Manchester United vs Ipswich Prediction

Manchester United
5-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ipswich
Old Trafford, Manchester·Craig Pawson, England 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.50
SignalHIGHModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+14.2%
Manchester United Rest
8 days
Ipswich Rest
4 days

Manchester United vs Ipswich: the result in context

Manchester United beat Ipswich 5-2 in the Premier League on 30 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Ipswich had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Manchester United.

Manchester United tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 2.2 for Ipswich.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.39
X
23%5.10
2
11%7.97
Double Chance
1X
90%1.10
X2
34%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.72
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.36 + 0.94 = 3.30
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
36%2.31
Under 1.5
17%5.30
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
64%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.9 = 10.5
Over 8.5
76%1.50
Over 9.5
69%1.84
Over 10.5
61%2.25
Under 8.5
24%2.43
Under 9.5
31%1.87
Under 10.5
39%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.5 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%2.08
Over 4.5
40%3.08
Under 3.5
41%1.68
Under 4.5
60%1.31

Match Events

29'L. DavisAssist: I. Fatawu
33'S. LukicTripping
37'I. FatawuRoughing
40'B. FernandesAssist: M. Cunha
46'Emersonn INC. Akpom out
56'J. GreavesOG
60'J. GreavesTripping
61'B. Fernandes(Penalty)
62'M. Nunez INE. Palacios out
68'B. Fernandes
73'D. Maeda IND. Furlong out
73'S. Lukic INA. Ouattara out
73'L. Shaw INN. Mazraoui out
74'D. Dalot INL. Yoro out
80'K. Mainoo INAndrey Santos out
80'M. Cunha INB. Sesko out
80'M. Rashford INP. Dorgu out
82'B. MbeumoAssist: B. Fernandes
83'I. Fatawu INK. McAteer out
90+1'C. AkpomAssist: J. Enciso
90+3'B. MbeumoTripping

Lineups

Manchester United
4-2-3-1Coach: Michael Carrick
Ipswich
4-2-3-1Coach: Gary O'Neil
Avg rating7.19
Avg rating6.42
Senne Lammens7.71S. Lammens
Diogo Dalot6.92D. Dalot
Harry Maguire6.75H. Maguire
Lisandro Martínez6.36L. Martínez
Luke Shaw7.023L. Shaw
Youri Tielemans7.918Y. Tielemans
Kobbie Mainoo7.937K. Mainoo
Bryan Mbeumo8.019B. Mbeumo
Bruno FernandesC10.08B. Fernandes
Marcus Rashford6.99M. Rashford
Matheus Cunha7.010M. Cunha
Kjell Scherpen8.637K. Scherpen
Dara O'SheaC4.926D. O'Shea
Issa Diop7.26I. Diop
Jacob Greaves4.924J. Greaves
Leif Davis6.33L. Davis
Saša Lukić6.723S. Lukić
Marcelino Núñez6.032M. Núñez
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku6.57A. Fatawu Issahaku
Julio Enciso7.010J. Enciso
Daizen Maeda6.338D. Maeda
Emersonn6.319Emersonn

Manchester United Substitutes

12Karl Darlow
26Ayden Heaven
3Noussair Mazraoui73'for L. Shaw6.2
15Leny Yoro74'for D. Dalot6.2
13Patrick Dorgu80'for M. Rashford7.0
17Andrey Santos80'for K. Mainoo6.7
31Shea Lacey
30Benjamin Šeško80'for M. Cunha6.7
11Joshua Zirkzee

Ipswich Substitutes

29Chuba Akpom46'for Emersonn90+1'7.2
28Christian Walton
2Darnell Furlong73'for D. Maeda6.0
4Cédric Kipré
42Abdoul Ouattara73'for S. Lukic6.2
25Exequiel Palacios62'for M. Nunez6.3
20Kasey McAteer83'for I. Fatawu6.3
8Sindre Walle Egeli
47Jack Clarke

Match Stats

Manchester UnitedIpswich
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
33Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
19Shots Inside Box6
14Shots Outside Box3
12Blocked Shots1
7Fouls12
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves6
546Total Passes359
488Passes Accurate299
89%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Manchester UnitedManchester United
IpswichIpswich
1804Elo Rating 1714
0.56Attack 1.40
0.61Defense 1.12
0%Hit Rate 19%
13.3Shots per Game 9.1
4.1Shots on Target 3.6
4.2Corners per Game 2.2
3.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Manchester UnitedManchester United
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IpswichIpswich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Manchester UnitedManchester United1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
IpswichIpswich0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League26/02/2025
Manchester UnitedIpswich
32
Premier League24/11/2024
IpswichManchester United
11

Recent Form

Manchester UnitedManchester United
4W2D4L
22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
L
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
L
12/08/2026
LeedsManchester United
5141
L
08/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainManchester United
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid
21
W
24/07/2026
RosenborgManchester United
05
W
18/07/2026
Manchester UnitedWrexham
01
L
24/05/2026
BrightonManchester United
03
W
17/05/2026
Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
32
W
09/05/2026
SunderlandManchester United
00
D
IpswichIpswich
7W1D2L
25/08/2026
IpswichLeicester
31
W
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
W
15/08/2026
Union BerlinIpswich
24
W
08/08/2026
IpswichRayo Vallecano
30
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
W
01/08/2026
WycombeIpswich
12
W
01/08/2026
Oxford UnitedIpswich
20
L
29/07/2026
IpswichOsasuna
12
L
02/05/2026
IpswichQPR
30
W
28/04/2026
SouthamptonIpswich
22
D

Referee Profile

Craig Pawson224 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.95Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Craig Pawson4.08
Other referees3.90

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 216 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal980114:5+924WWWWL
2Manchester CityManchester City970220:10+1021LLWWW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5LiverpoolLiverpool943211:9+215LWWLW
6BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
7BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
8TottenhamTottenham933310:10012WWWDL
9Aston VillaAston Villa933310:13-312DWWDW
10Hull CityHull City925211:10+111DDLDL
11LeedsLeeds92529:8+111LDDLD
12NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
13IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
14EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
15FulhamFulham92349:11-29DWWLD
16CoventryCoventry93069:16-79WLLWW
17Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace92169:21-127LLLWD
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest91356:12-66LDLLL
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal914:524
2Manchester CityManchester City920:1021
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5LiverpoolLiverpool911:915
6BrentfordBrentford916:914
7BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
8TottenhamTottenham910:1012
9Aston VillaAston Villa910:1312
10Hull CityHull City911:1011
11LeedsLeeds99:811
12NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
13IpswichIpswich914:1811
14EvertonEverton88:910
15FulhamFulham99:119
16CoventryCoventry99:169
17Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace99:217
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest96:126
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Manchester United vs Ipswich forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manchester United and Ipswich in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Ipswich are 13th and Manchester United 17th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester United 10-15, Ipswich 14-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Manchester United and Ipswich have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.