Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Selhurst Park, London 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+0.7%
Crystal Palace Rest
3 days
Middlesbrough Rest
3 days

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough: the result in context

Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3-0 in the League Cup on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Middlesbrough tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.4 for Crystal Palace.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.87
X
24%3.77
2
17%3.98
Double Chance
1X
83%1.25
X2
41%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.56
No
48%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.84 = 2.53
Over 1.5
85%1.17
Over 2.5
53%1.60
Over 3.5
34%2.45
Under 1.5
15%4.75
Under 2.5
47%2.30
Under 3.5
66%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'Jörgen Strand LarsenAssist: Oscar Mingueza
45'Sam Byram INNeto Borges out
53'Jörgen Strand LarsenAssist: Ben Chilwell
59'Quinten Timber INAdam Wharton out
59'Dario Osorio INDaichi Kamada out
65'A.MalandaFoul
67'Tommy Conway INLeo Castledine out
67'David Strelec INwill lankshear out
72'Daichi KamadaAssist: Jörgen Strand Larsen
73'Jörgen Strand Larsen INZavier Gozo out
73'Yeremy Pino INDwight McNeil out
73'Axel Disasi INJefferson Lerma out
77'A.Malanda INAshley Phillips out
83'Myles Peart-HarrisFoul
84'Aidan Morris INRokas Pukstas out

Lineups

Crystal Palace
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Sage
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Coach: K. Hellberg
Avg rating7.36
Avg rating6.14
W. Benítez7.644W. Benítez
T. Tomiyasu7.517T. Tomiyasu
A. Disasi7.45A. Disasi
H. Ahanor7.621H. Ahanor
B. Chilwell7.733B. Chilwell
Óscar Mingueza7.730Ó. Mingueza
W. Hughes6.919W. Hughes
D. Osorio6.924D. Osorio
Q. Timber7.123Q. Timber
Yeremy Pino6.810Y. Pino
J. Strand Larsen9.622J. Strand Larsen
S. Brynn5.531S. Brynn
C. Brittain7.02C. Brittain
L. Ayling6.512L. Ayling
A. Jones6.05A. Jones
S. Byram6.23S. Byram
A. Malanda6.029A. Malanda
A. Morris7.010A. Morris
A. Cozier-Duberry6.311A. Cozier-Duberry
M. Peart-Harris5.714M. Peart-Harris
T. Conway6.49T. Conway
D. Strelec6.313D. Strelec

Crystal Palace Substitutes

12Z. Gozo73'for Jörgen Strand Larsen6.6
29E. Guessand
18D. Kamada59'for Dario Osorio72'7.8
25A. Khalaili
8J. Lerma73'for Axel Disasi7.2
31R. Matthews
11D. McNeil73'for Yeremy Pino6.6
3T. Mitchell
20A. Wharton59'for Quinten Timber6.8

Middlesbrough Substitutes

1R. Vítek
21R. Pukštas84'for Aidan Morris5.6
4A. Phillips77'for A.Malanda5.9
30Neto Borges45'for Sam Byram5.9
7W. Lankshear67'for David Strelec6.2
19Leo Castledine67'for Tommy Conway5.7
6S. Berhalter
8C. Barron
17M. Arfsten

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots6
10Fouls11
2Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves2
415Total Passes600
343Passes Accurate539
83%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1788Elo Rating 1744
0.94Attack 2.84
0.90Defense 1.60
27%Hit Rate 63%
9.1Shots per Game 24.9
3.0Shots on Target 9.3
3.4Corners per Game 7.4
2.0Cards per Game 0.7

Game State Tendencies

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)

Recent Form

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5W0D5L
05/09/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
23
W
28/08/2026
Crystal PalaceManchester City
14
L
22/08/2026
EvertonCrystal Palace
20
L
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
L
07/08/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
12
W
31/07/2026
Crystal PalaceAl Ula
31
W
25/07/2026
BromleyCrystal Palace
30
L
18/07/2026
Crystal PalaceSwindon Town
51
W
27/05/2026
Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano
10
W
24/05/2026
Crystal PalaceArsenal
12
L
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
5W3D2L
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
W
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWest Brom
31
W
25/08/2026
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
13
W
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
L
15/08/2026
MiddlesbroughLincoln
21
W
07/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWrexham
10
W
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.