El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction

Southwest University Park·B. Stevis 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.55
SignalSTRONGModel13%SurpriseHighGap+16.5%
El Paso Locomotive Rest
3 days
Phoenix Rising Rest
2 days

El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: the result in context

El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%1.98
X
33%3.59
2
37%3.25
Double Chance
1X
63%1.25
X2
70%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.48
No
56%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.15
Over 2.5
39%1.53
Over 3.5
19%2.32
Under 1.5
36%4.53
Under 2.5
61%2.30
Under 3.5
81%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'G. RiveraFoul
26'L. BiasiFoul
35'JP ScearceFoul
46'A. MendezAssist: R. Rubin
59'A. QuezadaFoul
67'E. CalvilloFoul
69'D. Gomez INA. Pelayo out
69'D. Flores IND. Rivera out
70'JP ScearceAssist: D. Rivera
71'A. Quezada INA. Ortiz out
71'R. Avila INO. Mora out
83'G. Studenhofft INK. Arase out
83'G. Rivera IND. Badji out
88'L. Biasi INA. Vukovic out
88'R. Coronado INR. Ruiz out
88'E. Calvillo IND. Gomez out
90+1'R. Rubin IND. Abitia out

Team Comparison

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
1511Elo Rating 1471
0.70Attack 2.25
1.67Defense 0.82
19%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3Wins · 33%
3.4Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship02/11/2025
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
01
USL Championship31/08/2025
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
33
USL Championship16/03/2025
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
44
USL Championship20/07/2024
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
20
USL Championship16/06/2024
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
11
USL Championship24/09/2023
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
11
USL Championship13/08/2023
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
50
USL Championship28/08/2022
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
31
USL Championship12/06/2022
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
01

Recent Form

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
2W2D6L
11/06/2026
Detroit CityEl Paso Locomotive
11
D
07/06/2026
Colorado SpringsEl Paso Locomotive
21
L
31/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLexington
14
L
28/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveAlta
20
W
10/05/2026
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
21
L
07/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
22
D
30/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
14
L
19/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio
23
L
16/04/2026
Houston DynamoEl Paso Locomotive
41
L
12/04/2026
Hartford AthleticEl Paso Locomotive
04
W
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
5W1D4L
11/06/2026
Phoenix RisingLouisville City
02
L
07/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
40
L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
L
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
W
10/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
11
D
03/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
01
W
19/04/2026
Miami FCPhoenix Rising
03
W
16/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
20
L
12/04/2026
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
30
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd and Phoenix Rising 8th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: El Paso Locomotive 48-38, Phoenix Rising 45-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Phoenix Rising have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.