Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction

Brentford
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Tottenham
Brentford Community Stadium, London·Michael Oliver, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.80
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+14.1%
Brentford Rest
7 days
Tottenham Rest
6 days

Brentford vs Tottenham: the result in context

Brentford beat Tottenham 3-0 in the Premier League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Tottenham tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.2 for Brentford.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.45
X
29%3.60
2
31%2.76
Double Chance
1X
69%1.45
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.29 = 2.93
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.32
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.32
Over 9.5
46%1.59
Over 10.5
34%1.93
Under 8.5
42%3.04
Under 9.5
54%2.23
Under 10.5
66%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
50%1.66
Over 4.5
27%2.29
Under 3.5
50%2.15
Under 4.5
73%1.57

Match Events

12'K. Lewis-PotterAssist: M. Sangare
33'V. Janelt
34'C. GallagherFoul
46'C. Gallagher INM. Fernandes out
46'L. Bergvall INR. Bentancur out
49'M. Kayode
54'I. Thiago(Penalty missed)
67'M. Jensen INY. Yarmolyuk out
67'D. Ouattara INJ. Anthony out
68'M. Moore INJ. Maddison out
68'Richarlison IND. Solanke out
76'M. Sangare INM. Damsgaard out
76'M. Kayode INA. Hickey out
78'V. JaneltHolding
83'I. Thiago INC. Wilson out
86'A. Gray IND. Udogie out

Lineups

Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Avg rating7.07
Avg rating6.44
Caoimhin Kelleher7.61C. Kelleher
Michael Kayode7.533M. Kayode
Kristoffer Ajer7.220K. Ajer
Nathan CollinsC6.622N. Collins
Keane Lewis-Potter7.623K. Lewis-Potter
Mamadou Sangare7.218M. Sangare
Vitaly Janelt7.627V. Janelt
Dango Ouattara6.211D. Ouattara
Mathias Jensen7.28M. Jensen
Kevin Schade7.97K. Schade
Igor Thiago6.29I. Thiago
Antonín Kinský6.331A. Kinský
Archie GrayC6.014A. Gray
Jan Paul van Hecke6.96J. Paul van Hecke
Marcos Senesi7.65M. Senesi
Andy Robertson6.93A. Robertson
Sandro Tonali6.616S. Tonali
Lucas Bergvall5.615L. Bergvall
Mikey Moore6.247M. Moore
Conor Gallagher6.28C. Gallagher
Mathys Tel6.211M. Tel
Richarlison6.29Richarlison

Brentford Substitutes

12Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
3Rico Henry
2Aaron Hickey76'for M. Kayode6.5
5Ethan Pinnock
44Jannik Schuster
6Yehor Yarmoliuk67'for M. Jensen6.3
19Jaidon Anthony67'for D. Ouattara7.3
24Mikkel Damsgaard76'for M. Sangare7.2
13Callum Wilson83'for I. Thiago

Tottenham Substitutes

39Martin Dúbravka
4Kevin Danso
13Destiny Udogie86'for A. Gray
33Ben Davies
10James Maddison68'for M. Moore6.5
18Mateus Fernandes46'for C. Gallagher6.7
30Rodrigo Bentancur46'for L. Bergvall6.0
19Dominic Solanke68'for Richarlison6.7
68Luca Williams-Barnett

Match Stats

BrentfordTottenham
40%Ball Possession60%
7Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
26Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal3
20Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots2
17Fouls14
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
360Total Passes549
296Passes Accurate482
82%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

BrentfordBrentford
TottenhamTottenham
1850Elo Rating 1789
1.72Attack 1.89
1.24Defense 1.66
14%Hit Rate 50%
13.6Shots per Game 15.8
5.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 6.4
2.9Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BrentfordBrentford
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BrentfordBrentford1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
TottenhamTottenham5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League01/01/2026
BrentfordTottenham
00
Premier League06/12/2025
TottenhamBrentford
20
Premier League02/02/2025
BrentfordTottenham
02
Premier League21/09/2024
TottenhamBrentford
31
Premier League31/01/2024
TottenhamBrentford
32
Premier League13/08/2023
BrentfordTottenham
22
Premier League20/05/2023
TottenhamBrentford
13
Premier League26/12/2022
BrentfordTottenham
22
Premier League23/04/2022
BrentfordTottenham
00
Premier League02/12/2021
TottenhamBrentford
20

Recent Form

BrentfordBrentford
3W5D2L
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
09/05/2026
Manchester CityBrentford
30
L
02/05/2026
BrentfordWest Ham
30
W
27/04/2026
Manchester UnitedBrentford
21
L
18/04/2026
BrentfordFulham
00
D
11/04/2026
BrentfordEverton
22
D
21/03/2026
LeedsBrentford
00
D
TottenhamTottenham
6W3D1L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
W
26/07/2026
AucklandTottenham
02
W
22/07/2026
TottenhamMilton Keynes Dons
10
W
24/05/2026
TottenhamEverton
10
W
19/05/2026
ChelseaTottenham
21
L
11/05/2026
TottenhamLeeds
11
D

Referee Profile

Michael Oliver312 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Oliver3.93
Other referees3.94

3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 305 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City970220:10+1021LLWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
6BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
7BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
8Hull CityHull City925211:10+111DDLDL
9LeedsLeeds92529:8+111LDDLD
10NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
11Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
12IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
13EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15CoventryCoventry93069:16-79WLLWW
16FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
17Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest91356:12-66LDLLL
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City920:1021
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
6BrentfordBrentford916:914
7BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
8Hull CityHull City911:1011
9LeedsLeeds99:811
10NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
11Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
12IpswichIpswich914:1811
13EvertonEverton88:910
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15CoventryCoventry99:169
16FulhamFulham88:108
17Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest96:126
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Brentford vs Tottenham forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Brentford and Tottenham in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Brentford are 6th and Tottenham 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Brentford 16-9, Tottenham 8-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.