Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction

Liverpool
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tottenham
Anfield, Liverpool 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Liverpool Rest
3 days
Tottenham Rest
3 days

Liverpool vs Tottenham: result, form and history

Liverpool beat Tottenham 3-1 in the League Cup on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Liverpool have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.73
X
19%3.95
2
13%4.42
Double Chance
1X
87%1.21
X2
31%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.46
No
48%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.96 = 2.85
Over 1.5
85%1.12
Over 2.5
56%1.46
Over 3.5
38%2.17
Under 1.5
15%5.45
Under 2.5
44%2.60
Under 3.5
62%1.70
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Alexis Mac Allister
36'Ronald AraujoFoul
40'Jeremie FrimpongFoul
41'Omar MarmoushFoul
45'Joe Gomez INJérémy Jacquet out
45+3'Rodrigo BentancurFoul
54'Cody GakpoAssist: Alexis Mac Allister
57'Destiny Udogie INAndrew Robertson out
57'Rodrigo Bentancur INMateus Fernandes out
62'James McConnell INDominik Szoboszlai out
62'Treymaurice Nyoni INRyan Gravenberch out
69'Conor GallagherAssist: Mateus Fernandes
72'Rio Ngumoha INBradley Barcola out
75'Milos KerkezFoul
75'Mohammed Kudus INSávio Moreira de Oliveira out
75'Conor Gallagher INJames Maddison out
85'Mathys Tel INDominic Solanke out
86'Lewis Koumas INAlexander Isak out
88'Andoni Iraola SagarnaDissent
90+1'Dominik SzoboszlaiAssist: Cody Gakpo

Lineups

Liverpool
4-2-3-1Coach: Andoni Iraola
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: R. De Zerbi
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.37
G. Mamardashvili7.825G. Mamardashvili
J. Frimpong6.330J. Frimpong
R. Araújo6.533R. Araújo
J. Gomez7.02J. Gomez
M. Kerkez6.26M. Kerkez
T. Nyoni6.642T. Nyoni
A. Mac Allister8.810A. Mac Allister
R. Ngumoha6.873R. Ngumoha
J. McConnell6.253J. McConnell
C. Gakpo7.918C. Gakpo
L. Koumas6.467L. Koumas
M. Dúbravka5.939M. Dúbravka
A. Gray6.414A. Gray
T. Adarabioyo6.94T. Adarabioyo
M. Senesi6.95M. Senesi
D. Udogie6.113D. Udogie
R. Bentancur6.330R. Bentancur
L. Bergvall6.915L. Bergvall
M. Kudus5.720M. Kudus
C. Gallagher7.18C. Gallagher
M. Tel5.611M. Tel
Omar Marmoush6.522O. Marmoush

Liverpool Substitutes

9A. Isak86'for Lewis Koumas6.6
5J. Jacquet45'for Joe Gomez7.0
23Víctor Muñoz
1Alisson Becker
8D. Szoboszlai62'for James McConnell90+1'7.1
29B. Barcola72'for Rio Ngumoha6.5
44L. Chambers
3W. Endo
38R. Gravenberch62'for Treymaurice Nyoni6.7

Tottenham Substitutes

31A. Kinský
10J. Maddison75'for Conor Gallagher6.1
3A. Robertson57'for Destiny Udogie5.9
17Sávio75'for Mohammed Kudus6.5
19D. Solanke85'for Mathys Tel6.4
37M. van de Ven
6J. van Hecke
33B. Davies
18Mateus Fernandes57'for Rodrigo Bentancur6.9

Match Stats

LiverpoolTottenham
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots6
15Fouls11
1Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves2
370Total Passes476
305Passes Accurate413
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

LiverpoolLiverpool
TottenhamTottenham
1938Elo Rating 1789
2.85Attack 1.89
0.88Defense 1.66
83%Hit Rate 50%
19.7Shots per Game 15.8
6.2Shots on Target 4.8
7.3Corners per Game 6.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LiverpoolLiverpool
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LiverpoolLiverpool7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
TottenhamTottenham2Wins · 20%
4.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League15/03/2026
LiverpoolTottenham
11
Premier League20/12/2025
TottenhamLiverpool
12
Premier League27/04/2025
LiverpoolTottenham
51
League Cup06/02/2025
LiverpoolTottenham
40
League Cup08/01/2025
TottenhamLiverpool
10
Premier League22/12/2024
TottenhamLiverpool
36
Premier League05/05/2024
LiverpoolTottenham
42
Premier League30/09/2023
TottenhamLiverpool
21
Premier League30/04/2023
LiverpoolTottenham
43
Premier League06/11/2022
TottenhamLiverpool
12

Recent Form

LiverpoolLiverpool
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
LiverpoolFulham
00
D
09/09/2026
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
21
W
04/09/2026
IpswichLiverpool
02
W
29/08/2026
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
22
D
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
00
D
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
L
02/08/2026
LiverpoolLeeds
24
L
30/07/2026
LiverpoolWrexham
10
W
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
W
TottenhamTottenham
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
TottenhamEverton
00
D
05/09/2026
Nottingham ForestTottenham
00
D
29/08/2026
TottenhamNewcastle
02
L
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Liverpool vs Tottenham forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.