Tranmere vs Rochdale Prediction

League CupEngland England · Preliminary Round
Cup
Tranmere
2-2
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 1-2
Rochdale
Prenton Park, Wirral·Oliver Mackey, England 01/08/2026
TranmereTranmere
2-2
After Penalties
RochdaleRochdale

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Tranmere Rest
14 days
Rochdale Rest
3 days

Tranmere vs Rochdale: result, form and history

Rochdale beat Tranmere on penalties (2-1) after a 2-2 draw in the League Cup on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
5%2.91
X
27%3.29
2
68%2.30
Double Chance
1X
32%1.56
X2
95%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.73
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.63 + 2.02 = 2.65
Over 1.5
82%1.29
Over 2.5
47%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.30
Under 1.5
18%3.25
Under 2.5
53%1.80
Under 3.5
71%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'C. WhitakerAssist: T. Conlon
11'R. East
42'J. Senior
54'J. Davies
60'J. DaviesAssist: J. Turnbull
60'T. Conlon INT. Ince out
60'S. Finley INZ. Okoro out
64'S. Sherring IND. Moss out
64'C. Hayes INZ. Silcott-Duberry out
71'L. Hannant IND. Rodney out
72'H. Gilmour INC. Pettit out
72'J. Ironside INC. Baker-Richardson out
72'L. O'Connor INL. Warrington out
76'J. Turnbull INB. Faulkner out
85'Z. Silcott-DuberryAssist: B. Bilongo
87'C. Whitaker
90+2'C. Pettit INT. Bradley out

Penalty Shootout1 - 2

1J. Davies(Penalty)
1E. Dieseruvwe(Penalty missed)
2Z. Okoro(Penalty missed)
2E. Ebanks-Landell(Penalty missed)
3T. Ince(Penalty missed)
3E. Francis(Penalty)
4C. Whitaker(Penalty missed)
4Z. Silcott-Duberry(Penalty)
5C. Baker-Richardson(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Tranmere
4-2-3-1Coach: Pete Wild
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Jim McNulty
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.66
Harrison Male6.212H. Male
Joel Senior6.72J. Senior
Nathan James Smith5.95N. James Smith
Jordan Turnbull7.74J. Turnbull
Jacob Slater5.93J. Slater
Sam Finley6.78S. Finley
Lee O'ConnorC6.322L. O'Connor
Jordan Davies8.015J. Davies
Tom Conlon7.311T. Conlon
Charlie Whitaker7.37C. Whitaker
Joe Ironside6.29J. Ironside
Nils Ramming6.91N. Ramming
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling6.613T. Adebayo-Rowling
Ethan Ebanks-LandellC7.76E. Ebanks-Landell
Sam Sherring5.926S. Sherring
Bryant Akono Bilongo6.927B. Akono Bilongo
Edward Francis6.614E. Francis
Ryan East7.24R. East
Cian Hayes6.37C. Hayes
Harvey Gilmour5.98H. Gilmour
Luke Hanannt7.319L. Hanannt
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe6.69E. Dieseruvwe

Tranmere Substitutes

10Tom Ince60'for T. Conlon6.3
17Zane Okoro60'for S. Finley7.0
25Lewis Warrington72'for L. O'Connor6.5
19Courtney Baker-Richardson72'for J. Ironside6.3
16Bobby Faulkner76'for J. Turnbull6.3
14Oliver Scott
23Patrick Brough
20Charlie Veevers
27Samuel Mann

Rochdale Substitutes

22Daniel Moss64'for S. Sherring6.2
11Zain Silcott-Duberry64'for C. Hayes85'7.2
10Devante Rodney71'for L. Hannant6.3
16Casey Pettit72'for H. Gilmour90+2'for T. Bradley6.5
54Thomas Bradley
20Sam Waller
12Jake Spaven

Match Stats

TranmereRochdale
28%Ball Possession72%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
18Fouls11
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
242Total Passes627
176Passes Accurate548
73%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

TranmereTranmere
RochdaleRochdale
1465Elo Rating 1520
1.14Attack 1.01
1.61Defense 0.00
23%Hit Rate 0%
10.3Shots per Game 9.5
3.4Shots on Target 2.3
6.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TranmereTranmere
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

TranmereTranmere1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two18/04/2023
RochdaleTranmere
22
League Two25/10/2022
TranmereRochdale
11
League Two15/01/2022
TranmereRochdale
20
League Two11/09/2021
RochdaleTranmere
10

Recent Form

TranmereTranmere
2W2D6L
18/07/2026
TranmereBlackpool
20
W
02/05/2026
TranmereGrimsby
11
D
25/04/2026
Milton Keynes DonsTranmere
30
L
21/04/2026
CheltenhamTranmere
13
W
18/04/2026
TranmereBristol Rovers
12
L
11/04/2026
ChesterfieldTranmere
11
D
06/04/2026
TranmereColchester
01
L
03/04/2026
ShrewsburyTranmere
10
L
21/03/2026
TranmereSwindon Town
01
L
17/03/2026
TranmereHarrogate Town
03
L
RochdaleRochdale
4W4D2L
28/07/2026
RochdaleFC Halifax Town
23
L
25/07/2026
RochdaleFarnham Town
22
D
19/07/2026
RochdaleAl-Rayyan SC
33
D
14/07/2026
United of ManchesterRochdale
20
L
10/05/2026
Boreham WoodRochdale
1232
W
03/05/2026
RochdaleScunthorpe
21
W
25/04/2026
RochdaleYork
11
D
18/04/2026
BraintreeRochdale
12
W
11/04/2026
RochdaleWealdstone
21
W
06/04/2026
HartlepoolRochdale
00
D

Referee Profile

Oliver Mackey124 matches

3.75Cards per match
3.67Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Mackey3.75
Other referees3.94

3.75 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Preliminary Round
Tranmere21
Rochdale22
On penalties
York0
Crawley Town2
Tranmere21
Rochdale22
On penalties
York0
Crawley Town2

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About the Tranmere vs Rochdale forecast

This is a League Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tranmere have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.