Atletico DE Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.5%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
7 days
Nueva Chicago Rest
7 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago: the result in context

Atletico DE Rafaela beat Nueva Chicago 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.25
X
30%2.80
2
27%3.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
57%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%2.45
No
60%1.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.85 = 2.11
Over 1.5
62%1.68
Over 2.5
34%3.08
Over 3.5
17%6.75
Under 1.5
38%2.06
Under 2.5
66%1.32
Under 3.5
83%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

56'N. Cainelli
62'M. Pardo
65'M. Moreno INA. Rodriguez out
65'M. Pardo INF. Jourdan out
67'A. Gonzalez
69'A. Solveyra
72'L. Albertengo INM. Quiroga out
74'R. E. Zalazar IND. Barros out
74'E. Roldan INL. Ambrogio out
77'A. Obando
79'M. Rogoski INS. Cocimano out
87'A. Obando INE. Pepino out
87'J. Capurro INA. Gonzalez out
90'L. Ambrogio

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
1537Elo Rating 1481
0.83Attack 0.61
1.31Defense 1.95
23%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
Primera Nacional19/07/2024
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
15
Primera Nacional01/03/2024
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional24/04/2022
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
11
Primera Nacional29/09/2018
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
01
Primera Nacional28/10/2017
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
00

Recent Form

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
3W2D5L
18/07/2026
TemperleyAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
11/07/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaDeportivo Maipu
13
L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
L
23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
14/06/2026
PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
06/06/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaColegiales
10
W
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
23/05/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaMidland
10
W
16/05/2026
AtlantaAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
09/05/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaGimnasia Y Tiro
10
W
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
2W3D5L
17/07/2026
Nueva ChicagoAgropecuario
11
D
11/07/2026
Tristan SuarezNueva Chicago
10
L
04/07/2026
Nueva ChicagoClub Atlético Güemes
20
W
23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
17/06/2026
Gimnasia JujuyNueva Chicago
40
L
13/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoChacarita Juniors
20
W
23/05/2026
Nueva ChicagoTemperley
11
D
17/05/2026
Deportivo MaipuNueva Chicago
10
L
12/05/2026
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
12
L
03/05/2026
PatronatoNueva Chicago
21
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
8San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
9ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
8San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
9ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico DE Rafaela and Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th and Nueva Chicago 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico DE Rafaela 29-35, Nueva Chicago 25-34. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.