Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Phoenix Rising
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Louisville City
Wild Horse Pass Stadium 11/06/2026
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
0-2
Finished
Louisville CityLouisville City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel34%SurpriseHighGap+9.7%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel25%SurpriseHigh
Phoenix Rising Rest
4 days
Louisville City Rest
7 days

Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City: result, form and history

Louisville City beat Phoenix Rising 2-0 in the USL Championship on 11 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.90
X
28%3.45
2
45%2.15
Double Chance
1X
55%1.58
X2
73%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.68
Over 3.5
19%2.62
Under 1.5
36%3.90
Under 2.5
61%2.07
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'L. BiasiFoul
27'J. MoursouFoul
34'P. Mar BoyeFoul
53'M. AkaleAssist: Z. Duncan
58'A. VukovicFoul
63'A. DiaFoul
63'A. Vukovic IND. Flores out
64'D. Rivera ING. Studenhofft out
65'B. Dayes INJ. Wilson out
65'E. Davila INR. Serrano out
67'Z. DuncanAssist: C. Donovan
76'G. Rivera INE. Ramirez out
76'D. Gomez INJ. Ping out
83'C. Donovan INT. Showunmi out
83'Z. Duncan INC. Moguel out
84'D. FloresFoul
85'J. Moursou INC. Kowall out
89'A. McFadden INQ. Huerman out

Team Comparison

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Louisville CityLouisville City
1470Elo Rating 1624
1.83Attack 2.29
0.96Defense 2.49
50%Hit Rate 86%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Louisville CityLouisville City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
Louisville CityLouisville City1Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

USL Championship27/10/2024
Louisville CityPhoenix Rising
41
USL Championship18/06/2023
Phoenix RisingLouisville City
22
USL Championship21/07/2022
Louisville CityPhoenix Rising
00

Recent Form

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
5W1D4L
07/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
40
L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
L
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
W
10/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
11
D
03/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
01
W
19/04/2026
Miami FCPhoenix Rising
03
W
16/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
20
L
12/04/2026
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
30
W
05/04/2026
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
20
L
Louisville CityLouisville City
3W2D5L
04/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLouisville City
11
D
31/05/2026
Louisville CityTampa Bay Rowdies
02
L
24/05/2026
Miami FCLouisville City
43
L
17/05/2026
Union OmahaLouisville City
15
W
10/05/2026
Louisville CityPittsburgh Riverhounds
02
L
03/05/2026
Detroit CityLouisville City
21
L
30/04/2026
Houston DynamoLouisville City
2111
L
18/04/2026
Louisville CitySporting JAX
10
W
15/04/2026
Louisville CityAustin
21
W
11/04/2026
Loudoun UnitedLouisville City
33
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

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About the Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.