Newcastle vs West Brom Prediction

Newcastle
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
West Brom
St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne·Robert Madley, England 26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+1.7%
Newcastle Rest
3 days
West Brom Rest
3 days

Newcastle vs West Brom: result, form and history

Newcastle beat West Brom 3-2 in the League Cup on 26 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: West Brom had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Newcastle.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.36
X
15%5.25
2
5%7.78
Double Chance
1X
95%1.08
X2
21%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.71
No
49%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.85 = 2.86
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
49%1.47
Over 3.5
29%2.22
Under 1.5
17%5.38
Under 2.5
51%2.58
Under 3.5
71%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'S. SteurFoul
19'I. Price
38'B. ToureAssist: A. Dedic
46'B. Toure INH. Barnes out
48'H. BarnesAssist: M. Thiaw
52'R. NzingoulaFoul
55'O. DiakiteFoul
62'B. StewartFoul
64'J. Willock INY. Wissa out
64'J. Murphy INA. Elanga out
65'S. Steur INL. Miley out
70'R. Nzingoula INC. Styles out
70'J. Morgan INF. Myhre out
71'O. Diakite INJ. Molumby out
77'E. JaouenDelay of game
77'I. Price(Penalty)
80'H. Whitwell INT. Bany out
80'I. Price INO. Bostock out
81'H. BarnesAssist: A. Dedic
89'J. RamseyFoul

Lineups

Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
West Brom
4-4-2
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.49
Ewen Jaouen5.924E. Jaouen
Amar Dedić7.237A. Dedić
Malick ThiawC7.212M. Thiaw
Sven Botman7.04S. Botman
Lewis Hall6.23L. Hall
Sean Steur6.914S. Steur
Jacob Ramsey6.941J. Ramsey
Jacob Murphy7.323J. Murphy
Joe Willock6.228J. Willock
Bazoumana Touré7.717B. Touré
Nick Woltemade7.327N. Woltemade
Matt Ingram5.613M. Ingram
Alex Williams6.228A. Williams
Chris Mepham6.72C. Mepham
George CampbellC6.96G. Campbell
Conor Townsend5.922C. Townsend
Harry Whitwell6.929H. Whitwell
Rabby Nzingoula6.020R. Nzingoula
Ousmane Diakité6.217O. Diakité
Isaac Price8.521I. Price
Barney Stewart5.99B. Stewart
Jimmy Morgan6.611J. Morgan

Newcastle Substitutes

11Harvey Barnes46'for B. Toure48'81'9.5
19Anthony Elanga64'for J. Murphy6.6
9Yoane Wissa64'for J. Willock6.0
67Lewis Miley65'for S. Steur6.9
21Lukáš Horníček
51Leo Shahar
5Fabian Schär
8Aladji Bamba
62Sean Neave

West Brom Substitutes

4Callum Styles70'for R. Nzingoula6.5
7Felix Horn Myhre70'replaced by J. Morgan6.7
8Jayson Molumby71'for O. Diakite6.5
37Oliver Bostock80'for I. Price6.5
23Tammer Bany80'for H. Whitwell6.3
1Max O'Leary
3Nathaniel Phillips
25Nolan Galves
35Matthew Crowther

Match Stats

NewcastleWest Brom
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots7
14Fouls13
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
518Total Passes394
460Passes Accurate327
89%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

NewcastleNewcastle
West BromWest Brom
1795Elo Rating 1646
0.93Attack 1.35
0.96Defense 1.77
34%Hit Rate 42%
15.7Shots per Game 16.2
4.3Shots on Target 3.7
6.2Corners per Game 7.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+150 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NewcastleNewcastle
  • No tendency data available
West BromWest Brom
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NewcastleNewcastle2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
West BromWest Brom0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Premier League07/03/2021
West BromNewcastle
00
Premier League12/12/2020
NewcastleWest Brom
21
FA Cup03/03/2020
West BromNewcastle
23

Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
3W2D5L
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
L
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
W
29/07/2026
Bristol CityNewcastle
41
L
25/07/2026
GatesheadNewcastle
11
D
18/07/2026
NewcastleDarlington 1883
30
W
24/05/2026
FulhamNewcastle
20
L
17/05/2026
NewcastleWest Ham
31
W
West BromWest Brom
8W1D1L
23/08/2026
West BromBurnley
31
W
15/08/2026
NorwichWest Brom
12
W
08/08/2026
RotherhamWest Brom
14
W
01/08/2026
PeterboroughWest Brom
02
W
25/07/2026
ShrewsburyWest Brom
14
W
17/07/2026
West BromBromley
41
W
11/07/2026
Sheffield WednesdayWest Brom
03
W
02/05/2026
Sheffield WednesdayWest Brom
21
L
25/04/2026
West BromIpswich
00
D
21/04/2026
West BromWatford
30
W

Referee Profile

Robert Madley173 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Madley4.02
Other referees3.73

4.02 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.73).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Newcastle vs West Brom forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.