QPR vs Millwall Prediction

QPR
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 0-2
Millwall
Loftus Road Stadium, London·Matt Donohue, England 08/08/2026
QPRQPR
1-1
After Penalties
MillwallMillwall

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
QPR Rest
6 days
Millwall Rest
6 days

QPR vs Millwall: result, form and history

Millwall beat QPR on penalties (2-0) after a 1-1 draw in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: QPR had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Millwall.

Millwall have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Millwall tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.3 for QPR.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%3.01
X
30%3.40
2
18%2.25
Double Chance
1X
82%1.60
X2
48%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.72
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.18 = 2.54
Over 1.5
82%1.28
Over 2.5
46%1.91
Over 3.5
29%3.20
Under 1.5
18%3.40
Under 2.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

53'Luke Cundle
62'Nicolas Madsen INJonathan Varane out
62'Rumarn Burrell INKwame Poku out
70'Richard Kone INAlfie Lloyd out
76'Josh Coburn INTairyk Arconte out
76'Luke Cundle INKyrell Lisbie out
77'Ryan Leonard INMark Sykes out
79'Amadou Salif Mbengue INKealey Adamson out
80'Paul Smyth INKoki Saito out
84'Jenson Metcalfe INDaniel Kelly out
84'Femi Azeez INRaees Bangura-Williams out
86'Mark SykesOG

Lineups

QPR
Coach: Julien Stephan
Millwall
Coach: Alex Neil

QPR Starting XI

1Pierce Charles6.3
27Amadou Salif Mbengue79'replaced by Kealey Adamson7.0
3Jimmy DunneC6.9
5Ronnie Edwards7.0
12Boy Kemper6.9
20Harvey Vale7.5
24Nicolas Madsen62'replaced by Jonathan Varane7.2
16Rumarn Burrell62'replaced by Kwame Poku6.2
10Ilias Chair6.9
11Paul Smyth80'replaced by Koki Saito6.2
22Richard Kone70'replaced by Alfie Lloyd6.2
Avg rating6.68

Millwall Starting XI

1Lukas Jensen7.5
18Ryan Leonard77'replaced by Mark Sykes6.5
6Caleb Taylor7.5
5Jake CooperC7.2
3Zak Sturge6.2
24Casper De Norre7.2
14Jenson Metcalfe84'replaced by Daniel Kelly7.2
11Femi Azeez84'replaced by Raees Bangura-Williams6.6
25Luke Cundle53'76'replaced by Kyrell Lisbie7.5
10Camiel Neghli6.3
19Josh Coburn76'replaced by Tairyk Arconte6.2
Avg rating6.79

QPR Substitutes

17Kwame Poku62'for Rumarn Burrell6.6
40Jonathan Varane62'for Nicolas Madsen6.6
15Alfie Lloyd70'for Richard Kone6.3
2Kealey Adamson79'for Amadou Salif Mbengue6.6
14Koki Saito80'for Paul Smyth6.5
13Calum Ward
6Jake Clarke-Salter
21Kieran Morgan
35Philip Sanyaolu

Millwall Substitutes

22Kyrell Lisbie76'for Luke Cundle6.7
7Tairyk Arconte76'for Josh Coburn6.9
17Mark Sykes77'for Ryan Leonard86'6.7
31Raees Bangura-Williams84'for Femi Azeez6.2
16Daniel Kelly84'for Jenson Metcalfe6.3
15Max Crocombe
23Danny Batth
12Elkan Baggott
29Zak Lovelace

Match Stats

QPRMillwall
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks1
11Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots0
6Fouls11
4Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
466Total Passes362
379Passes Accurate280
81%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

QPRQPR
MillwallMillwall
1647Elo Rating 1654
2.57Attack 1.18
1.67Defense 1.53
46%Hit Rate 17%
13.3Shots per Game 12.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.9
4.3Corners per Game 7.7
2.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

QPRQPR
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

QPRQPR2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
MillwallMillwall6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship18/04/2026
MillwallQPR
20
Championship18/10/2025
QPRMillwall
12
Championship01/02/2025
MillwallQPR
21
Championship21/09/2024
QPRMillwall
11
Championship20/01/2024
QPRMillwall
20
Championship26/12/2023
MillwallQPR
20
Championship11/02/2023
QPRMillwall
12
Championship14/09/2022
MillwallQPR
02
Championship15/02/2022
MillwallQPR
20
Championship07/08/2021
QPRMillwall
11

Recent Form

QPRQPR
5W1D4L
01/08/2026
AFC WimbledonQPR
23
W
31/07/2026
BromleyQPR
07
W
25/07/2026
QPRFiorentina
32
W
21/07/2026
QPRWycombe
10
W
16/07/2026
SC Wiener NeustadtQPR
13
W
11/07/2026
First ViennaQPR
00
D
02/05/2026
IpswichQPR
30
L
25/04/2026
QPRDerby
23
L
21/04/2026
QPRSwansea
12
L
18/04/2026
MillwallQPR
20
L
MillwallMillwall
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
MillwallAntwerp
10
W
28/07/2026
BromleyMillwall
11
D
25/07/2026
StevenageMillwall
10
L
21/07/2026
GillinghamMillwall
10
L
17/07/2026
EldenseMillwall
12
W
14/07/2026
FC AndorraMillwall
21
L
11/05/2026
MillwallHull City
02
L
08/05/2026
Hull CityMillwall
00
D
02/05/2026
MillwallOxford United
20
W
24/04/2026
LeicesterMillwall
11
D

Referee Profile

Matt Donohue200 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matt Donohue4.20
Other referees3.78

4.20 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 193 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the QPR vs Millwall forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

QPR have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.