Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa·Georgi Kabakov, Bulgaria 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseHighGap+8.1%
Botev Vratsa Rest
9 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
8 days

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna: the result in context

Botev Vratsa and Cherno More Varna drew 1-1 in the First League on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cherno More Varna have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Georgi Kabakov averages 5.46 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.75
X
31%2.70
2
27%2.80
Double Chance
1X
73%1.38
X2
58%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.08
No
51%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.16 = 2.50
Over 1.5
69%1.53
Over 2.5
46%2.56
Over 3.5
25%4.95
Under 1.5
31%2.42
Under 2.5
54%1.44
Under 3.5
75%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'M. Petkov
49'N. Zlatev
52'N. Zlatev ING. Lazarov out
58'D. Teles
64'D. Genov INP. Borukov out
70'V. Panayotov
71'M. Smolenski INS. Mechev out
77'M. Barandas
77'M. Achi INB. Beyhan out
78'G. Lazarov
89'L. Squadrone
89'M. Barandas INP. Andreev out
89'D. Teles INJoao Bandaro out
90+3'M. Stoev
90+5'M. Petkov

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1Coach: Todor Simov
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Marin Orlinov94M. Orlinov
Lazar Boyanov88L. Boyanov
Milen Stoev36M. Stoev
Ivan Goranov4I. Goranov
Sainey Sanyang3S. Sanyang
Iliya Yurukov12I. Yurukov
Abdullah Kichukov6A. Kichukov
Kassim Hadji81K. Hadji
Martin Smolenski24M. Smolenski
Daniel Genov9D. Genov
Martin Petkov79M. Petkov
Kristian Tomov81K. Tomov
Emanuil Nyagolov13E. Nyagolov
Zhivko Atanasov3Z. Atanasov
Luciano Squadrone5L. Squadrone
Ventsislav Kerchev37V. Kerchev
David Teles24D. Teles
Vasil Panayotov71V. Panayotov
Nikolay Zlatev39N. Zlatev
Mohamed Achi7M. Achi
Miguel Barandas7M. Barandas
Aleksandar Kolev9A. Kolev

Botev Vratsa Substitutes

77Luboslav Stoyanov Marinov
1Lyubomir Vasilev
11Martin Achkov
17José Gallegos
90Preslav Borukov64'for D. Genov
17Samuil Mechev71'for M. Smolenski
4Miroslav Danielov Tsonev

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

70Antoan Manasiev
26João Bandaro89'for D. Teles
21Petar Andreev89'for M. Barandas
29Berk Beyhan77'for M. Achi
22Nikolay Petrov Kostadinov
34Kristiyan Mihaylov
19Georgi Lazarov52'for N. Zlatev78'

Team Comparison

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1467Elo Rating 1452
1.01Attack 1.13
1.66Defense 1.89
23%Hit Rate 23%
12.5Shots per Game 9.1
5.5Shots on Target 4.3
4.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.2Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna7Wins · 70%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League20/02/2026
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
00
First League29/08/2025
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
10
First League07/12/2024
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
23
First League12/08/2024
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
21
First League01/03/2024
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
21
First League01/09/2023
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
01
First League21/04/2023
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
02
First League30/09/2022
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
21
First League04/04/2022
Cherno More VarnaBotev Vratsa
50
First League23/10/2021
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
00

Recent Form

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
6W4D0L
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
W
03/07/2026
Botev VratsaBeitar Jerusalem
22
D
01/07/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Pleven
21
W
27/06/2026
Levski SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D
22/05/2026
Botev VratsaBeroe
30
W
18/05/2026
DobrudzhaBotev Vratsa
12
W
14/05/2026
Botev VratsaMontana
10
W
10/05/2026
Botev VratsaSeptemvri Sofia
11
D
05/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
22
D
02/05/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
21
W
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
5W3D2L
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
08/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDobrudzha
22
D
08/07/2026
Farul ConstantaCherno More Varna
01
W
03/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Pleven
10
W
01/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
00
D
24/06/2026
Yantra 2019Cherno More Varna
01
W
25/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
23
L
16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
L
12/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
W
09/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
20
W

Referee Profile

Georgi Kabakov226 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.20Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Georgi Kabakov5.46
Other referees4.77

5.46 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botev Vratsa and Cherno More Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, Botev Vratsa are 10th and Cherno More Varna 13th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Botev Vratsa 10-21, Cherno More Varna 13-22. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.