Detroit City vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction

Keyworth Stadium 11/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel31%SurpriseHighGap+9.7%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel19%SurpriseHigh
Detroit City Rest
4 days
El Paso Locomotive Rest
3 days

Detroit City vs El Paso Locomotive: result, form and history

Detroit City and El Paso Locomotive drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 11 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 3 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.81
X
28%3.70
2
27%3.65
Double Chance
1X
72%1.22
X2
55%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.67
Over 3.5
19%2.62
Under 1.5
36%4.15
Under 2.5
61%2.11
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'H. YamazakiFoul
30'A. StanleyFoul
42'A. MorenoAssist: E. Calvillo
44'A. MendezFoul
46'C. Rutz IND. Smith out
46'K. Hoban INA. Quezada out
49'A. DiopAssist: P. Etaka
56'A. Moreno INO. Mora out
65'B. Morris INRafa Mentzingen out
65'P. Etaka INA. Dalou out
65'R. Avila ING. Diaz out
69'E. CalvilloFoul
77'A. Mendez IND. Gomez out
77'E. Calvillo INR. Ruiz out

Team Comparison

Detroit CityDetroit City
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
1583Elo Rating 1524
0.92Attack 1.24
2.56Defense 1.61
59%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Detroit CityDetroit City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Detroit CityDetroit City1Wins · 33%
Draws267%
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

USL Championship08/09/2024
El Paso LocomotiveDetroit City
00
USL Championship19/03/2023
El Paso LocomotiveDetroit City
13
USL Championship18/06/2022
Detroit CityEl Paso Locomotive
11

Recent Form

Detroit CityDetroit City
4W1D5L
07/06/2026
Detroit CityLexington
1131
L
31/05/2026
Charleston BatteryDetroit City
20
L
24/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
00
D
21/05/2026
Detroit CityMiami FC
21
W
17/05/2026
Forward MadisonDetroit City
01
W
10/05/2026
Hartford AthleticDetroit City
21
L
03/05/2026
Detroit CityLouisville City
21
W
19/04/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit City
21
L
15/04/2026
Detroit CityChicago Fire
12
L
11/04/2026
Detroit CitySporting JAX
10
W
El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
3W1D6L
07/06/2026
Colorado SpringsEl Paso Locomotive
21
L
31/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLexington
14
L
28/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveAlta
20
W
10/05/2026
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
21
L
07/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
22
D
30/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
14
L
19/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio
23
L
16/04/2026
Houston DynamoEl Paso Locomotive
41
L
12/04/2026
Hartford AthleticEl Paso Locomotive
04
W
05/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights
32
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Detroit City vs El Paso Locomotive forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.