Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough Prediction
England · Round of 128CupKnockout
Memorial Stadium, Bristol 08/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+5.9%
Bristol Rovers Rest
17 days
Peterborough Rest
7 days
Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough: result, form and history
Peterborough beat Bristol Rovers 1-0 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Peterborough tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 4.9 for Bristol Rovers.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.38
X30%3.46
233%2.75
Double Chance
1X67%1.41
X262%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%1.53
No54%2.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.41 = 2.91
Over 1.582%1.20
Over 2.549%1.65
Over 3.530%2.57
Under 1.518%4.20
Under 2.551%2.15
Under 3.570%1.44
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
13'James DornellyFoul
19'Harry Leonard(Penalty)
22'Shaqai FordeFoul
29'Harrison JonesFoul
31'Harry LeonardTime wasting
46'Jack Aitchison INFabrizio Cavegn out
46'Thomas O'Connor INLucca Mendonça out
55'Clinton Mola INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
55'Richard Smallwood INKeenan Gough out
66'James Dornelly INBenjamin Woods out
66'Harrison Jones INChris Conn-Clarke out
70'Joe Quigley INBobby Kamwa out
78'Carl Johnston INEvan Weir out
83'Tommy Leigh INMees Rijks out
87'Harry Leonard INDavid Kamara out
Lineups
Bristol RoversPeterborough
Coach: Luke WilliamsBristol Rovers Starting XI
1Brad Young
23Macauley Southam-Hales
4Kofi Balmer
26Riley Harbottle
14Ben Purrington
21Richard SmallwoodC55'replaced by Keenan Gough
6Clinton Mola55'replaced by Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny
24Tommy Leigh83'replaced by Mees Rijks
7Shaqai Forde22'
11Jack Aitchison46'replaced by Fabrizio Cavegn
9Joe Quigley70'replaced by Bobby Kamwa
Avg rating
Peterborough Starting XI
1Alex BassC
33James Dornelly13'66'replaced by Benjamin Woods
26David Okagbue
6Thomas O'Connor46'replaced by Lucca Mendonça
14Harley Mills
2Carl Johnston78'replaced by Evan Weir
11Owura Edwards
8Brandon Khela
7Harrison Jones29'66'replaced by Chris Conn-Clarke
19Bolu Shofowoke
9Harry Leonard19'31'87'replaced by David Kamara
Avg rating
Bristol Rovers Substitutes
29Fabrizio Cavegn46'for Jack Aitchison
22Keenan Gough55'for Richard Smallwood
8Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny55'for Clinton Mola
10Bobby Kamwa70'for Joe Quigley
18Mees Rijks83'for Tommy Leigh
31Luke Southwood
17Ciaran Kelly
2Tom James
3Jack Sparkes
Peterborough Substitutes
18Lucca Mendonça46'for Thomas O'Connor
16Benjamin Woods66'for James Dornelly
20Chris Conn-Clarke66'for Harrison Jones
3Evan Weir78'for Carl Johnston
29David Kamara87'for Harry Leonard
23Collin Andeng-Ndi
21Patryk Sykut
34Ejiro Abbey
35Edward Fox
Match Stats
Bristol RoversPeterborough 46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal5
17Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
14Fouls10
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
315Total Passes368
201Passes Accurate258
64%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
Bristol RoversPeterborough1484Elo Rating 1544
0.54Attack 1.95
1.29Defense 1.12
0%Hit Rate 31%
15.9Shots per Game 17.8
5.1Shots on Target 4.1
4.9Corners per Game 8.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
âš½High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bristol Rovers- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Peterborough- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Bristol Rovers2Wins · 22%Draws222%
Peterborough5Wins · 56%
5Wins · 56%2.1Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9
Previous meetings
02/02/2025Bristol RoversPeterborough31
21/09/2024PeterboroughBristol Rovers32
20/04/2024Bristol RoversPeterborough02
30/09/2023PeterboroughBristol Rovers20
29/04/2023PeterboroughBristol Rovers00
19/11/2022Bristol RoversPeterborough10
08/01/2022PeterboroughBristol Rovers21
26/01/2021PeterboroughBristol Rovers00
03/11/2020Bristol RoversPeterborough02
Recent Form
Bristol Rovers6W3D1L
21/07/2026
Forest GreenBristol Rovers
Forest GreenBristol Rovers22
D18/07/2026Bristol Rovers
Portsmouth
Bristol RoversPortsmouth11
D14/07/2026Bristol Rovers
Leicester
Bristol RoversLeicester12
L11/07/2026
SalisburyBristol Rovers
SalisburyBristol Rovers23
W07/07/2026
Weston-super-MareBristol Rovers
Weston-super-MareBristol Rovers03
W02/05/2026
Notts CountyBristol Rovers
Notts CountyBristol Rovers11
D25/04/2026Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
Bristol RoversCheltenham40
W18/04/2026
TranmereBristol Rovers
TranmereBristol Rovers12
W11/04/2026Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
Bristol RoversCrawley Town31
W06/04/2026
Harrogate TownBristol Rovers
Harrogate TownBristol Rovers23
WPeterborough3W3D4L
01/08/2026Peterborough
West Brom
PeterboroughWest Brom02
L28/07/2026
YorkPeterborough
YorkPeterborough12
W25/07/2026
Boston UnitedPeterborough
Boston UnitedPeterborough10
L22/07/2026
Peterborough SportsPeterborough
Peterborough SportsPeterborough01
W21/07/2026
ColchesterPeterborough
ColchesterPeterborough23
W17/07/2026Peterborough
NEOM
PeterboroughNEOM00
D02/05/2026Peterborough
Doncaster
PeterboroughDoncaster13
L28/04/2026Peterborough
Mansfield Town
PeterboroughMansfield Town00
D25/04/2026
Stockport CountyPeterborough
Stockport CountyPeterborough31
L19/04/2026Peterborough
Burton Albion
PeterboroughBurton Albion11
DBracket
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
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Stevenage2
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
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Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
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Liverpool
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester City
Hull City
Coventry
Ipswich
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Newcastle
Tottenham
Everton
Chelsea
FulhamCambridge United0
Millwall1Nottingham Forest0Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02Chelsea2
Luton0Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0SunderlandCrystal PalaceBournemouthArsenalLiverpoolAston VillaManchester UnitedBrightonManchester City
Reading1Brentford2Ipswich2Arsenal4Manchester City5
Norwich0Wycombe1Stevenage2Cambridge United2Barnet1Burton Albion1Blackburn2SunderlandCrystal PalaceBournemouthArsenalLiverpoolAston VillaManchester UnitedBrightonManchester CityHull CityCoventryIpswichBrentfordNottingham ForestLeedsNewcastleTottenhamEvertonChelseaFulhamExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough forecast
As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About League Cup
More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.