Barnsley vs Wigan Prediction

Barnsley
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-1AET 0-0PEN 6-5
Wigan
Oakwell Ground, Barnsley 08/08/2026
BarnsleyBarnsley
1-1
After Penalties
WiganWigan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.23
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Barnsley Rest
6 days
Wigan Rest
7 days

Barnsley vs Wigan: result, form and history

Barnsley beat Wigan on penalties (6-5) after a 1-1 draw in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barnsley had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Wigan.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 7 matches. Barnsley tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.9 for Wigan.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.40
X
32%3.44
2
34%2.73
Double Chance
1X
66%1.42
X2
66%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.62
No
54%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.14 = 2.84
Over 1.5
82%1.23
Over 2.5
48%1.76
Over 3.5
30%2.82
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
52%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'Dara CostelloeAssist: James Carragher
46'Makenzie Kirk INJonathan Bland out
64'Chris Sze INTobias Brenan out
74'Connor Barrett INAkeel Higgins out
74'Dara Costelloe INK'Marni Miller out
81'Cameron McGeehanAssist: Reyes Cleary
82'Amani Richards INNoah Philip Town out
83'Sonny Perkins INArchie Harris out

Lineups

Barnsley
Coach: Conor Hourihane
Wigan
Coach: Gary Caldwell

Barnsley Starting XI

25Rogan Ravenhill7.6
2Arley Kay6.7
4Sam Gale7.0
32Josh Earl7.0
36Luke Alker6.9
8Cameron McGeehanC81'8.0
48Luca Connell6.9
17Amani Richards82'replaced by Noah Philip Town6.3
22Patrick Kelly6.7
19Reyes Cleary7.2
9Makenzie Kirk46'replaced by Jonathan Bland6.7
Avg rating6.94

Wigan Starting XI

1Joe Walsh6.2
23James Carragher7.5
3Morgan Fox6.9
22Jon Mellish6.3
2Connor Barrett74'replaced by Akeel Higgins6.6
8Max PowerC7.9
6Jensen Weir7.2
7Fraser Murray6.2
19Chris Sze64'replaced by Tobias Brenan6.7
11Dara Costelloe40'74'replaced by K'Marni Miller7.3
9Sonny Perkins83'replaced by Archie Harris5.9
Avg rating6.69

Barnsley Substitutes

30Jonathan Bland46'for Makenzie Kirk6.9
34Noah Philip Town82'for Amani Richards6.3
28Jake Andrassy
7Corey O'Keeffe
37Callum Hudson
5Jack Shepherd
38Noah Saunders

Wigan Substitutes

27Tobias Brenan64'for Chris Sze6.2
21K'Marni Miller74'for Dara Costelloe6.2
17Akeel Higgins74'for Connor Barrett6.7
16Archie Harris83'for Sonny Perkins6.5
12Tom Watson
15Llyton Chapman
53Sam Bolland
4Jeremiah Mullen
51Harrison Rimmer

Match Stats

BarnsleyWigan
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks6
11Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots1
9Fouls10
1Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
428Total Passes276
323Passes Accurate177
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BarnsleyBarnsley
WiganWigan
1477Elo Rating 1516
1.00Attack 1.12
0.55Defense 1.56
0%Hit Rate 34%
17.9Shots per Game 9.0
5.7Shots on Target 2.8
7.8Corners per Game 3.9
1.5Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WiganWigan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

BarnsleyBarnsley1Wins · 14%
Draws572%
WiganWigan1Wins · 14%
1.9Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
0%3+ goals0 of 7

Previous meetings

League One17/03/2026
BarnsleyWigan
11
League One01/01/2026
WiganBarnsley
11
League One29/03/2025
WiganBarnsley
11
League One23/11/2024
BarnsleyWigan
01
League Cup13/08/2024
WiganBarnsley
2141
League One01/01/2024
BarnsleyWigan
11
League One26/08/2023
WiganBarnsley
02

Recent Form

BarnsleyBarnsley
3W3D4L
02/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBarnsley
11
D
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
W
25/07/2026
Scarborough AthleticBarnsley
02
W
11/07/2026
YorkBarnsley
21
L
02/05/2026
BarnsleyStockport County
13
L
28/04/2026
NorthamptonBarnsley
01
W
25/04/2026
LutonBarnsley
21
L
21/04/2026
StevenageBarnsley
10
L
18/04/2026
BarnsleyBradford
22
D
14/04/2026
Port ValeBarnsley
00
D
WiganWigan
3W2D5L
01/08/2026
GrimsbyWigan
20
L
31/07/2026
SouthportWigan
00
D
25/07/2026
AFC FyldeWigan
0003
L
18/07/2026
WiganPort Vale
13
L
02/05/2026
StevenageWigan
10
L
25/04/2026
WiganAFC Wimbledon
01
L
19/04/2026
Port ValeWigan
00
D
14/04/2026
WiganRotherham
30
W
11/04/2026
WiganMansfield Town
21
W
06/04/2026
NorthamptonWigan
13
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Barnsley vs Wigan forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnsley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.