York vs Crawley Town Prediction

York
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
York Community Stadium, York·T. Parsons 03/08/2026
YorkYork
0-2
Finished
Crawley TownCrawley Town

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
York Rest
6 days
Crawley Town Rest
3 days

York vs Crawley Town: the result in context

Crawley Town beat York 2-0 in the League Cup on 3 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%1.67
X
24%3.85
2
40%4.75
Double Chance
1X
60%1.17
X2
64%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.67
No
54%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 2.86 = 4.00
Over 1.5
82%1.21
Over 2.5
52%1.69
Over 3.5
33%2.70
Under 1.5
18%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.06
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Gianmarco Di BiaseAssist: Kellan Gordon
36'Ben BrooksFoul
44'Jude ArthursFoul
49'Charlie BarkerFoul
53'Malcolm Ebiowei INOsman Kamara out
53'Kellan Gordon INJohnny Russell out
54'Gianmarco Di Biase INDanilo Orsi-Dadomo out
57'Ben Brooks INAlex Newby out
66'Klaudio Krasniqi INJay Williams out
67'Jack Hunt INJoe Felix out
69'Johnny RussellFoul
71'Zech MedleyFoul
76'Afolabi AkinyemiFoul
77'Afolabi Akinyemi INGreg Olley out
82'Priestley Farquharson INPele Arganese-McDermott out
86'Alfie McNallyArgument
86'Danilo Orsi-Dadomo(Penalty)

Lineups

York
3-4-1-2
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.98
Alfie McNally7.51A. McNally
Morgan Williams6.324M. Williams
Zak Johnson5.95Z. Johnson
Zech Medley6.74Z. Medley
Jack Hunt6.732J. Hunt
Alex Hunt7.28A. Hunt
Ollie Banks7.028O. Banks
Ben Brooks7.214B. Brooks
Ollie PearceC6.310O. Pearce
Joe Grey7.27J. Grey
Afolabi Akinyemi6.620A. Akinyemi
Vito Mannone6.91V. Mannone
Kellan Gordon7.22K. Gordon
Priestley Farquharson7.26P. Farquharson
Charlie BarkerC7.35C. Barker
Ade Adeyemo7.322A. Adeyemo
Jude Arthurs6.720J. Arthurs
Klaudio Krasniqi6.925K. Krasniqi
Malcolm Ebiowei7.27M. Ebiowei
Louie Watson6.98L. Watson
Stephen Duke-McKenna6.910S. Duke-McKenna
Gianmarco Di Biase7.314G. Di Biase

York Substitutes

30Alex Newby57'for Ben Brooks6.2
23Joe Felix67'for Jack Hunt6.6
22Greg Olley77'for Afolabi Akinyemi6.5
31George Sykes-Kenworthy
33Charlie McArthur
2Ryan Fallowfield
19Mark Shelton
16Arthur Read
25Ben Farrar

Crawley Town Substitutes

16Johnny Russell53'for Kellan Gordon69'6.9
17Osman Kamara53'for Malcolm Ebiowei6.9
9Danilo Orsi-Dadomo54'for Gianmarco Di Biase86'6.9
26Jay Williams66'for Klaudio Krasniqi6.6
4Pele Arganese-McDermott82'for Priestley Farquharson6.6
31Jackson Izquierdo
24Akin Odimayo
28Nathan Tinsdale
11Pemi Aderoju

Match Stats

YorkCrawley Town
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
509Total Passes328
441Passes Accurate259
87%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

YorkYork
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1606Elo Rating 1428
1.23Attack 1.82
1.69Defense 1.32
23%Hit Rate 14%
11.7Shots per Game 13.3
3.1Shots on Target 6.4
4.0Corners per Game 4.1
2.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4 goals

Game State Tendencies

YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

YorkYork
5W2D3L
28/07/2026
YorkPeterborough
12
L
24/07/2026
YorkAl-Ettifaq
22
D
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
L
14/07/2026
Pickering TownYork
42
L
11/07/2026
YorkBarnsley
21
W
25/04/2026
RochdaleYork
11
D
18/04/2026
YorkYeovil Town
30
W
11/04/2026
TamworthYork
01
W
06/04/2026
YorkAltrincham
21
W
03/04/2026
Boston UnitedYork
01
W
Crawley TownCrawley Town
3W3D4L
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
L
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
L
25/07/2026
EastleighCrawley Town
01
W
02/05/2026
Crawley TownSalford City
00
D
25/04/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
33
D
18/04/2026
Crawley TownShrewsbury
00
D
11/04/2026
Bristol RoversCrawley Town
31
L
06/04/2026
Crawley TownGrimsby
02
L
03/04/2026
Newport CountyCrawley Town
02
W
28/03/2026
Crawley TownGillingham
20
W

Referee Profile

T. Parsons146 matches

4.39Cards per match
4.24Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Parsons4.39
Other referees3.98

4.39 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the York vs Crawley Town forecast

This is a League Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

York and Crawley Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.