Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction
England · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Leeds vs Newcastle: the result in context
Leeds beat Newcastle 4-1 in the Premier League on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Newcastle tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.8 for Leeds.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Leeds
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Trafford
24J. Justin
30N. Elvedi
5T. Muharemović
2J. Bogle
18A. Stach
4E. Ampadu
22A. Tanaka
3G. Gudmundsson
9D. Calvert-Lewin
19N. Okafor
21L. Horníček
37A. Dedić
12M. Thiaw
4S. Botman
3L. Hall
67L. Miley
6N. González
23J. Murphy
20M. Fernandez-Pardo
11H. Barnes
9Y. WissaLeeds Substitutes
Newcastle Substitutes
Match Stats
LeedsNewcastle Team Comparison
LeedsNewcastleAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leeds- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newcastle- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Leeds2Wins · 25%2Wins · 25%Previous meetings
07/01/2026NewcastleLeeds30/08/2025LeedsNewcastle13/05/2023LeedsNewcastle31/12/2022NewcastleLeeds22/01/2022LeedsNewcastle17/09/2021NewcastleLeeds26/01/2021NewcastleLeeds16/12/2020LeedsNewcastleRecent Form
Leeds
ChelseaLeeds
BrightonLeedsLeeds
Brentford
Nottingham ForestLeedsNottingham ForestLeedsLeeds
FC AugsburgLeeds
Manchester UnitedLeeds
RB Leipzig
LiverpoolLeeds
SunderlandLeedsNewcastle
MillwallNewcastleNewcastle
Bournemouth
TottenhamNewcastleNewcastle
West BromNewcastleLiverpoolNewcastle
StrasbourgNewcastle
Bayer LeverkusenNewcastle
Everton
ValenciaNewcastle
Bristol CityNewcastleLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LWWLD |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | DDLDW |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 6:14 | 5 |
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About the Leeds vs Newcastle forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leeds and Newcastle in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Leeds (7th) and Newcastle (8th) are level on 11 points. League goal record so far: Leeds 9-6, Newcastle 12-14. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.