West Ham vs Portsmouth Prediction

West Ham
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Portsmouth
London Stadium, London·Adam Herczeg, England 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
West Ham Rest
7 days
Portsmouth Rest
7 days

West Ham vs Portsmouth: the result in context

West Ham beat Portsmouth 3-1 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: West Ham had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Portsmouth.

West Ham tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.2 for Portsmouth.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.50
X
19%4.38
2
4%5.50
Double Chance
1X
96%1.14
X2
23%2.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.65
No
54%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.83 + 0.84 = 3.67
Over 1.5
82%1.16
Over 2.5
52%1.53
Over 3.5
32%2.37
Under 1.5
18%4.76
Under 2.5
48%2.33
Under 3.5
68%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'Adrian Segečić
43'Valentín CastellanosAssist: Mohamadou Kanté
45'Jarrod BowenAssist: Pablo Felipe
50'Valentín CastellanosAssist: Jarrod Bowen
52'Luke Brooke-Smith INThomas Waddingham out
54'Edson ÁlvarezFoul
60'Luke Le Roux INMarko Milovanović out
60'Zak Swanson INOdin Bailey out
60'Thomas Waddingham INEoin Kenny out
75'Mohamadou Kanté INJames Ward-Prowse out
75'Edson Álvarez INEl Hadji Malick Diouf out
82'Colby Bishop INJohn Swift out
86'Adrian SegečićFoul
88'Ebou AdamsFoul
88'Valentín Castellanos INJoël Veltman out
90'Jarrod Bowen INJoshua Ajala out

Lineups

West Ham
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Portsmouth
Coach: John Mousinho

West Ham Starting XI

1Mads Hermansen7.0
2Kyle Walker-Peters7.0
15Konstantinos Mavropanos7.2
3Max Kilman7.3
30Oliver Scarles6.9
20Jarrod BowenC45'90'replaced by Joshua Ajala8.3
61Lewis Orford7.2
4Edson Álvarez54'75'replaced by El Hadji Malick Diouf6.5
17Mohamadou Kanté75'replaced by James Ward-Prowse6.3
19Pablo Felipe7.2
11Valentín Castellanos43'50'88'replaced by Joël Veltman8.0
Avg rating7.14

Portsmouth Starting XI

1Nicolas Schmid6.3
24Terry Devlin7.2
5Regan Poole6.2
6Conor Shaughnessy5.9
22Zak Swanson60'replaced by Odin Bailey6.2
16Luke Le Roux60'replaced by Marko Milovanović6.2
19Rocco Robert Shein6.3
10Adrian Segečić33'86'7.2
38Ebou Adams88'6.6
28Luke Brooke-Smith52'replaced by Thomas Waddingham6.5
9Colby BishopC82'replaced by John Swift6.2
Avg rating6.44

West Ham Substitutes

12El Hadji Malick Diouf75'for Edson Álvarez6.9
8James Ward-Prowse75'for Mohamadou Kanté7.5
34Joël Veltman88'for Valentín Castellanos6.6
66Joshua Ajala90'for Jarrod Bowen
23Alphonse Aréola
63Ezra Mayers
42Kaelan Casey
58Airidas Golambeckis
40George Earthy

Portsmouth Substitutes

20Thomas Waddingham52'for Luke Brooke-Smith60'for Eoin Kenny6.5
32Eoin Kenny60'replaced by Thomas Waddingham6.3
27Odin Bailey60'for Zak Swanson6.7
29Marko Milovanović60'for Luke Le Roux6.2
8John Swift82'for Colby Bishop6.6
31Daniel Bielica
4Josh Knight
55Madiodio Dia
14Hayden Matthews

Match Stats

West HamPortsmouth
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls19
5Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
341Total Passes412
280Passes Accurate331
82%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1802Elo Rating 1624
2.38Attack 1.46
1.74Defense 2.03
42%Hit Rate 63%
19.9Shots per Game 11.7
7.6Shots on Target 2.6
8.1Corners per Game 4.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.67 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PortsmouthPortsmouth
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

West HamWest Ham
3W4D3L
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
W
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D
24/05/2026
West HamLeeds
30
W
17/05/2026
NewcastleWest Ham
31
L
10/05/2026
West HamArsenal
01
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
L
25/04/2026
West HamEverton
21
W
20/04/2026
Crystal PalaceWest Ham
00
D
PortsmouthPortsmouth
3W4D3L
01/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Portsmouth
00
D
29/07/2026
FarnboroughPortsmouth
11
D
25/07/2026
WycombePortsmouth
31
L
18/07/2026
Bristol RoversPortsmouth
11
D
15/07/2026
Aldershot TownPortsmouth
20
L
14/07/2026
WokingPortsmouth
12
W
02/05/2026
PortsmouthBirmingham
11
D
25/04/2026
Stoke CityPortsmouth
13
W
21/04/2026
CoventryPortsmouth
51
L
18/04/2026
PortsmouthLeicester
10
W

Referee Profile

Adam Herczeg157 matches

3.53Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Herczeg3.53
Other referees4.00

3.53 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the West Ham vs Portsmouth forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

West Ham and Portsmouth have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.