Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

Protective Stadium·C. Hernandez 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Birmingham Legion Rest
4 days
Las Vegas Lights Rest
6 days

Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights: result, form and history

Las Vegas Lights beat Birmingham Legion 2-1 in the USL Championship on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.92
X
28%3.63
2
27%3.25
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
55%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.64
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.74
Over 3.5
19%2.81
Under 1.5
36%3.72
Under 2.5
61%1.98
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'O. Anderson
45+3'J. Rodriguez(Penalty missed)
46'D. McCartney INA. Daley out
48'K. HughesFoul
60'J. RodriguezAssist: C. Pinzon
64'S. Tregarthen INS. Ngoma out
64'S. Shashoua INS. McIllhatton out
68'O. Anderson INA. Okyere out
68'M. Arteaga ING. Probo out
73'J. HeapsUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'G. Diarbian INS. Saucedo out
82'M. Ybarra INC. Locker out
83'S. AntwiFoul
87'T. Antonoglou INN. Sessock out
89'S. SaucedoAssist: T. Pasher
90+5'S. SaucedoFoul

Team Comparison

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
1445Elo Rating 1409
1.30Attack 1.93
2.56Defense 0.33
61%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights1Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

USL Championship14/10/2024
Birmingham LegionLas Vegas Lights
03
USL Championship09/07/2023
Las Vegas LightsBirmingham Legion
33
USL Championship19/05/2022
Birmingham LegionLas Vegas Lights
00

Recent Form

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
4W4D2L
10/06/2026
Birmingham LegionCorpus Christi
30
W
04/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLouisville City
11
D
24/05/2026
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
20
L
17/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham Legion
2131
W
08/05/2026
Birmingham LegionMiami FC
00
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
W
19/04/2026
Birmingham LegionIndy Eleven
22
D
12/04/2026
Birmingham LegionPittsburgh Riverhounds
10
W
04/04/2026
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
22
D
22/03/2026
Charleston BatteryBirmingham Legion
32
L
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
3W2D5L
07/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOakland Roots
02
L
31/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsFC Tulsa
00
D
24/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsColorado Springs
20
W
18/05/2026
Spokane VelocityLas Vegas Lights
10
L
10/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
31
L
03/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsLexington
21
W
23/04/2026
Oakland RootsLas Vegas Lights
42
L
12/04/2026
Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic
11
D
05/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights
32
L
29/03/2026
Las Vegas LightsMonterey Bay
10
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.