Crewe vs Accrington ST Prediction

Crewe
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Accrington ST
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.24
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Crewe Rest
7 days
Accrington ST Rest
7 days

Crewe vs Accrington ST: result, form and history

Crewe beat Accrington ST 2-1 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Accrington ST tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.7 for Crewe.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.82
X
23%3.65
2
31%4.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.22
X2
54%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.70
No
54%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.22 = 3.14
Over 1.5
82%1.24
Over 2.5
49%1.79
Over 3.5
31%2.90
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
51%1.99
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Jack Lankester(Penalty)
45+5'Farrend RawsonFoul
59'Devon Matthews INTom Moore out
62'Jack Lankester INJoel Tabiner out
62'Cole Stockton INCharlie Caton out
62'Alex Henderson INStefan Mols out
65'Farrend RawsonAssist: Stefan Mols
72'Joe White INAdrien Thibaut out
74'Joseph AndersonFoul
79'Seamus Conneely INCharlie Brown out
79'David Tutonda INFreddie Sass out
82'Jordan Gibson INLuca Moore out
85'Luca MooreAssist: Lewis Billington
90+2'Donald LoveArgument

Lineups

Crewe
Coach: Lee Bell
Accrington ST
Coach: John Doolan

Crewe Starting XI

1Tom Booth7.2
2Lewis Billington6.7
6Luke Offord6.3
5Mickey DemetriouC7.9
3Reece Hutchinson6.9
17Matúš Holíček6.7
10Joe White72'replaced by Adrien Thibaut7.2
20Calum Agius6.6
7Jack Lankester7'62'replaced by Joel Tabiner7.5
14Jordan Gibson82'replaced by Luca Moore7.0
9Josh March6.9
Avg rating6.98

Accrington ST Starting XI

1Louie Moulden5.9
17Devon Matthews59'replaced by Tom Moore6.2
5Farrend Rawson45+5'65'5.7
22Joseph Anderson74'6.7
28Seamus ConneelyC79'replaced by Charlie Brown6.9
38Connor O'Brien6.9
2Donald Love90+2'7.3
10Alex Henderson62'replaced by Stefan Mols6.2
33David Tutonda79'replaced by Freddie Sass6.3
39Josh Woods5.6
13Cole Stockton62'replaced by Charlie Caton6.5
Avg rating6.44

Crewe Substitutes

11Joel Tabiner62'for Jack Lankester6.6
29Adrien Thibaut72'for Joe White6.5
32Luca Moore82'for Jordan Gibson85'7.7
13Ian Lawlor
30Stan Dancey
22Phil Croker
27Patrick Mlynarski

Accrington ST Substitutes

4Tom Moore59'for Devon Matthews6.7
14Stefan Mols62'for Alex Henderson6.7
18Charlie Caton62'for Cole Stockton6.7
3Freddie Sass79'for David Tutonda6.2
20Charlie Brown79'for Seamus Conneely6.6
21James Rogerson
25Joshua Smith

Match Stats

CreweAccrington ST
50%Ball Possession50%
1Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls13
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
357Total Passes354
244Passes Accurate246
68%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

CreweCrewe
Accrington STAccrington ST
1550Elo Rating 1527
1.30Attack 2.30
0.52Defense 2.44
36%Hit Rate 46%
9.3Shots per Game 17.5
3.6Shots on Target 5.6
3.7Corners per Game 6.8
1.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.14 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CreweCrewe
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CreweCrewe3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Accrington STAccrington ST5Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

League Two03/04/2026
Accrington STCrewe
20
League Two09/08/2025
CreweAccrington ST
20
League Two25/01/2025
CreweAccrington ST
01
League Two14/09/2024
Accrington STCrewe
01
League Two06/04/2024
Accrington STCrewe
00
League Two16/12/2023
CreweAccrington ST
33
League One12/02/2022
Accrington STCrewe
41
League One21/08/2021
CreweAccrington ST
01
League One23/02/2021
CreweAccrington ST
20
League One24/11/2020
Accrington STCrewe
10

Recent Form

CreweCrewe
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
ChesterCrewe
00
D
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
L
21/07/2026
AFC Telford UnitedCrewe
03
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
11/07/2026
Witton AlbionCrewe
23
W
02/05/2026
CreweCambridge United
00
D
25/04/2026
ChesterfieldCrewe
20
L
18/04/2026
CreweMilton Keynes Dons
13
L
11/04/2026
GrimsbyCrewe
32
L
06/04/2026
CreweSalford City
10
W
Accrington STAccrington ST
3W4D3L
01/08/2026
Accrington STSheffield Wednesday
00
D
28/07/2026
Accrington STBury
10
W
25/07/2026
ChorleyAccrington ST
03
W
17/07/2026
Accrington STBradford
10
W
11/07/2026
Accrington STBlackburn
00
D
02/05/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
30
L
25/04/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
33
D
18/04/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
22
D
14/04/2026
ColchesterAccrington ST
21
L
11/04/2026
Accrington STFleetwood Town
12
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Crewe vs Accrington ST forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.