Azam vs Mbeya City Prediction

Azam
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Mbeya City
Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam 28/10/2026
AzamAzam
4-0
Finished
Mbeya CityMbeya City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Azam Rest
4 days
Mbeya City Rest
9 days

Azam vs Mbeya City: the result in context

Azam beat Mbeya City 4-0 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 28 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Azam had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mbeya City.

Azam have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.40
X
23%3.90
2
12%8.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.05
X2
35%2.75
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+6'I. Nado
56'
64'F. Salum
72'H. Mubiru
90+1'

Team Comparison

AzamAzam
Mbeya CityMbeya City
1681Elo Rating 1445
1.83Attack 0.42
2.52Defense 0.55
66%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+236 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AzamAzam
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.3 in first half)
Mbeya CityMbeya City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AzamAzam5Wins · 63%
Draws225%
Mbeya CityMbeya City1Wins · 12%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Ligi kuu Bara09/04/2026
Mbeya CityAzam
00
Ligi kuu Bara24/09/2025
AzamMbeya City
20
Ligi kuu Bara31/12/2022
AzamMbeya City
61
Ligi kuu Bara13/09/2022
Mbeya CityAzam
01
Ligi kuu Bara10/05/2022
Mbeya CityAzam
21
Ligi kuu Bara18/12/2021
AzamMbeya City
22
Ligi kuu Bara18/02/2021
AzamMbeya City
21
Ligi kuu Bara20/09/2020
Mbeya CityAzam
01

Recent Form

AzamAzam
6W3D1L
24/10/2026
AzamMasr
10
W
16/10/2026
MasrAzam
11
D
09/10/2026
Coastal UnionAzam
02
W
16/09/2026
AzamSimba
02
L
07/09/2026
AzamNamungo
20
W
31/08/2026
Kagera SugarAzam
02
W
28/08/2026
Geita GoldAzam
22
D
23/08/2026
AzamPamba Jiji
21
W
20/08/2026
AzamTabora United
21
W
15/08/2026
Polisi TanzaniaAzam
11
D
Mbeya CityMbeya City
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
21
L
09/10/2026
Mbeya CityKagera Sugar
13
L
12/09/2026
Polisi TanzaniaMbeya City
20
L
04/09/2026
Tabora UnitedMbeya City
00
D
28/08/2026
Fountain GateMbeya City
02
W
23/08/2026
Mbeya CityMashujaa
21
W
19/08/2026
Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji
20
W
14/08/2026
Mbeya CityGeita Gold
01
L
08/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
00
D
05/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
02
W

League Table

Ligi kuu Bara 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SimbaSimba990020:4+1627WWWWW
2Young AfricansYoung Africans971119:5+1422WDLWW
3AzamAzam962117:7+1020WWLWW
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania1052312:12017DWWWL
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji94328:5+315DWDWW
6NamungoNamungo1050510:12-215WWWLL
7Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars942315:11+414WLDLW
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union104159:13-413WLWLW
9Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania1033412:12012LDDLW
10MashujaaMashujaa940510:15-512LLWWL
11Mbeya CityMbeya City93158:13-510LLLLD
12Geita GoldGeita Gold1023511:17-69DDLLL
13Tabora UnitedTabora United91537:8-18DDLWD
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji1013610:16-66LDDWL
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar101369:18-96LLDWD
16Fountain GateFountain Gate101365:14-96LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SimbaSimba920:427
2Young AfricansYoung Africans919:522
3AzamAzam917:720
4JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania1012:1217
5Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji98:515
6NamungoNamungo1010:1215
7Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars915:1114
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union109:1313
9Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania1012:1212
10MashujaaMashujaa910:1512
11Mbeya CityMbeya City98:1310
12Geita GoldGeita Gold1011:179
13Tabora UnitedTabora United97:88
14Pamba JijiPamba Jiji1010:166
15Kagera SugarKagera Sugar109:186
16Fountain GateFountain Gate105:146
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Azam vs Mbeya City forecast

The forecasts for this Ligi kuu Bara match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Azam and Mbeya City in the Ligi kuu Bara table

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Azam are 3rd and Mbeya City 11th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Azam 17-7, Mbeya City 8-13. The full standings are on the Ligi kuu Bara Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.