Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town Prediction
Wales · South - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town: the result in context
Baglan Dragons and Pontypridd Town drew 1-1 in the FAW Championship on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Baglan Dragons
Pontypridd TownAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Baglan Dragons- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Pontypridd Town- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Baglan Dragons1Wins · 25%2Wins · 50%Previous meetings
21/02/2026Pontypridd TownBaglan Dragons27/07/2025Baglan DragonsPontypridd Town17/01/2025Pontypridd TownBaglan Dragons26/10/2024Baglan DragonsPontypridd TownRecent Form
Baglan Dragons
llanelli AFCBaglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
Carmarthen Town
Cardiff DraconiansBaglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
Afan LidoBaglan Dragons
Caerphilly AthleticBaglan Dragons
Caerau (Ely)
Newport CityBaglan Dragons
Llantwit MajorBaglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
Swansea University
Trethomas BluebirdsBaglan DragonsPontypridd TownPontypridd TownLlantwit MajorPontypridd Town
Aberystwyth TownCaerphilly AthleticPontypridd TownPontypridd TownAfan LidoSwansea UniversityPontypridd TownPontypridd TownTrethomas BluebirdsCardiff DraconiansPontypridd TownPontypridd Town
Pontardawe Town
Treowen StarsPontypridd TownPontypridd TownCaerau (Ely)League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32:21 | +11 | 24 | WDDWL |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 22 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:20 | +3 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 21 | LDWDW |
| 5 |  Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | +8 | 19 | WWWDD |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 | LDWLL |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 16 | LWWLD |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 16 | WLLLD |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 15 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 | LWWLL |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | WDWWL |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | +4 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 | WLDDL |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 11 | LWDLW |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9:40 | -31 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 32:21 | 24 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 4 | Swansea University | 10 | 32:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 11 | 20:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 24:26 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 10 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 19:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 9:40 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town forecast
The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Baglan Dragons and Pontypridd Town in the FAW Championship table
In the FAW Championship table, Pontypridd Town are 1st and Baglan Dragons 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Baglan Dragons 12-13, Pontypridd Town 32-21. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Pontypridd Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.