Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction

Sunderland
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Hull City
Stadium of Light, Sunderland 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseHighGap+5.4%
Sunderland Rest
3 days
Hull City Rest
3 days

Sunderland vs Hull City: result, form and history

Sunderland beat Hull City 1-0 in the League Cup on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.67
X
23%3.77
2
31%5.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.17
X2
54%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.22 = 2.64
Over 1.5
85%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.93
Over 3.5
35%3.25
Under 1.5
15%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.87
Under 3.5
65%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Nobel Mendy INJohn Egan out
54'Lucas Gourna-DouathHandball
59'Matt Crooks INJoe Gelhardt out
60'Lucas Gourna-Douath INRegan Slater out
60'Robinio Vaz INChristos Mouzakitis out
62'Luke O'NienFoul
65'Dayann Methalie INThomas Meunier out
71'Chemsdine TalbiAssist: Thomas Meunier
72'John EganFoul
76'Matt Targett INElliot Stroud out
79'Malick Fofana INAlan Browne out
79'Wilson Isidor INTimur Tutierov out
86'Chemsdine Talbi INTom Proctor out
90+4'Elliot StroudFoul

Lineups

Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Le Bris
Hull City
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Jakirović
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.57
M. Ellborg6.931M. Ellborg
T. Hume8.032T. Hume
L. O'Nien7.413L. O'Nien
O. Alderete7.615O. Alderete
D. Methalie7.46D. Methalie
C. Rigg7.211C. Rigg
Jules Ahoka7.129J. Ahoka
J. T. Bi6.637J. T. Bi
C. Talbi8.27C. Talbi
M. Fofana7.039M. Fofana
W. Isidor6.418W. Isidor
D. Phillips7.012D. Phillips
L. Coyle7.12L. Coyle
L. Herrington6.922L. Herrington
N. Mendy6.932N. Mendy
M. Targett6.923M. Targett
M. Crooks6.925M. Crooks
L. Gourna-Douath7.229L. Gourna-Douath
M. Cho6.450M. Cho
J. Hjertø-Dahl6.314J. Hjertø-Dahl
S. Thomas7.07S. Thomas
R. Vaz6.147R. Vaz

Sunderland Substitutes

40J. Whittaker
57T. Tuterov79'for Wilson Isidor6.8
5D. Ballard
8A. Browne79'for Malick Fofana6.9
12T. Meunier65'for Dayann Methalie7.4
21S. Moore
77T. Proctor86'for Chemsdine Talbi6.8
27N. Sadiki
48Jenson Jones

Hull City Substitutes

11J. Gelhardt59'for Matt Crooks6.0
3R. Giles
55Archie Howard
36C. Mouzakitis60'for Robinio Vaz6.4
27R. Slater60'for Lucas Gourna-Douath6.5
21E. Stroud76'for Matt Targett90+4'6.2
15J. Egan45'for Nobel Mendy72'5.6
26K. Dowell
20Óscar Steven Zambrano Preciado

Match Stats

SunderlandHull City
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks12
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
8Fouls17
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
418Total Passes397
366Passes Accurate328
16Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

SunderlandSunderland
Hull CityHull City
1779Elo Rating 1702
1.29Attack 1.11
1.79Defense 1.50
41%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 11.7
4.8Shots on Target 2.9
3.8Corners per Game 4.9
1.6Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

SunderlandSunderland
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Hull CityHull City
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

SunderlandSunderland2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
Hull CityHull City2Wins · 22%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Championship22/02/2025
SunderlandHull City
01
Championship20/10/2024
Hull CitySunderland
01
Championship19/01/2024
SunderlandHull City
01
Championship26/12/2023
Hull CitySunderland
01
Championship07/04/2023
SunderlandHull City
44
Championship17/12/2022
Hull CitySunderland
11
League One20/04/2021
Hull CitySunderland
22
League One09/01/2021
SunderlandHull City
11
League Cup05/09/2020
SunderlandHull City
4050

Recent Form

SunderlandSunderland
6W1D3L
05/09/2026
BrentfordSunderland
11
D
30/08/2026
SunderlandFulham
10
W
22/08/2026
IpswichSunderland
21
L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
W
31/07/2026
SunderlandLeeds
01
L
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
L
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
W
24/05/2026
SunderlandChelsea
21
W
Hull CityHull City
6W3D1L
05/09/2026
Hull CityAston Villa
00
D
29/08/2026
CoventryHull City
01
W
25/08/2026
Stoke CityHull City
4151
W
22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
W
15/08/2026
Hull CityNice
00
D
08/08/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtHull City
20
L
01/08/2026
KasımpaşaHull City
11
D
28/07/2026
RizesporHull City
12
W
25/07/2026
KonyasporHull City
03
W
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Sunderland vs Hull City forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.