Watford vs Crawley Town Prediction

Watford
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
Vicarage Road, Watford 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Watford Rest
9 days
Crawley Town Rest
4 days

Watford vs Crawley Town: the result in context

Watford beat Crawley Town 1-0 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.26
X
21%5.58
2
26%9.57
Double Chance
1X
74%1.05
X2
48%3.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.90
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 1.3 = 3.33
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
51%1.50
Over 3.5
32%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
49%2.50
Under 3.5
68%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Edoardo BoveFoul
46'Kwadwo Baah INAmin Nabizada out
56'Gianmarco Di Biase INPemi Aderoju out
62'Charlie BarkerFoul
63'Iker BravoArgument
64'Malcolm Ebiowei INOsman Kamara out
67'Kellan GordonFoul
68'Luca Kjerrumgaard INMamadou Doumbia out
68'Edoardo Bove INEdo Kayembe out
69'Iker Bravo INMartín Payero out
76'Ade Adeyemo INJohnny Russell out
76'Kellan Gordon INOmari Mrisho out
76'Akin Odimayo INPele Arganese-McDermott out
77'Othmane Maamma INRocco Vata out
90+7'Pemi AderojuFoul
90+9'Marc Bola

Lineups

Watford
4-2-3-1
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.93
Federico Ravaglia7.61F. Ravaglia
Omar Haktab Traore7.223O. Haktab Traore
Matthew PollockC7.76M. Pollock
Kévin Keben Biakolo7.34K. Keben Biakolo
Marc Bola8.916M. Bola
Edoardo Bove6.28E. Bove
Hector Kyprianou7.65H. Kyprianou
Kwadwo Baah6.514K. Baah
Iker Bravo6.917I. Bravo
Othmane Maamma7.97O. Maamma
Luca Kjerrumgaard6.39L. Kjerrumgaard
Vito Mannone9.01V. Mannone
Kellan Gordon6.52K. Gordon
Akin Odimayo7.324A. Odimayo
Charlie Barker7.95C. Barker
Ade Adeyemo8.222A. Adeyemo
Jude ArthursC7.220J. Arthurs
Klaudio Krasniqi6.625K. Krasniqi
Malcolm Ebiowei6.27M. Ebiowei
Louie Watson6.28L. Watson
Stephen Duke-McKenna6.610S. Duke-McKenna
Gianmarco Di Biase6.914G. Di Biase

Watford Substitutes

21Amin Nabizada46'for Kwadwo Baah7.2
39Edo Kayembe68'for Edoardo Bove7.0
20Mamadou Doumbia68'for Luca Kjerrumgaard6.7
22Martín Payero69'for Iker Bravo6.9
11Rocco Vata77'for Othmane Maamma6.9
26Daniel Bachmann
53James Clarridge
33Jordan Zemura
10Imrân Louza

Crawley Town Substitutes

11Pemi Aderoju56'for Gianmarco Di Biase90+7'6.7
17Osman Kamara64'for Malcolm Ebiowei6.3
4Pele Arganese-McDermott76'for Akin Odimayo6.5
16Johnny Russell76'for Ade Adeyemo6.6
33Omari Mrisho76'for Kellan Gordon6.2
13Nicholas Michalski
56Jude Robertson
28Nathan Tinsdale
9Danilo Orsi-Dadomo

Match Stats

WatfordCrawley Town
61%Ball Possession39%
12Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
36Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal3
25Shots Inside Box7
11Shots Outside Box2
13Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves10
461Total Passes292
391Passes Accurate223
85%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

WatfordWatford
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1505Elo Rating 1428
0.65Attack 1.82
0.95Defense 1.32
23%Hit Rate 14%
12.6Shots per Game 13.3
4.3Shots on Target 6.4
3.3Corners per Game 4.1
3.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WatfordWatford
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

WatfordWatford
1W2D7L
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
L
25/07/2026
WatfordHansa Rostock
30
W
14/07/2026
BarnetWatford
22
D
11/07/2026
Boreham WoodWatford
21
L
02/05/2026
WatfordCoventry
04
L
25/04/2026
MiddlesbroughWatford
51
L
21/04/2026
West BromWatford
30
L
18/04/2026
WatfordSheffield Utd
02
L
11/04/2026
Oxford UnitedWatford
20
L
06/04/2026
WatfordCharlton
11
D
Crawley TownCrawley Town
3W3D4L
03/08/2026
YorkCrawley Town
02
W
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
L
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
L
25/07/2026
EastleighCrawley Town
01
W
02/05/2026
Crawley TownSalford City
00
D
25/04/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
33
D
18/04/2026
Crawley TownShrewsbury
00
D
11/04/2026
Bristol RoversCrawley Town
31
L
06/04/2026
Crawley TownGrimsby
02
L
03/04/2026
Newport CountyCrawley Town
02
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Watford vs Crawley Town forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Watford and Crawley Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.