Ipswich vs Leicester Prediction

Ipswich
3-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Leicester
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich·Lewis Smith, England 25/08/2026
IpswichIpswich
3-1
Finished
LeicesterLeicester

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseHighGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel33%SurpriseHighGap+10.3%
Ipswich Rest
3 days
Leicester Rest
3 days

Ipswich vs Leicester: the result in context

Ipswich beat Leicester 3-1 in the League Cup on 25 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ipswich had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leicester.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Leicester tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 2.2 for Ipswich.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.48
X
29%4.50
2
28%6.00
Double Chance
1X
72%1.13
X2
57%2.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.71
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.99 = 2.53
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
48%1.61
Over 3.5
28%2.48
Under 1.5
17%4.55
Under 2.5
52%2.27
Under 3.5
72%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'O. AlukoFoul
49'C. HumphreysFoul
54'J. ClarkeFoul
61'A. Bristric INL. Cullen out
61'C. Chaplin INB. De Cordova-Reid out
62'S. W. EgeliAssist: J. Clarke
63'A. Ouattara INL. Davis out
65'C. KipreFoul
67'O. AlukoAssist: B. De Cordova-Reid
70'L. PageFoul
71'M. NunezAssist: C. Akpom
74'W. Coulibaly INJ. Joseph out
74'O. Aluko INW. Burns out
80'K. McAteer INT. Mendel-Idowu out
81'J. Clarke IND. Maeda out
81'H. Howell INW. Alves out
90+1'M. NunezAssist: C. Humphreys

Lineups

Ipswich
4-2-3-1Coach: Gary O'Neil
Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.58
Christian Walton8.928C. Walton
Darnell Furlong6.32D. Furlong
Dara O'SheaC7.526D. O'Shea
Cédric Kipré7.24C. Kipré
Abdoul Ouattara7.242A. Ouattara
Cameron Humphreys7.030C. Humphreys
Sindre Walle Egeli7.28S. Walle Egeli
Jack Clarke7.647J. Clarke
Marcelino Núñez8.932M. Núñez
Kasey McAteer6.520K. McAteer
Chuba Akpom7.329C. Akpom
Jakub Stolarczyk7.21J. Stolarczyk
Woyo Coulibaly6.726W. Coulibaly
Olabade Aluko6.632O. Aluko
Luke Thomas6.333L. Thomas
Christian McFarlane6.518C. McFarlane
Conor ChaplinC6.78C. Chaplin
Harry Howell6.720H. Howell
Sammy Braybrooke6.236S. Braybrooke
Louis Page6.325L. Page
Tom Watson6.723T. Watson
Admir Bristrić6.29A. Bristrić

Ipswich Substitutes

3Leif Davis63'for A. Ouattara6.7
43Tudor Mendel-Idowu80'for K. McAteer6.9
38Daizen Maeda81'for J. Clarke6.3
40Charlie Compton
37Kjell Scherpen
24Jacob Greaves
10Julio Enciso
21Chiedozie Ogbene
23Saša Lukić

Leicester Substitutes

14Bobby De Cordova-Reid61'for C. Chaplin6.6
11Liam Cullen61'for A. Bristric6.5
2Jayden Joseph74'for W. Coulibaly6.6
7Wes Burns74'for O. Aluko6.5
37William Alves81'for H. Howell6.9
29Alex McCarthy
15Harry Souttar
50Tommy Neale
60Riley Carr

Match Stats

IpswichLeicester
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots22
9Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots9
11Fouls13
11Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves6
366Total Passes501
301Passes Accurate427
82%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

IpswichIpswich
LeicesterLeicester
1714Elo Rating 1600
1.40Attack 1.88
1.12Defense 1.49
19%Hit Rate 42%
9.1Shots per Game 15.6
3.6Shots on Target 6.0
2.2Corners per Game 6.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

IpswichIpswich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LeicesterLeicester
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

IpswichIpswich0Wins · 0%
Draws467%
LeicesterLeicester2Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Championship07/03/2026
IpswichLeicester
11
Championship13/12/2025
LeicesterIpswich
31
Premier League18/05/2025
LeicesterIpswich
20
Premier League02/11/2024
IpswichLeicester
11
Championship22/01/2024
LeicesterIpswich
11
Championship26/12/2023
IpswichLeicester
11

Recent Form

IpswichIpswich
6W2D2L
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
W
15/08/2026
Union BerlinIpswich
24
W
08/08/2026
IpswichRayo Vallecano
30
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
W
01/08/2026
WycombeIpswich
12
W
01/08/2026
Oxford UnitedIpswich
20
L
29/07/2026
IpswichOsasuna
12
L
02/05/2026
IpswichQPR
30
W
28/04/2026
SouthamptonIpswich
22
D
25/04/2026
West BromIpswich
00
D
LeicesterLeicester
6W2D2L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W
18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
W
14/07/2026
Bristol RoversLeicester
12
W
11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30
W
02/05/2026
BlackburnLeicester
01
W

Referee Profile

Lewis Smith35 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lewis Smith4.00
Other referees3.86

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Ipswich vs Leicester forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.