Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction

Millwall
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Newcastle
The Den, London 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Millwall Rest
3 days
Newcastle Rest
3 days

Millwall vs Newcastle: the result in context

Newcastle beat Millwall 1-0 in the League Cup on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%6.50
X
18%4.65
2
73%1.45
Double Chance
1X
27%2.69
X2
91%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.87 = 2.79
Over 1.5
85%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
15%4.75
Under 2.5
45%2.30
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Amar Dedić INValentino Livramento out
62'Romain Esse INYanis Ali Issoufou out
62'Zakariya Lovelace INTaïryk Arconte out
66'Yoane Wissa INMatias Fernandez-Pardo out
66'Jacob Murphy INAnthony Elanga out
67'Jenson MetcalfeFoul
69'Jacob RamseyFoul
81'Joe WillockAssist: Lewis Hall
83'Jacob Ramsey INLewis Miley out
87'Lyndon Dykes INRegan Monty Anderson out
87'D. Kelly INAlfie Massey out
88'Jordi Osei-Tutu INTristan Parkes out
90+1'Alfie MasseyFoul
90+1'Joe Willock INSean Steur out

Lineups

Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating7.13
F. Marschall7.534F. Marschall
J. Osei-Tutu6.82J. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor7.26C. Taylor
J. Cooper7.05J. Cooper
E. Baggott7.012E. Baggott
D. Kelly6.216D. Kelly
Jenson Metcalfe6.314J. Metcalfe
R. Esse6.511R. Esse
L. Dykes6.413L. Dykes
C. Neghli6.310C. Neghli
Z. Lovelace6.229Z. Lovelace
L. Horníček7.321L. Horníček
A. Dedić7.137A. Dedić
F. Schär7.65F. Schär
S. Botman7.94S. Botman
L. Hall8.73L. Hall
Nico González6.66N. González
J. Ramsey6.641J. Ramsey
J. Murphy6.723J. Murphy
J. Willock8.228J. Willock
H. Barnes6.911H. Barnes
Y. Wissa6.49Y. Wissa

Millwall Substitutes

7T. Arconte62'for Zakariya Lovelace6.5
35Y. Issoufou62'for Romain Esse6.1
44Alfie Massey87'for D. Kelly90+1'6.7
55Tristan Parkes88'replaced by Jordi Osei-Tutu
3Zak Norton Sturge
51S. T. Vieira
57Regan Monty Anderson87'replaced by Lyndon Dykes
41G. Evans
37G Beaumont

Newcastle Substitutes

17B. Touré
12M. Thiaw
14Sean Steur90+1'for Joe Willock
1N. Pope
67L. Miley83'for Jacob Ramsey6.8
2T. Livramento45'for Amar Dedić7.0
20M. Fernandez-Pardo66'for Yoane Wissa6.3
19A. Elanga66'for Jacob Murphy6.9
8A. Bamba

Match Stats

MillwallNewcastle
37%Ball Possession63%
1Corner Kicks15
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box16
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots10
15Fouls12
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
276Total Passes467
203Passes Accurate392
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

MillwallMillwall
NewcastleNewcastle
1654Elo Rating 1795
1.18Attack 0.93
1.53Defense 0.96
17%Hit Rate 34%
12.9Shots per Game 15.7
3.9Shots on Target 4.3
7.7Corners per Game 6.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
NewcastleNewcastle
  • No tendency data available

Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
6W1D3L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
W
08/08/2026
QPRMillwall
0121
W
01/08/2026
MillwallAntwerp
10
W
28/07/2026
BromleyMillwall
11
D
25/07/2026
StevenageMillwall
10
L
NewcastleNewcastle
3W3D4L
05/09/2026
NewcastleBournemouth
22
D
29/08/2026
TottenhamNewcastle
02
W
26/08/2026
NewcastleWest Brom
32
W
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
L
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
W
29/07/2026
Bristol CityNewcastle
41
L
25/07/2026
GatesheadNewcastle
11
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Millwall vs Newcastle forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Millwall and Newcastle have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.