Everton vs Newcastle Prediction

Everton
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Newcastle
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool·Farai Hallam 29/10/2026
EvertonEverton
3-1
Finished
NewcastleNewcastle

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Everton Rest
5 days
Newcastle Rest
4 days

Everton vs Newcastle: result, form and history

Everton beat Newcastle 3-1 in the League Cup on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.28
X
24%3.54
2
29%3.00
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
53%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.56
No
42%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.19 = 2.80
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.72
Over 3.5
36%2.66
Under 1.5
20%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.15
Under 3.5
64%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'James GarnerAssist: Hayden Hackney
45'Hayden HackneyAssist: Thierno Barry
45'William Osula INYoane Wissa out
45'Harvey Barnes INAnthony Elanga out
45'Jacob Ramsey INJoelinton out
60'Hayden HackneyNot retreating
65'Hayden Hackney INHarrison Armstrong out
67'Jacob Murphy INBazoumana Touré out
69'Thierno BarryAssist: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
74'Kiernan Dewsbury-HallFoul
76'Tyler Dibling INBrennan Johnson out
76'Tyrique George INCharly Alcaraz out
81'Fabian SchärArgument
81'Vitaliy MykolenkoArgument
81'Nico González INSean Steur out
86'Vitaliy Mykolenko INAinsley Maitland-Niles out
86'Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall INChristian Nørgaard out
88'Dan BurnAssist: Joe Willock
89'James TarkowskiArgument
89'JoelintonArgument
89'Dan BurnArgument
89'Jordan PickfordArgument

Lineups

Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Moyes
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Jaissle
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.35
J. Pickford8.21J. Pickford
M. Röhl6.234M. Röhl
J. Tarkowski6.46J. Tarkowski
J. O'Brien6.815J. O'Brien
V. Mykolenko6.516V. Mykolenko
H. Hackney7.730H. Hackney
J. Garner7.537J. Garner
T. Dibling6.320T. Dibling
K. Dewsbury-Hall7.08K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George6.219T. George
T. Barry9.011T. Barry
L. Horníček5.621L. Horníček
A. Dedić6.037A. Dedić
F. Schär5.65F. Schär
D. Burn6.933D. Burn
L. Hall6.63L. Hall
J. Ramsey6.141J. Ramsey
Nico González6.96N. González
J. Murphy6.023J. Murphy
J. Willock7.728J. Willock
H. Barnes6.311H. Barnes
W. Osula6.410W. Osula

Everton Substitutes

24C. Alcaraz76'for Tyrique George6.6
45H. Armstrong65'for Hayden Hackney6.4
58B. Graham
22B. Johnson76'for Tyler Dibling6.5
5M. Keane
31T. King
2A. Maitland-Niles86'for Vitaliy Mykolenko5.9
23C. Nørgaard86'for Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6.3
12M. Travers

Newcastle Substitutes

12M. Thiaw
17B. Touré67'for Jacob Murphy6.6
9Y. Wissa45'for William Osula6.8
14Sean Steur81'for Nico González5.8
1N. Pope
7Joelinton45'for Jacob Ramsey89'5.9
19A. Elanga45'for Harvey Barnes6.5
4S. Botman
8A. Bamba

Match Stats

EvertonNewcastle
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks10
5Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots29
5Shots on Goal10
2Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box20
4Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots9
18Fouls15
0Offsides1
9Goalkeeper Saves2
333Total Passes423
252Passes Accurate353
15Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

EvertonEverton
NewcastleNewcastle
1794Elo Rating 1795
0.70Attack 0.93
1.61Defense 0.96
31%Hit Rate 34%
12.2Shots per Game 15.7
4.5Shots on Target 4.3
4.6Corners per Game 6.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NewcastleNewcastle
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EvertonEverton5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
NewcastleNewcastle3Wins · 30%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
Premier League28/02/2026
NewcastleEverton
23
Premier League29/11/2025
EvertonNewcastle
14
Premier League25/05/2025
NewcastleEverton
01
Premier League05/10/2024
EvertonNewcastle
00
Premier League02/04/2024
NewcastleEverton
11
Premier League07/12/2023
EvertonNewcastle
30
Premier League27/04/2023
EvertonNewcastle
14
Premier League19/10/2022
NewcastleEverton
10
Premier League17/03/2022
EvertonNewcastle
10

Referee Profile

Farai Hallam132 matches

3.53Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.01Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Farai Hallam3.53
Other referees3.96

3.53 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Everton vs Newcastle forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.