Bradford vs Rochdale Prediction

Bradford
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Rochdale
Valley Parade, Bradford·Declan Brown, England 08/08/2026
BradfordBradford
2-0
Finished
RochdaleRochdale

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Bradford Rest
7 days
Rochdale Rest
7 days

Bradford vs Rochdale: the result in context

Bradford beat Rochdale 2-0 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bradford had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Rochdale.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Declan Brown averages 3.40 cards a game, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%1.55
X
24%4.03
2
55%5.55
Double Chance
1X
45%1.11
X2
78%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.84 = 2.99
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.85
Over 3.5
30%3.05
Under 1.5
18%3.52
Under 2.5
52%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'Devante RodneyFoul
45+1'Will Swan
62'Devante Rodney INEdward Francis out
63'Sam Sherring INKaiden Wilson out
63'Emmanuel Dieseruvwe INDajaune Brown out
67'Aden BaldwinAssist: Callum Connolly
72'Will Swan INBobby Pointon out
72'Jake Beesley INNick Powell out
72'Kayden Jackson INAdam Phillips out
77'Dajaune BrownFoul
78'Bryant Akono Bilongo INDaniel Moss out
80'Tyreik Wright INIbou Touray out
90'Aden Baldwin INReece Welch out

Lineups

Bradford
Coach: Graham Alexander
Rochdale
Coach: Jim McNulty

Bradford Starting XI

21Jon McCracken7.0
28Matthew Pennington7.9
15Aden Baldwin67'90'replaced by Reece Welch8.5
5Macauley Gillesphey7.0
7Josh Neufville8.3
10Antoni SarcevicC7.6
6Callum Connolly7.9
17Tyreik Wright80'replaced by Ibou Touray6.6
19Kayden Jackson72'replaced by Adam Phillips6.5
24Will Swan45+1'72'replaced by Bobby Pointon7.3
9Jake Beesley72'replaced by Nick Powell6.3
Avg rating7.18

Rochdale Starting XI

1Nils Ramming7.3
13Tobi Adebayo-Rowling6.2
6Ethan Ebanks-LandellC6.5
26Sam Sherring63'replaced by Kaiden Wilson6.3
27Bryant Akono Bilongo78'replaced by Daniel Moss6.2
4Ryan East6.7
8Harvey Gilmour6.9
11Zain Silcott-Duberry6.5
10Devante Rodney22'62'replaced by Edward Francis6.2
19Luke Hanannt6.3
9Emmanuel Dieseruvwe63'replaced by Dajaune Brown6.6
Avg rating6.52

Bradford Substitutes

8Adam Phillips72'for Kayden Jackson6.9
25Nick Powell72'for Jake Beesley6.3
23Bobby Pointon72'for Will Swan6.7
3Ibou Touray80'for Tyreik Wright6.9
2Reece Welch90'for Aden Baldwin
1Sam Walker
30Oscar Lunn
4Joe Wright
29Harry Ibbitson

Rochdale Substitutes

14Edward Francis62'for Devante Rodney6.5
3Kaiden Wilson63'for Sam Sherring6.2
39Dajaune Brown63'for Emmanuel Dieseruvwe77'6.5
22Daniel Moss78'for Bryant Akono Bilongo6.9
20Sam Waller
12Jake Spaven
54Thomas Bradley

Match Stats

BradfordRochdale
52%Ball Possession48%
10Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls6
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves8
401Total Passes380
312Passes Accurate292
78%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

BradfordBradford
RochdaleRochdale
1677Elo Rating 1520
0.87Attack 1.01
3.00Defense 0.00
44%Hit Rate 0%
14.2Shots per Game 9.5
4.2Shots on Target 2.3
9.6Corners per Game 4.8
2.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+157 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BradfordBradford
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

BradfordBradford2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two15/04/2023
RochdaleBradford
03
League Two10/01/2023
BradfordRochdale
12
League Two22/01/2022
RochdaleBradford
00
League Two02/10/2021
BradfordRochdale
20

Recent Form

BradfordBradford
4W3D3L
01/08/2026
Salford CityBradford
22
D
29/07/2026
BradfordPreston
32
W
17/07/2026
Accrington STBradford
10
L
11/07/2026
FC Halifax TownBradford
16
W
04/07/2026
United of ManchesterBradford
12
W
14/05/2026
BradfordBolton
01
L
09/05/2026
BoltonBradford
10
L
02/05/2026
Exeter CityBradford
12
W
25/04/2026
BradfordBolton
11
D
21/04/2026
BradfordPlymouth
11
D
RochdaleRochdale
5W3D2L
01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W
28/07/2026
RochdaleFC Halifax Town
23
L
25/07/2026
RochdaleFarnham Town
22
D
19/07/2026
RochdaleAl-Rayyan SC
33
D
14/07/2026
United of ManchesterRochdale
20
L
10/05/2026
Boreham WoodRochdale
1232
W
03/05/2026
RochdaleScunthorpe
21
W
25/04/2026
RochdaleYork
11
D
18/04/2026
BraintreeRochdale
12
W
11/04/2026
RochdaleWealdstone
21
W

Referee Profile

Declan Brown53 matches

3.40Cards per match
3.10Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
20.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Declan Brown3.40
Other referees3.93

3.40 cards a match, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Bradford vs Rochdale forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.