandLeeds
01
L
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
L
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
W
24/05/2026
SunderlandChelsea
21
W
17/05/2026
EvertonSunderland
13
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Bramall183 matches

3.61Cards per match
3.47Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Bramall3.61
Other referees3.79

3.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City970220:10+1021LLWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
6BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
7BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
8TottenhamTottenham933310:10012WWWDL
9Aston VillaAston Villa933310:13-312DWWDW
10Hull CityHull City925211:10+111DDLDL
11LeedsLeeds92529:8+111LDDLD
12NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
13IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
14EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
15FulhamFulham92349:11-29DWWLD
16CoventryCoventry93069:16-79WLLWW
17Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace92169:21-127LLLWD
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest91356:12-66LDLLL
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City920:1021
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
6BrentfordBrentford916:914
7BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
8TottenhamTottenham910:1012
9Aston VillaAston Villa910:1312
10Hull CityHull City911:1011
11LeedsLeeds99:811
12NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
13IpswichIpswich914:1811
14EvertonEverton88:910
15FulhamFulham99:119
16CoventryCoventry99:169
17Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace99:217
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest96:126
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Brentford vs Sunderland forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Brentford and Sunderland in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Brentford are 6th and Sunderland 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Brentford 16-9, Sunderland 7-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brentford and Sunderland have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.