Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction
England · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Manchester City vs Bournemouth: the result in context
Manchester City beat Bournemouth 2-1 in the Premier League on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Manchester City have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Manchester City
Avg ratingAvg rating
1G. Donnarumma
82R. Lewis
45A. Khusanov
C3R. Dias
24J. Gvardiol
5E. Anderson
6M. Guéhi
47P. Foden
33N. O'Reilly
42A. Semenyo
9E. Haaland
1Đ. Petrović
C15A. Smith
5J. Hill
14A. Silva
3A. Truffert
4L. Cook
8A. Scott
37Rayan
19J. Kluivert
16M. Tavernier
9EvanilsonManchester City Substitutes
Bournemouth Substitutes
Match Stats
Manchester CityBournemouth Team Comparison
Manchester CityBournemouthAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Manchester City- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
Bournemouth- Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Manchester City8Wins · 80%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
19/05/2026BournemouthManchester City02/11/2025Manchester CityBournemouth20/05/2025Manchester CityBournemouth
30/03/2025BournemouthManchester City02/11/2024BournemouthManchester City24/02/2024BournemouthManchester City04/11/2023Manchester CityBournemouth25/02/2023BournemouthManchester City13/08/2022Manchester CityBournemouth
24/09/2020Manchester CityBournemouthRecent Form
Manchester City
ArsenalManchester CityManchester City
Atletico Madrid
K-League StarsManchester CityManchester City
InterManchester City
Aston VillaBournemouthManchester City
ChelseaManchester CityManchester City
Crystal PalaceManchester City
Brentford
EvertonManchester CityBournemouth
FSV Mainz 05Bournemouth
Real BetisBournemouthBournemouth
Genoa
FC AugsburgBournemouthBournemouth
FC St. Pauli
Nottingham ForestBournemouthBournemouthManchester City
FulhamBournemouthBournemouthCrystal PalaceBournemouth
LeedsReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).
Cards come from 170 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7:17 | 5 |
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About the Manchester City vs Bournemouth forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Manchester City and Bournemouth in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Manchester City are 1st and Bournemouth 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester City 20-10, Bournemouth 14-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bournemouth have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.