Doncaster vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Doncaster
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Middlesbrough
Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster·Edward Duckworth, England 25/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Doncaster Rest
3 days
Middlesbrough Rest
3 days

Doncaster vs Middlesbrough: result, form and history

Middlesbrough beat Doncaster 3-1 in the League Cup on 25 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.40
X
22%4.25
2
60%1.57
Double Chance
1X
40%2.35
X2
82%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.69
No
48%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.85 = 2.94
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.65
Over 3.5
28%2.57
Under 1.5
17%4.33
Under 2.5
51%2.17
Under 3.5
72%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'R. GottsFoul
34'K. JosephAssist: J. Sarmiento
45+1'M. Peart-HarrisFoul
46'J. Sterry INO. Bailey out
46'Neto BorgesFoul
57'M. Arfsten INC. Brittain out
57'S. Berhalter INA. Morris out
60'H. Adelakun INL. Ayinde out
68'R. Gotts ING. Broadbent out
68'A. May INB. Hanlan out
68'B. McCann INJ. Thomas out
72'A. Jones INA. Phillips out
72'K. Joseph INW. Lankshear out
77'G. BroadbentFoul
78'W. Lankshear
84'M. Whittaker IND. Strelec out
87'J. SarmientoAssist: A. Phillips
90+2'I. HutchinsonAssist: J. Senior

Lineups

Doncaster
3-4-2-1Coach: Grant McCann
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1Coach: Kim Hellberg
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating7.03
Josh Clarke6.242J. Clarke
Jamie SterryC6.72J. Sterry
Sean Grehan6.527S. Grehan
Jay McGrath6.06J. McGrath
Bayley McCann7.025B. McCann
Robbie Gotts7.222R. Gotts
Darren Robinson6.920D. Robinson
Jack Senior6.923J. Senior
Isaac Hutchinson7.621I. Hutchinson
Hakeeb Adelakun6.647H. Adelakun
Alfie May6.710A. May
Solomon Brynn7.331S. Brynn
Maximilian Arfsten7.217M. Arfsten
Luke AylingC7.512L. Ayling
Alfie Jones7.05A. Jones
Neto Borges7.030N. Borges
Myles Peart-Harris7.714M. Peart-Harris
Sebastian Berhalter6.66S. Berhalter
Morgan Whittaker6.711M. Whittaker
Jeremy Sarmiento7.616J. Sarmiento
Kyle Joseph7.522K. Joseph
Leo Castledine6.319L. Castledine

Doncaster Substitutes

4Owen Bailey46'for J. Sterry6.3
11Leon Ayinde60'for H. Adelakun6.6
8George Broadbent68'for R. Gotts77'6.3
19Jordan Thomas68'replaced by B. McCann6.3
9Brandon Hanlan68'for A. May6.3
1Tommy Simkin
12Neill Byrne
39Lincoln Pawlak
48Ashton Swales

Middlesbrough Substitutes

2Callum Brittain57'for M. Arfsten6.2
10Aidan Morris57'for S. Berhalter7.3
4Ashley Phillips72'for A. Jones6.6
7Will Lankshear72'for K. Joseph78'7.7
13David Strelec84'for M. Whittaker6.3
1Radek Vitek
8Riley McGree
46Finlay Cartwright
42Abdoulaye Kanté

Match Stats

DoncasterMiddlesbrough
34%Ball Possession66%
1Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots24
5Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
13Fouls16
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
298Total Passes589
235Passes Accurate525
79%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

DoncasterDoncaster
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1544Elo Rating 1744
1.04Attack 2.84
2.15Defense 1.60
58%Hit Rate 63%
13.8Shots per Game 24.9
3.2Shots on Target 9.3
6.0Corners per Game 7.4
1.9Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals

Game State Tendencies

DoncasterDoncaster
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

DoncasterDoncaster1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

League Cup12/08/2025
MiddlesbroughDoncaster
04

Recent Form

DoncasterDoncaster
4W3D3L
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
Mansfield TownDoncaster
21
L
08/08/2026
Stockport CountyDoncaster
4151
W
01/08/2026
DoncasterLincoln
01
L
29/07/2026
DoncasterWolves
02
L
25/07/2026
Gainsborough TrinityDoncaster
00
D
25/07/2026
Harrogate TownDoncaster
22
D
18/07/2026
LinfieldDoncaster
02
W
16/07/2026
Glenavon FCDoncaster
05
W
14/07/2026
DoncasterSt Patrick's Athl.
42
W
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3W4D3L
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
L
15/08/2026
MiddlesbroughLincoln
21
W
07/08/2026
MiddlesbroughWrexham
10
W
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
L
12/05/2026
SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
2111
L
09/05/2026
MiddlesbroughSouthampton
00
D
02/05/2026
WrexhamMiddlesbrough
22
D
25/04/2026
MiddlesbroughWatford
51
W

Referee Profile

Edward Duckworth145 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edward Duckworth4.40
Other referees4.00

4.40 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Doncaster vs Middlesbrough forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Doncaster have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Doncaster and Middlesbrough have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.